Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARD 3 5 510 5   3 1 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 25.84  
ALFIE SOLOMONS 5 1 1 2nk   2nk 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.60 57% 0.70 0.82 P
MONTAUK DADDY 1 3 2 1nk   1nk 3 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.03 S
HIGHER AUTHORITY 4 4 4 4   4 4 (vance d)COURT K 120 5.00 12.06  
RETALIATED 2 2 33 3   5 5 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 16.10  
SCR  HAVE A PLAN               (martinez kell)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
 
CD-2   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DAY TRADE 8 6 42 3 1nk 12 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 5.94  
12  LET ME LOVE YOU 10 7 7 9 5 3 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 21% 3.90 1.93 P
O GANGSTER 7 5 3½ 21 2nk 22 3 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.35  
11  DON'T LET GO 9 10 106 84 6 5 4 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 35.35  
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 5 8 5 6 3 45 5 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
RIO MOON 4 9 116 10 7 6 610 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 22.16  
INVASIVE 2 4 9 11 1110¼ 913¾ 719 (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 64.71  
13  CAMBIASO 11 11 8 5 9 1013¾ 822½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 25.13  
GRIMES 6 2 2½ 42 4 713½ 923¼ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 56% 0.80 2.78  
GABE 3 3 6 7 10 813½ 1023¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.73  
PLENTY OF TIME 1 1 1½ 11 8 1114¼ 1123½ (drury thomas )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 22.77  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (kerrick lacy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER               (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  PACE               (simms jr)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK               (caram)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA KNOW IT 7 1 5½ 12   1 12 (mejia dela)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 58% 0.70 3.58 W
SAVE GRACE 2 5 2nk 22   2 22 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 1.96  
DOMITIA LUCILLA 4 4 3.2 3   34 34 (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 4.92  
THE CLUB 6 2 6 5   4 44 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 8.49  
BALL GOWN 1 7 1nk 6   5 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 9.80 8.27  
ALSANAH 3 6 74 7   77 6 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 13.91  
BAYSHORE FOXES 5 3 4¼ 4   66 78 (van tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 9% 10.60 3.82  
 
CD-4   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MINT 12 10 31 3 22 2nk 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 2.50  
FROSTED DIAMOND 5 3 7 7 47 3 2¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 37% 1.70 9.80 P
11  GUIDED ARROW 11 7 2nk 2½ 12 1nk 3¾ (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 4.76  
TAP THE CANDY 2 11 1113¾ 1110¾ 813¾ 57 46 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 12.00 8% 12.00 14.13  
MADISON LUVS DUKE 6 2 6 4 37 44 5 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 20% 4.00 5.73  
BOLD MEDICATION 7 5 4 5 510 6 611¼ (compton greg)COURT K 121 20.00 10.06  
ALFIO 3 4 10 8 611½ 7 711¾ (thornbury je)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 20.19  
LIAM THE BRAVE 8 8 8 10 1015¾ 810¼ 813¼ (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 15.09  
CLOSE KNIT 9 12 9 9 915¼ 912¼ 919 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 34.56  
10  VALE 10 6 5 6 711¾ 1013¼ 1028¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 18.51  
NIMRODS 4 1 1nk 1½ 1117¾ 1117¼ 1132½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 8.81  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 1 9 1223¾ 1237¼ 1267¾ 12100 12100 (capps steve )CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 11% 8.20 14.31  
SCR  SEVEN AND SEVEN               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 2 32 3 3 1½ 1¼ (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60 5.17 W
LEBLON 5 5 64 7 53 3 2¼ (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 3.47  
CARMICHAEL 6 3 21 21 2nk 2½ 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 1.77  
TEST PILOT 1 1 11 11 1nk 4 410 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11% 7.70 8.77  
TUANIS 2 6 76 6 7 5 511½ (glyshaw tim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 7.00 14.32  
KING'S OVATION 3 4 5 42 4 6 614¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 4.79  
BOURBON THUNDER 7 7 4 52 6 79 717 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 6.88  
 
CD-6   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CREED 7 4 43 31   1nk 1 (wilkes ian)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 2.92  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 6 5 85 55   5 2 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 4.99  
FAR FROM FINAL 2 2 21 2½   2nk 3 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 24% 3.20 10.33 S
BET HE'S READY 1 1 11 1½   3.2 46 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.18  
INSOLITO 3 8 32 4   4¾ 5 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 9.82  
CYCLONE 4 7 75 810   7 6 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 11% 7.80 3.46  
DOG RED 8 3 5 67   6 711¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 18.68  
ROCK WITH YOU 5 6 64 7   8 814¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 45.13  
 
CD-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:214 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEUTRALIZE 5 5 2½ 2nk   2½ 1½ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.91 W
11  MIGHTY MADISON 11 3 5 3.2   3½ 2½ (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 8.79  
MALIBU TOAST 4 6 1½ 1nk   1½ 3½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13% 6.50 5.03 S
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 3 10 7 8   75 4 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 2.06  
12  HIGH CLASS 12 2 10 75   63 5 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 119 3.50 8.46  
BABY GOT BACKSPIN 1 8 31 5   5 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 57% 0.80 3.40  
10  IN COLOR 10 7 62 4¼   41 73 (caramori caio)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 49.98  
TANGO ZULU 8 9 1210¾ 9   9 88 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 56.67  
MISS J D 7 12 8 6   87 910¼ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.17  
VARSITY BLONDE 6 4 41 119   1010½ 1011½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 25.78  
EXHIBIT HALL 2 11 11 12   1112 1113¾ (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.28  
MALLY'S MONSOON 9 1 9 109   1213½ 1215½ (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7% 13.60 46.53  
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  D'ORO STREET               (diodo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
SCR  RUTHLESS RUA               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  SURE CAN               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:111 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT 4 6 6 53 5 42 1¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 5.58  
RUNWAY MAGIC 5 5 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.23  
PAYNE 1 3 5 6 6 31 3¼ (caramori caio)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 4.39  
EMERALD EXPRESS 3 2 4 42 3 5 4 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 20% 4.00 18.35  
RODERICK 6 4 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 5 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.05  
SUMMER SPLASH 2 1 31 32 4 64 67 (cano mu)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 23% 3.40 5.91  
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
SCR  SONNEMAN               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
CD-9   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSALIS 8 4 2nk 2nk   1 1 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.22 W
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 2 5 82 5   5 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 27% 2.70 6.40 P
SURFER DUDE 4 2 7 6   32 3 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 12.00 9.29  
EMBRACE (IRE) 6 7 9 9   8 42 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J null   7.55  
VERB 3 1 3.2 4   42 5 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 25.96  
COASTAL DEFENSE 5 6 1nk 1nk   2 64 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.50 5% 19.00 9.10  
BROKEN RIB 7 8 5 31   7 74 (mejia dela)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 16.36  
WAYAKIN 1 3 4¾ 83   6 8 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 3.82  
10  GALLANT GUY 9 9 6 72   913¼ 920½ (gonzalez re)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 72.60  
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIROOVIN 5 2 4¾ 2nk   1 1 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 3.26  
FUJIN 1 8 8 811   43 2 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 10.00 18.26  
BOOSTER SHOT 6 4 5 4   3 3 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8.14  
11  MOGUL CRACK 9 7 3½ 3½   2 47 (gutierrez fa)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 11.92  
HAROLD'S CLOUD 4 3 1nk 1nk   5 511¼ (stidham mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 42% 1.40 2.49  
HUNTER'S DRIVE 7 5 6 52   6 613½ (desormeaux ke)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.22  
OWN THE FIELD 8 6 7 6   7 715¼ (mejia dela)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.53  
SLAMMING IT 2 9 9 912½   8 816½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.97  
TIME THE MARKET 3 1 2nk 76   917¾ 938¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 18.66  
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)               (manning j)CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.