Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PRIVATE CONNIE 8 2 61¾ 4¾   11½ 12 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 8% 11.50 6.97 W
4  JOHN EDWARD 3 5 51¾ 62¼   21½ 22 (jones bob)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 30.00 17.32  
13  RHODESIA 10 10 93½ 95¼   33 32¾ (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 2.30 DQ↓6
2  AMERICAN SILVER 2 7 104½ 105¾   74¾ 43 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 34.36  
8  JACKYS BACK 6 9 83 73¼   43 54½ (matthews ran)RAMOS D 122 4.50 8.33  
5  PURSUANT 4 6 41¼ 51¾   64¾ 64½ (egbert james)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00 52.46  
9  STRINGS 7 3 2nk 2nk   53¼ 77 (demeritte lar)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 24% 3.20 5.34  
7  GAON FLAG (KOR) 5 4 3.2 1nk   85¾ 811 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.12  
1  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET 1 8 72¾ 84¾   97¼ 911¾ (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 124 30.00 70.60  
12  MAHAL KITA 9 1 1nk 3.2   108¾ 1015½ (medina )DE CRUZ 122 10.00 ★ 11.02  
SCR  JAHEZ               (trujillo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
SCR  JUST A NOTION               (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
SCR  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE               (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
SCR  RIVER STONES               (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
 
TP-2   12/16/2022 6600ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:122 1:391   2:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUN DADDY 8 33½ 34 31½ 21 11 11¼ (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 8.00 34% 2.00 5.67 W
1  ENGLISH CHALLENGE 1 1211¾ 1214½ 107½ 42½ 31½ 21¼ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 121 2.50 34% 1.90 2.25 P
10  MARKITOFF 10 22 22 2nk 11 21 35 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.00 ★ 2.91 S
7  T J MUNNINGS 7 1010¾ 912½ 97¼ 97¼ 86¾ 411½ (bogle fe)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 34.66  
5  SNAKE BITE 5 77 68½ 64¼ 32½ 44 513 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 7% 12.50 6.14  
6  ORAZIO 6 89½ 810½ 85¾ 75¼ 66 614½ (walsh d)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00 ★ 12.87  
3  COUNT FROST 3 67 79 74¼ 86¾ 97¼ 715 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 33.33  
11  BLESSED WITH LUCK 11 44½ 46 43 64¾ 56 815 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00 13.50  
4  WILDCARD PRADO 4 56 57 53¼ 54½ 76½ 920½ (richard)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 13.86  
9  SHIPSHAPE 9 99¾ 1013 119½ 1110¼ 109¾ 1023¼ (medina tom)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.02  
12  HOWARD ROARK 12 12 12 1nk 109¾ 1111¼ 1129¾ (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00 86.18  
2  SAVING MAMA 2 1111¼ 1114 1210½ 1215¼ 1213¾ 1230½ (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 81.56  
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER               (smith m)MCKEE J 121 20.00    
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
 
TP-3   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 1 1 2½ 51¾ 52 32½ 11¼ (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 11.26  
2  NOT SO EASY 2 3 95¼ 94¾ 31 11 21¼ (girten tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 3.50 46% 1.20 1.64 P
4  FERRYBOAT 4 5 1½ 11 11 21 33¼ (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 ★ 12.62 S
3  DAAHER STREET 3 2 31½ 83¾ 83½ 55 46 (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 11.99  
5  ELI 5 6 41½ 31 21 45 511½ (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 4.77  
7  ROOKWOOD 6 4 73¾ 73¼ 73 77¾ 612 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 118 4.00 26% 2.90 7.16  
8  DECEIVER 7 8 84¾ 63¼ 94 88¾ 714 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 ★ 9.20  
9  GENERATOR 8 7 52½ 21 41½ 67½ 815¾ (grubbs jami)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.50 5.69  
10  GOT LOST 9 9 62¾ 41¼ 62½ 915¾ 930 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 15.82  
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS               (smith m)MCKEE J 118 20.00 ★    
 
TP-4   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 11 1 42 42¼   12 14½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 11% 8.30 3.85 W
4  BLUE NORTHER 4 6 84¾ 84¼   45½ 24½ (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50 3.01  
3  FILIPPO 3 5 11 12   22 36 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 3.00 56% 0.80 3.50 S
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 7 74¼ 53¼   34 47½ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★ 5.50  
5  MR. CUNNINGHAM 5 11 117¾ 118¼   811½ 59 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 71.68  
1  BULLBRIAR 1 9 52½ 63¾   69½ 69¼ (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 19.59  
10  GUN RUSH 10 2 21 32   58 712 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 10.91  
9  OXWOOD 9 3 94¾ 95¼   711½ 815 (woodbury jud)RAMOS D 120 20.00 28.76  
7  BERNIE LOMAX 7 8 106¼ 105¾   912 915¼ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 6% 16.60 8.11  
8  MY GOLD MIRROR 8 4 31 22   1013 1022¼ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 14.03  
2  ENJOYMENT 2 10 62¾ 74¼   1115½ 1124 (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 120 15.00 ★ 38.03  
 
TP-5   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PURPLE DREAM 9 10 93¾ 74¼   42½ 1¼ (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 6.00 7% 13.10 4.07 W
8  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 8 2 41½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (hiles j)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 4.00  
2  DRIVE FOR FUN 2 6 2nk 1½   1½ 31¾ (mejia joe)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 8.53  
6  RACE DRIVER 6 4 51¾ 62¾   52½ 42½ (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 54% 0.80 4.00  
4  VASSAR'S BOY 4 8 61¾ 51¾   31½ 53½ (lyster stephe)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 30.72  
3  MALIBU MIKE 3 9 104¼ 96¾   64½ 65¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 12.31  
10  REAL NEWS 10 7 72¼ 84¾   95¾ 75¼ (martinez a)MCKEE J 120 10.00 10% 8.90 6.72  
1  POWELL 1 12 126½ 107¼   85½ 87 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 50.00 5% 19.00 69.36  
11  CIRCLE BACK JACK 11 11 114½ 119¼   107¾ 99 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 7.78  
7  STRIDE 7 5 3½ 3½   75 1010¼ (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00 14.96  
12  KANTPAYTHETOLL 12 1 83¼ 129¾   128¾ 1111½ (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 30.00 61.71  
5  FIGHT ON 5 3 1nk 41½   118¼ 1213½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 13.71  
SCR  CARAMELITO               (garcia gena)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 10.00    
SCR  LINCOLN CITY               (wong jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.50    
 
TP-6   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BEL ARIA 11 2 73¼ 51¾   1½ 12 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 111 10.00 10.83  
10  QUICK CONVERSATION 10 3 95¼ 84¼   63½ 22 (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.88 P
7  SPARE A DIME 7 5 52 41½   31 33¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 51% 0.90 2.38 S
1  ECLIPSED 1 7 1nk 11   2½ 43½ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 118 12.00 39.16  
9  MONOCACY 9 9 84¾ 62¼   41 55¾ (king l)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 17.51  
8  QUARTERFLASH 8 4 118¾ 126¾   76 66 (girten tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 10.00 ★ 11.28  
2  DALTON'S LOVE 2 10 62¼ 94¾   86¼ 76½ (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 31.23  
12  ONLY TIME 12 1 41 21   53 88½ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 118 12.00 ★ 7.37  
4  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY 4 12 128¾ 116¾   96¾ 99½ (west w)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 23% 3.40 5.96  
6  DOMITIA LUCILLA 6 6 3½ 73¼   108¾ 1012 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50 3.24  
5  MISS ELIANA 5 11 106¼ 105¾   119¼ 1112¼ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 89.48  
3  VACCINA 3 8 2nk 31½   1211¼ 1220 (judd cassandr)CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00 24.72  
SCR  HALAGA               (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
SCR  SOCIAL MANDATE               (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00    
 
TP-7   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  VISITANT 10 3 4¾ 1nk   12½ 13¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.60 W
1  NIGHT TIME 1 12 126¾ 103   74¾ 23¼ (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00 8.99  
14  BAKERS BAY 12 2 103¼ 71¾   43 35½ (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00 18.76  
5  BAD BEAT BRIAN 4 7 51¼ 51¼   32½ 46¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 3.50 13% 6.70 5.72  
7  MUCHO 6 9 92¾ 4¾   22½ 57¾ (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 ★ 11.94  
2  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 2 11 61¾ 82¾   63¾ 68¼ (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 120 50.00 80.74  
11  A FEW TOO MANY 9 4 2½ 2nk   53½ 79½ (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 ######  
8  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) 7 5 3½ 61¼   86¾ 811¼ (ward wesley )RAMOS D 118 4.00 7.74  
6  HAZEL RAH 5 8 114¾ 125½   99¼ 911¾ (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00 ######  
13  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 11 1 82¼ 93   109¾ 1012¾ (contreras ci)HALDAR J 120 15.00 8% 11.80 38.13  
4  AWESOME AARON 3 10 71¾ 113½   1112¾ 1123 (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 34.35  
10  ROME 8 6 1½ 3.2   1219¾ 1239¾ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00 53.79  
SCR  BLESSED ARION               (rawlings)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFY               (d'angelo jo)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
 
TP-8   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST STRIKE 10 10 52¼ 43½ 2nk 1nk 1hd (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 12.00 ★ 5.49  
2  GLOBAL SURPRISE 2 4 105¼ 107 106¼ 44½ 2hd (delgado g)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 36% 1.80 7.47 P
8  ACCIDENT 8 11 84¼ 85¾ 41¾ 32½ 32 (short t)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 5.44  
12  ONASA 12 9 11 11 1nk 2nk 43½ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 9% 10.20 3.60  
4  COACH PETRO 4 1 73¼ 74¾ 74¾ 55 56 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 32% 2.10 3.58  
11  WASHINGTON'S UNION 11 12 63¼ 54½ 31½ 66½ 68¼ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 57.88  
3  CHANCE 3 3 94¾ 96¾ 84¾ 88 78¾ (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 7.75  
6  CANAVALL 6 2 42 64¾ 95¾ 77 88¾ (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 50.00 14.63  
7  BARRELHOUSE 7 7 21 31 53¼ 98½ 912½ (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00 21.25  
5  PACE 5 5 116¾ 129 117¾ 1011 1014½ (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 30.00 84.91  
1  LET ME LOVE YOU 1 6 127¾ 119 129¼ 1114 1120¾ (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 ★ 10.22  
9  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 9 8 31 21 64¼ 1214¼ 1221 (toye lin)MOJICA JR 119 50.00 ######  
SCR  CROSSING               (lauer michael)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
SCR  MOGUL CRACK               (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.