Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARD   (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 25.84  
ALFIE SOLOMONS   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.60 57% 0.70 0.82 P
MONTAUK DADDY   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.03 S
HIGHER AUTHORITY   (vance d)COURT K 120 5.00 12.06  
RETALIATED   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 16.10  
SCR  HAVE A PLAN   (martinez ke)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
 
CD-2   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DAY TRADE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 5.94  
12  LET ME LOVE YOU   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 21% 3.90 1.93 P
O GANGSTER   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.35  
11  DON'T LET GO   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 35.35  
IDRATHERBEBLESSED   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
RIO MOON   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 22.16  
INVASIVE   (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 64.71  
13  CAMBIASO   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 25.13  
GRIMES   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 56% 0.80 2.78  
GABE   (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.73  
PLENTY OF TIME   (drury thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 22.77  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE   (kerrick la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER   (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  PACE   (simms jr)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK   (car)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA KNOW IT   (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 58% 0.70 3.58 W
SAVE GRACE   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 1.96  
DOMITIA LUCILLA   (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 4.92  
THE CLUB   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 8.49  
BALL GOWN   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 9.80 8.27  
ALSANAH   (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 13.91  
BAYSHORE FOXES   (van t)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 9% 10.60 3.82  
 
CD-4   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MINT   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 2.50  
FROSTED DIAMOND   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 37% 1.70 9.80 P
11  GUIDED ARROW   (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 4.76  
TAP THE CANDY   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 12.00 8% 12.00 14.13  
MADISON LUVS DUKE   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 20% 4.00 5.73  
BOLD MEDICATION   (compton greg)COURT K 121 20.00 10.06  
ALFIO   (thornbury )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 20.19  
LIAM THE BRAVE   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 15.09  
CLOSE KNIT   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 34.56  
10  VALE   (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 18.51  
NIMRODS   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 8.81  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE   (capps stev)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 11% 8.20 14.31  
SCR  SEVEN AND SEVEN   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T HUSH THIS   (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60 5.17 W
LEBLON   (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 3.47  
CARMICHAEL   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 1.77  
TEST PILOT   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11% 7.70 8.77  
TUANIS   (glyshaw tim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 7.00 14.32  
KING'S OVATION   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 4.79  
BOURBON THUNDER   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 6.88  
 
CD-6   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CREED   (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 2.92  
STAND FOR FREEDOM   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 4.99  
FAR FROM FINAL   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 24% 3.20 10.33 S
BET HE'S READY   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.18  
INSOLITO   (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 9.82  
CYCLONE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 11% 7.80 3.46  
DOG RED   (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 18.68  
ROCK WITH YOU   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 45.13  
 
CD-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEUTRALIZE   (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.91 W
11  MIGHTY MADISON   (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 8.79  
MALIBU TOAST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13% 6.50 5.03 S
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT   (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 2.06  
12  HIGH CLASS   (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119 3.50 8.46  
BABY GOT BACKSPIN   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 57% 0.80 3.40  
10  IN COLOR   (caramori caio)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 49.98  
TANGO ZULU   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 56.67  
MISS J D   (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.17  
VARSITY BLONDE   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 25.78  
EXHIBIT HALL   (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.28  
MALLY'S MONSOON   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7% 13.60 46.53  
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  D'ORO STREET   (dio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
SCR  RUTHLESS RUA   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  SURE CAN   (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 5.58  
RUNWAY MAGIC   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.23  
PAYNE   (caramori cai)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 4.39  
EMERALD EXPRESS   (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 20% 4.00 18.35  
RODERICK   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.05  
SUMMER SPLASH   (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 23% 3.40 5.91  
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
SCR  SONNEMAN   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
CD-9   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSALIS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.22 W
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 27% 2.70 6.40 P
SURFER DUDE   (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 12.00 9.29  
EMBRACE (IRE)   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J null   7.55  
VERB   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 25.96  
COASTAL DEFENSE   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.50 5% 19.00 9.10  
BROKEN RIB   (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 16.36  
WAYAKIN   (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 3.82  
10  GALLANT GUY   (gonzalez )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 72.60  
SCR  KOUFAX   (foley greg)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIROOVIN   (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 3.26  
FUJIN   (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 10.00 18.26  
BOOSTER SHOT   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8.14  
11  MOGUL CRACK   (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 11.92  
HAROLD'S CLOUD   (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 42% 1.40 2.49  
HUNTER'S DRIVE   (desormeaux j )GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.22  
OWN THE FIELD   (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.53  
SLAMMING IT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.97  
TIME THE MARKET   (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 18.66  
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)   (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
SCR  SHORTLY   (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.