Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Sep25 Aug30 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 124 30.00    
2  AMERICAN SILVER Dec07 Nov13 Oct11 Sep20   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  RIVER STONES Sep09 Aug12 Jun02 Apr30 Mar25 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
4  JOHN EDWARD         (jones bob)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 30.00    
5  PURSUANT Nov23 Nov08 Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 (egbert james)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00    
SCR  JAHEZ Nov30 Oct20 Oct08 Aug30 Jul15 (trujillo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
7  GAON FLAG (KOR) Sep22 Aug11 May10 Apr19   (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  JACKYS BACK Oct03 Aug25 Jun19 May13 Apr16 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 122 4.50    
9  STRINGS Nov30 Jul23 Jul01 Apr16 Feb23 (demeritte lar)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
10  PRIVATE CONNIE Nov09 Oct12 Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  JUST A NOTION Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct13 Oct04 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
12  MAHAL KITA Dec08 Aug28 May27 May21 May11 (medina )DE CRUZ 122 10.00 ★    
13  RHODESIA         (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Dec07 Sep06 Aug02 May12 May04 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
 
TP-2   12/16/2022 6600ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Dec01 Sep28 Sep02 Aug24 Aug15 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  SAVING MAMA Nov03 Oct11 Sep30 Sep21 Aug31 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
3  COUNT FROST Dec03 Nov02 Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
4  WILDCARD PRADO Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 Sep09 (richard)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
5  SNAKE BITE Dec07 Jul20 Jun30 Mar19 Feb24 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 7% 12.50    
6  ORAZIO Oct13 Sep27 Aug23 Aug09 Jul14 (walsh d)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00 ★    
7  T J MUNNINGS Dec02 Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Jul05 (bogle fe)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
8  SUN DADDY Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 Aug01 Jul12 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 8.00 34% 2.00    
9  SHIPSHAPE Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 (medina tom)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
10  MARKITOFF Dec03 Sep28 Aug19 Jul15 May16 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.00 ★    
11  BLESSED WITH LUCK Oct27 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Jul20 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00    
12  HOWARD ROARK Nov02 Sep28 Sep22     (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Oct26 Sep22 Aug30 Jun09 Mar31 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 Oct30 Oct22 (smith m)MCKEE J 121 20.00    
 
TP-3   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep27 (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
2  NOT SO EASY Dec07 Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug24 (girten tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  DAAHER STREET Nov08 Sep13 Jul19 Jun29 Jun11 (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
4  FERRYBOAT Dec08 Nov03 Sep25 Aug31 Jul21 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 ★    
5  ELI Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug20 Jul17 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS Dec11 Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 Oct18 (smith m)MCKEE J 118 20.00 ★    
7  ROOKWOOD Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 Aug15 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  DECEIVER Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 ★    
9  GENERATOR Nov16 Oct10 Sep25 Aug17 Jul04 (grubbs jami)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.50    
10  GOT LOST Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug18 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
 
TP-4   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLBRIAR Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
2  ENJOYMENT Oct27 Oct05 Sep06 Aug11 Jul20 (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 120 15.00 ★    
3  FILIPPO Nov27 Oct28 Aug22 Mar13 Feb20 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
4  BLUE NORTHER Oct27 Oct16 Sep14 Aug26 Jul29 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50    
5  MR. CUNNINGHAM Nov03 Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 Mar03 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00    
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 Aug22 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★    
7  BERNIE LOMAX Jul20 Jun19 May04 Mar27 Feb12 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 6% 16.60    
8  MY GOLD MIRROR Nov14 May31 May10 Apr19   (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00    
9  OXWOOD Oct27 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (woodbury jud)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
10  GUN RUSH Apr21 Apr02 Jan22     (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00    
11  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Nov19 Jan15       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
TP-5   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWELL Nov17 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 Jul19 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
2  DRIVE FOR FUN Nov24 Nov09 Oct14 Sep17 Jan13 (mejia joe)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00    
3  MALIBU MIKE Oct08 Aug10 Jul19     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
4  VASSAR'S BOY Sep29 Aug17 Jul22 Jun30   (lyster stephe)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
5  FIGHT ON Nov18 May24 Apr26 Mar26 Mar12 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RACE DRIVER Nov26 Oct07 Aug26 Jul23 Jun18 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
7  STRIDE Oct16         (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00    
8  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Oct23 Sep05 Jul05 Apr24 Apr09 (hiles j)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
9  PURPLE DREAM Jun20 May14       (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 6.00 7% 13.10    
10  REAL NEWS Nov27 Oct13 Sep05 Aug27 Aug06 (martinez a)MCKEE J 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
11  CIRCLE BACK JACK Jul16 May23 Apr10 Mar12   (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00    
12  KANTPAYTHETOLL Sep14 Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 May21 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 30.00    
SCR  CARAMELITO Dec02 Nov17 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 (garcia gena)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 10.00    
SCR  LINCOLN CITY Oct22 Sep10 Jul28     (wong jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.50    
 
TP-6   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPSED Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Sep15 Aug23 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 118 12.00    
2  DALTON'S LOVE Nov10 Sep13 Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
3  VACCINA Oct10 Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 (judd cassandr)CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00    
4  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Oct24 Sep09 Aug25 Jul21 Jun30 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  MISS ELIANA Oct05 Jul12       (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
6  DOMITIA LUCILLA Nov23 Nov03 Oct13 Sep16 Aug06 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50    
7  SPARE A DIME Nov09 Oct11 Jul01     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  QUARTERFLASH Nov22 Oct10 Sep28 Aug15 Jul24 (girten tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 10.00 ★    
9  MONOCACY Nov25 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
10  QUICK CONVERSATION Oct24 Oct03 Mar18 Feb25   (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BEL ARIA Oct24 Sep08 Jul30 Jul23 Jun22 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 111 10.00    
12  ONLY TIME Nov08 Sep09 Aug25 Jul14 Jun23 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  SOCIAL MANDATE Nov27 Nov10 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00    
SCR  HALAGA Nov30 Oct10 Mar18 Feb18   (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME Nov05 Sep13 Jul17 Jun10 May03 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00    
2  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Nov05 Oct01 Aug22 Jul20 Jun25 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 120 50.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFY Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr24 Mar18 (d'angelo jo)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
4  AWESOME AARON Nov17 Nov02 Aug27 Jul23 Jun04 (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
5  BAD BEAT BRIAN Oct08 Sep13 Aug07 Jul23 May30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
6  HAZEL RAH Nov27 Oct19 Oct05 Aug03 Jun29 (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00    
7  MUCHO Nov13 Sep23 Aug16 Feb21 Jan15 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
8  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Sep10 Jul17 Jun09 May29   (ward wesley )RAMOS D 118 4.00    
SCR  BLESSED ARION Sep29 Sep06 Jul27 Jul03 Jun11 (rawlings)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00    
10  ROME Sep14 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00    
11  A FEW TOO MANY Nov17 Nov08 Oct27 Oct17 Sep13 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
12  VISITANT Apr02 Mar12 Feb12     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
13  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Nov09 Aug17 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 8% 11.80    
14  BAKERS BAY Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 Apr02 Jan29 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
 
TP-8   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET ME LOVE YOU Nov23 Nov03 Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 ★    
2  GLOBAL SURPRISE Nov17 Oct18 Sep24 Aug27   (delgado g)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  CHANCE Nov13 Oct21       (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
4  COACH PETRO Sep25 Aug20 Jul23     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  PACE Oct18 Oct05 Aug31 Aug06   (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 30.00    
6  CANAVALL Oct09         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 50.00    
7  BARRELHOUSE Oct21         (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00    
8  ACCIDENT Nov26 Nov16 Oct30 Oct09 Sep29 (short t)DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
9  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Oct19 Sep01       (toye lin)MOJICA JR 119 50.00    
10  FIRST STRIKE Oct18         (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 12.00 ★    
11  WASHINGTON'S UNION Oct28         (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
12  ONASA Nov24         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  CROSSING         (lauer michael)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
SCR  MOGUL CRACK Nov23 Oct13 Sep23     (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.