Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(2/3/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(2/3/4/1/6)-(2/3/4/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/5)-(1/4/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(1/6)-(2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4/3/2)-(1/6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/4/7)-(1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/5/1)-(2/4/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(1/7/5)-(6/2/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(6/2/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(6/2/9/10)-(2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/10)-(6/2/9/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/10)-(6/2/9/10/8)-(6/2/9/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/9/10)-(2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/10)-(2/8)-(9/7/1/5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/3/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/3/4/6)-(2/8/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8)-(9/7/1/5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(9/7/1/5/3)-(7/1/6/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/7/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/5/3)-(9/7/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/5/3)-(9/7/1/5/3)-(9/7/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/1/5/3)-(7/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-9   WIN (7/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/9)-(1/7/6/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/9)-(1/7/6/11/9)-(1/7/6/11/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREGS POSSE Nov28 Nov18 Nov06 Oct25 Oct17 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
1A  MYRRH Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.20    
2  V K STAR Sep22 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Jul01 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
2B  V K PRINCESS Dec14 Oct21 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 ★    
3  SPEEDY FIRE Dec07 Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep27 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  CURRENT CAUSE Nov23 Jul04 Jun14 May31 May11 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  STORMY BELLA Dec14 Oct31 Sep13 Aug02 Jul20 (sondej amy)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
6  VERMONT HOLIDAY Dec05 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 Oct04 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★    
7  ARTUME Nov30 Nov08 Oct05 Aug08 Jul14 (brinsfield br)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA BETA GAMA Dec04 Nov06       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.40 36% 1.80    
2  MAHAL KITA Dec16 Dec08 Aug28 May27 May21 (medina tomas)KEISER CHELSEY 126 20.00    
3  WHEN IN ROME Dec08 Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  ROGERS GINGER Dec06 Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 Oct10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 18% 4.40    
5  PERFECT SPLIT Dec05 Nov09 Oct31 Sep28 Aug09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 ★    
6  BAYOU SHACK Dec08 Nov14 Oct08 Sep11 Aug22 (zook w)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  PICARDE Dec06 Sep11 Jun11 May15   (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00    
 
MVR-3   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE'S FIRE Nov29 Nov07 Oct03 Jan19   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.20 66% 0.50    
2  CLAW Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
3  GRAYWING Dec13 Nov14 Jul09 Jun05 Apr20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★    
4  UPGRADE AL Dec12 Nov23 Sep21 Sep07 Jul05 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 ★    
5  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Dec15 Nov17 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
6  BULLION Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Oct06 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
 
MVR-4   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILLY CHROME Nov27 Nov14 Nov01 Sep19 Aug24 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★    
2  LONG BLACK VEIL Nov30 Nov07 Oct01     (reed r)HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  LADY GIULIANA Nov01 Oct10 Sep20     (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 4.50    
4  UNESCORTED Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct16   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
5  LOVE MY CHERYL Nov27 Nov01 Oct08 Sep20 Aug27 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 ★    
6  FACTISIMFLASHY Dec03 Oct29 Sep23 Aug15 Aug02 (chapman j)CORREA L 120 10.00    
7  LOTTA MOSCATO Nov27 Oct10 May27 Apr21   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 5% 17.60    
 
MVR-5   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROR'S SONG Nov27 Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
1A  WHOVILLE Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct22 Oct03 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 48% 1.10    
2  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Dec06 Nov30 Oct17 Oct11 Oct03 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Nov21 Nov09 Oct23 Oct12 Jul25 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  SHEZA HOOT Dec07 Nov10 Nov02 Sep26 Sep13 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 10.00    
5  DESPEIGHT ALL ODDS Nov27 Oct31 Oct16 Aug31 Aug16 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ORBETTE Dec08 Nov27 Oct23 Oct16 Sep19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
7  LOADED ONCE MORE Nov22 Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
8  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Dec07 Nov14 Nov01 Oct13 Sep19 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50    
9  BETTABE SWIFT Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 Nov06 Oct24 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
10  SWEET BELEN Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIDSTREAM Dec13 Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 Sep18 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 15.00    
2  ENJOY BASEBALL Dec20 Aug31 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (zielinski richa)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
3  ASTRO JAK Dec15 Dec05 Nov09 Oct22 May25 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
4  VOLBEAT Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
5  QUESTION AUTHORITY Dec20 Jul18 Jun26 May29 May07 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
6  DON'T POKE THE CAT Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 Oct18 Oct04 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 8.00 44% 1.30    
7  UNCAPTURED PULSE Dec20 Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 Oct14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
8  ACROSS THE AISLE Dec11 Nov14 Nov02 Oct25 Oct12 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 ★    
9  GRANDGRAN Dec11 Nov27 Oct24 Sep19 Aug31 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
10  PAT DADDY Dec15 Nov28 Nov08 Sep05 Aug15 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 17.90    
 
MVR-7   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 Oct13 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
2  STRIKE A BEAT Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct27 Oct14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  JUST CHITU Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 Oct10 Sep30 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 ★    
4  NATES HEARTTHROB Dec20 Nov11 Oct20 Sep08 Aug29 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 ★    
5  GET ALONG Dec13 Nov10 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00    
6  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Dec13 Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Dec12 Nov10 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
8  BIG FRANK Dec03 Nov19 Oct19 Aug09 Jul25 (pappada a)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINSURE Dec01 Oct27 Sep28 Aug18 Aug02 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 8% 10.80    
2  JOCULARITY Dec01 Nov10 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Dec01 Nov14 Oct27 Sep28 Sep13 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TURN THE SWITCH Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Sep15 Sep04 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
5  QIAN B C Nov26 Nov10 Jun17 May14 Apr24 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.00    
6  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Dec13 Dec05 Nov16 Aug31 Aug18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
7  JULIE'S FERRARI Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
8  GATTO MARRONE Dec11 Nov28 Nov02 Oct23 Oct02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
9  HIDING THE BRICK Dec14 Dec05 Nov07 Oct23 Oct16 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-9   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER PRONTO Dec20 Dec03 Nov17 Oct24 Oct10 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
1A  KAPHAVATA Dec13 Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 Aug23 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
2  SMUDGE THE CAT Dec06 Nov23 Nov08 Oct27 Sep27 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
3  STOP MAKING SENSE Dec20 Dec03 Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
4  DIAMOND MONEY Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Nov07 Oct26 (romero oscar)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
5  PUBLIC RECORD Jul24 Jun11 May23 May15 Apr22 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
6  BAHAMIAN BEAT Dec06 Oct12 Oct05 Sep20 Jun22 (londono odin )TOLEDO S 124 20.00 15% 5.70    
7  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Dec13 Nov30 Nov17 Nov07 Sep24 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  THE WILD FLYER Oct05 Aug29 Aug24 Aug02 Jul01 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
9  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Dec03 Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 Sep08 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWICE AS SMART Dec13 Oct28 Oct15 Oct07 Sep16 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
11  SUNNY BEAST Dec13 Nov10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.