Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GUARD 3 5 510 58¼   35½ 11½ (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 25.84  
5  ALFIE SOLOMONS 5 1 11½ 2nk   2nk 21½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.60 57% 0.70 0.82 P
1  MONTAUK DADDY 1 3 21½ 1nk   1nk 32¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.03 S
4  HIGHER AUTHORITY 4 4 44½ 46¾   47½ 46¾ (vance d)COURT K 120 5.00 12.06  
2  RETALIATED 2 2 33 36½   57¾ 56¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 16.10  
SCR  HAVE A PLAN               (martinez ke)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
 
CD-2   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DAY TRADE 8 6 42 31½ 1nk 12 12¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 ★ 5.94  
12  LET ME LOVE YOU 10 7 73¾ 94¼ 53¾ 33½ 22¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 21% 3.90 1.93 P
9  O GANGSTER 7 5 3½ 21 2nk 22 34¾ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.35  
11  DON'T LET GO 9 10 106 84 65¼ 56½ 46¾ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 35.35  
7  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 5 8 52½ 62½ 32½ 45 58½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
5  RIO MOON 4 9 116 105¾ 75¾ 67½ 610 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 22.16  
2  INVASIVE 2 4 95¾ 115¾ 1110¼ 913¾ 719 (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 64.71  
13  CAMBIASO 11 11 83¾ 52½ 97¾ 1013¾ 822½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 25.13  
8  GRIMES 6 2 2½ 42 42¾ 713½ 923¼ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 56% 0.80 2.78  
4  GABE 3 3 63½ 73½ 108¼ 813½ 1023¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.73  
1  PLENTY OF TIME 1 1 1½ 11 86¾ 1114¼ 1123½ (drury thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 22.77  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (kerrick la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER               (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  PACE               (simms jr)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK               (car)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DONYA KNOW IT 7 1 5½ 12   12½ 12 (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 58% 0.70 3.58 W
2  SAVE GRACE 2 5 2nk 22   22½ 22 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 1.96  
4  DOMITIA LUCILLA 4 4 3.2 33½   34 34 (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 4.92  
6  THE CLUB 6 2 61½ 54½   44½ 44 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 8.49  
1  BALL GOWN 1 7 1nk 64¾   54½ 55¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 9.80 8.27  
3  ALSANAH 3 6 74 77¾   77 66¾ (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 13.91  
5  BAYSHORE FOXES 5 3 4¼ 44½   66 78 (van t)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 9% 10.60 3.82  
 
CD-4   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MINT 12 10 31 31½ 22 2nk 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 2.50  
5  FROSTED DIAMOND 5 3 73¾ 73¾ 47 31½ 2¾ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 37% 1.70 9.80 P
11  GUIDED ARROW 11 7 2nk 2½ 12 1nk 3¾ (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 4.76  
2  TAP THE CANDY 2 11 1113¾ 1110¾ 813¾ 57 46 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 12.00 8% 12.00 14.13  
6  MADISON LUVS DUKE 6 2 62¾ 41½ 37 44 58¼ (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 20% 4.00 5.73  
7  BOLD MEDICATION 7 5 41¼ 52½ 510 67½ 611¼ (compton greg)COURT K 121 20.00 10.06  
3  ALFIO 3 4 105¾ 84¾ 611½ 77¾ 711¾ (thornbury )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 20.19  
8  LIAM THE BRAVE 8 8 83¾ 106¼ 1015¾ 810¼ 813¼ (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 15.09  
9  CLOSE KNIT 9 12 94¼ 95¾ 915¼ 912¼ 919 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 34.56  
10  VALE 10 6 52¼ 62¾ 711¾ 1013¼ 1028¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 18.51  
4  NIMRODS 4 1 1nk 1½ 1117¾ 1117¼ 1132½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 8.81  
1  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 1 9 1223¾ 1237¼ 1267¾ 12100 12100 (capps stev)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 11% 8.20 14.31  
SCR  SEVEN AND SEVEN               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY               (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 2 32 31½ 31½ 1½ 1¼ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60 5.17 W
5  LEBLON 5 5 64 73¾ 53 31½ 2¼ (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 3.47  
6  CARMICHAEL 6 3 21 21 2nk 2½ 33½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 1.77  
1  TEST PILOT 1 1 11 11 1nk 43½ 410 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11% 7.70 8.77  
2  TUANIS 2 6 76 63½ 74¾ 56½ 511½ (glyshaw tim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 7.00 14.32  
3  KING'S OVATION 3 4 53½ 42 42½ 67½ 614¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 4.79  
7  BOURBON THUNDER 7 7 42½ 52 63¼ 79 717 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 6.88  
 
CD-6   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOURBON CREED 7 4 43 31   1nk 11¼ (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 2.92  
6  STAND FOR FREEDOM 6 5 85 55   51¼ 21¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 4.99  
2  FAR FROM FINAL 2 2 21 2½   2nk 34¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 24% 3.20 10.33 S
1  BET HE'S READY 1 1 11 1½   3.2 46 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.18  
3  INSOLITO 3 8 32 42½   4¾ 56¼ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 9.82  
4  CYCLONE 4 7 75 810   76¼ 69½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 11% 7.80 3.46  
8  DOG RED 8 3 53½ 67   65¼ 711¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 18.68  
5  ROCK WITH YOU 5 6 64 79½   87¾ 814¾ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 45.13  
 
CD-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:214 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NEUTRALIZE 5 5 2½ 2nk   2½ 1½ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.91 W
11  MIGHTY MADISON 11 3 51½ 3.2   3½ 2½ (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 8.79  
4  MALIBU TOAST 4 6 1½ 1nk   1½ 3½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13% 6.50 5.03 S
3  EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 3 10 72¼ 87½   75 41½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 2.06  
12  HIGH CLASS 12 2 105¼ 75   63 52¼ (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119 3.50 ★ 8.46  
1  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 1 8 31 52¼   51½ 62¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 57% 0.80 3.40  
10  IN COLOR 10 7 62 4¼   41 73 (caramori caio)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 49.98  
8  TANGO ZULU 8 9 1210¾ 98½   98½ 88 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 56.67  
7  MISS J D 7 12 82¾ 64¾   87 910¼ (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.17  
6  VARSITY BLONDE 6 4 41 119   1010½ 1011½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 25.78  
2  EXHIBIT HALL 2 11 117¾ 129½   1112 1113¾ (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.28  
9  MALLY'S MONSOON 9 1 93¼ 109   1213½ 1215½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7% 13.60 46.53  
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  D'ORO STREET               (dio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
SCR  RUTHLESS RUA               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  SURE CAN               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:111 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TONAL IMPACT 4 6 62¾ 53 53¼ 42 1¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 5.58  
6  RUNWAY MAGIC 5 5 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.23  
1  PAYNE 1 3 51¼ 63½ 64¼ 31 3¼ (caramori cai)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 4.39  
4  EMERALD EXPRESS 3 2 41¼ 42 32½ 53½ 43¾ (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 20% 4.00 18.35  
8  RODERICK 6 4 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 55½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.05  
2  SUMMER SPLASH 2 1 31 32 42¾ 64 67 (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 23% 3.40 5.91  
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
SCR  SONNEMAN               (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
CD-9   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MARSALIS 8 4 2nk 2nk   11½ 11¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.22 W
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 2 5 82 51¼   52¼ 21¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 27% 2.70 6.40 P
5  SURFER DUDE 4 2 71¾ 61½   32 31¾ (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 12.00 9.29  
7  EMBRACE (IRE) 6 7 92½ 94½   84¼ 42 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J null   7.55  
4  VERB 3 1 3.2 41¼   42 52¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 25.96  
6  COASTAL DEFENSE 5 6 1nk 1nk   21½ 64 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.50 5% 19.00 9.10  
8  BROKEN RIB 7 8 51¼ 31   73¾ 74 (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 16.36  
1  WAYAKIN 1 3 4¾ 83   63¾ 84¾ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 ★ 3.82  
10  GALLANT GUY 9 9 61¼ 72   913¼ 920½ (gonzalez )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 72.60  
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GIROOVIN 5 2 4¾ 2nk   12½ 12¼ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 ★ 3.26  
1  FUJIN 1 8 88¾ 811   43 22¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 10.00 18.26  
7  BOOSTER SHOT 6 4 51¾ 41½   32½ 36¼ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8.14  
11  MOGUL CRACK 9 7 3½ 3½   22½ 47 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 11.92  
5  HAROLD'S CLOUD 4 3 1nk 1nk   53¼ 511¼ (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 42% 1.40 2.49  
8  HUNTER'S DRIVE 7 5 61¾ 52   66¼ 613½ (desormeaux j )GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.22  
9  OWN THE FIELD 8 6 72¼ 64½   77¼ 715¼ (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.53  
2  SLAMMING IT 2 9 99¾ 912½   89¾ 816½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.97  
4  TIME THE MARKET 3 1 2nk 76   917¾ 938¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 18.66  
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)               (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.