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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/26/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	DETERMINEDLY									(casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		13%		6.70		1.11	W
5	SHOPPER'S REVENGE									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						6.00		★				12.66	P
6	SUN THUNDER									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00						19.33
4	DESERT WOLF									(pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		35%		1.80		8.28
7	PRAIRIE DUNES									(mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 119						3.50		29%		2.50		5.64
11	SMILE MON									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						20.00						47.61
2	MY SANCTUARY									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						20.00						44.38
3	SENSE YOU ASKED									(stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 119						15.00						5.24
1	TOP D'ORO									(delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						32.32
13	FAME									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119						8.00						23.94
10	NOISES OFF									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00						23.76
9	DREAMWITHINADREAM									(hiles jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						12.00		★				20.56
SCR	CROSSING									(lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119						20.00

CD-2			11/26/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TOWHEAD									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						3.50		34%		1.90		3.08	W
4	MIJA									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						6.00		★				9.73	P
10	HARMONICA									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00						19.12
7	COMPARATIVE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.50		42%		1.40		2.88
6	NO GUILT									(lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119						12.00						11.52
3	ROSES AND ROZAY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						6.00						14.31
1	WITS AND WAGERS									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119						8.00						7.47
2	TWO MINUTE LICK									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						20.00						23.18
8	TIVALI									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						20.00						90.63
9	STAY LOST									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						5.00		★				18.58
11	SWEET SWEETFANTASY									(courville ricky)LANERIE J 119						20.00						57.91
12	THEROANRUNNER									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						5.00		★				4.44

CD-3			11/26/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($127K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	VICTORY FORMATION									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122						1.80		30%		2.30		1.37	W
4	TWO EAGLES RIVER									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						4.00		29%		2.50		2.39	P
6	LUGAN KNIGHT									(mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 122						5.00		8%		11.70		4.18	S
5	JOKING WAY									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.00		★				3.75
1	WELAKA									(danner kelsey)MORALES EDGAR 122						12.00						33.72
3	LORD GRANTHAM									(hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						15.00						35.37
7	COFFEE CALIENTE									(rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						15.00		6%		15.00		49.63
8	GOLD LUCK									(garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 118						20.00						54.03

CD-4			11/26/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 2:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	VAHVA									(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.50		22%		3.50		1.50	W
12	POBLANO									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		19%		4.40		4.96	P
4	LADY IRENE									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						10.00						13.86
10	BRU NA BOINNE									(calhoun wi)CORRALES GERARDO 119						5.00						4.88
1	DEAR LADY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						10.93
2	TOUGH LEGACY									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						15.00						53.92
8	SOUPER EXPLOSIVE									(casse mar)LEPAROUX R 119						10.00						11.83
9	OKAY FINE									(lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						13.09
6	MEDAGLIA FOREVER									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						25.42
5	MARKET PROFILE									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						6.00		★				13.28
3	LUNA MOTH									(simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						20.00						93.49
7	PATTY VAN TWINKLE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						12.00		11%		8.10		24.59
SCR	IGUAZU FALLS									(huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						20.00
SCR	KISS IT GOODBYE									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00
SCR	KLASSY BRIDGETTE									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						3.00		24%		3.20
SCR	LADAN									(bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 119						20.00

CD-5			11/26/2022		5940ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	POINT PROVEN									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						5.00						2.25
10	ENDPOINT									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119						4.50		17%		4.80		6.59	P
2	ESCAPOLOGIST									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00		10%		9.40		4.50	S
9	SPIELMAN									(desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						3.50		18%		4.60		2.11
6	REGIMENTAL									(arnold george )ROCCO S 119						15.00						13.83
4	HARD TO COME BY									(von hemel )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00						22.73
1	COAL BOSS									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						74.45
12	MACHO VILLA									(lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119						20.00						86.25
11	SPOILER									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						8.00						14.10
8	LEVEL UP									(nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						15.00						58.26
3	FACE VALUE									(walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						10.00						43.49
5	CREPE YARNS									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						20.00						31.93
SCR	FIRST CLASS HARLOW									(courville ricky)LANERIE J 119						12.00
SCR	GORDY'S LABEL									(stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00		5%		19.00
SCR	PARKWAY									(mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00
SCR	ROCKET AND ROLL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00		26%		2.90

CD-6			11/26/2022		5280ft	TURF	RC0	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	WORTHINGTON									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.00		16%		5.20		3.55	W
3	MENDEL'S SECRET									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122						5.00		★				6.71	P
10	DEER DISTRICT									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122						2.50		44%		1.30		1.99	S
9	DONEGAL FACTOR									(cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						8.00						19.62
6	SUITABLE									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118						20.00						49.16
1	GOOD HEART									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						3.50						2.19
7	B MINOR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						15.00						16.34
8	COUNTERSPY									(casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00						40.62
2	CURLINS INCHARGE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						12.00						17.94
4	SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN									(langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118						20.00						74.73
SCR	ARISTOCRACY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00		16%		5.40
SCR	NITROMAN									(reed r)MCKEE J 118						15.00		5%		19.00

CD-7			11/26/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($200K)			2		F		PT- 3:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	RED CARPET READY									(arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.50		★				7.42
4	TWIRLED									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						3.00		29%		2.50		4.22	P
3	KEY OF LIFE (IRE)									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						1.00		35%		1.90		0.45	S
1	BAYTOWN LOVELY									(mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 122						20.00		★				52.96
2	THE GREAT MAYBE									(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122						4.00		9%		10.40		4.65
5	TELL ME WHEN									(hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 122						20.00						46.97

CD-8			11/26/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($127K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CONFIDENCE GAME									(desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00		5%		19.00		11.30	W
7	ROCKET CAN									(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50		15%		5.50		3.14	P
10	TEN DAYS LATER									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122						8.00		12%		7.00		7.94	S
5	HIT SHOW									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00		30%		2.40		1.38
11	TRAFFIC MASTER									(casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						12.00						26.44
2	HIGHWAY ROBBER									(lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118						10.00						6.69
3	TRES SOLES									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00						10.28
8	MO'S TREASURE									(lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						20.00						61.46
4	MUST BE THE MONEY									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118						10.00		15%		5.60		10.46
SCR	RAISE CAIN									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118						6.00
SCR	TAKE THE CHARGE									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118						30.00

CD-9			11/26/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($200K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	POWERFUL									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50		★				2.58
3	MR BOB									(falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 122						5.00		★				4.02	P
4	FROSTED DEPARTURE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.00		10%		9.40		4.05	S
1	ACCIDENT									(short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122						30.00						43.43
6	TOP RECRUIT									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.50		32%		2.20		3.78
2	BOURBON BASH									(lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						5.00						6.02
7	MOUNSIEUR COCO									(gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 122						6.00		34%		2.00		5.13

CD-10			11/26/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade II Stake/Handicap					Purse ($400K)			2		F		PT- 5:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	HOOSIER PHILLY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						1.00		41%		1.40		0.48	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
6	KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF									(block chr)LEPAROUX R 122						12.00		★				24.16	P
		(by KITTEN'S JOY out of FATEER by ESKENDEREYA)
1	PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50		26%		2.80		5.15	S
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of PRETTY CITY DANCER by TAPIT)
8	PURE PAULINE									(pletcher)SANTANA JR 122						15.00						15.96
		(by CURLIN out of KEEN PAULINE by PULPIT)
10	DEFINING PURPOSE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						15.00						22.93
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEFINING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
7	T MAX									(walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122						12.00		8%		11.10		13.03
		(by CONNECT out of PLEASANT DRIVE by SALEM DRIVE)
3	AMERICAN ROCKETTE									(mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 122						10.00		★				7.40
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9	TAKE CHARGE BRIANA									(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122						15.00						20.08
		(by CURLIN out of TAKE CHARGE TRESSA by WAR FRONT)
SCR	BLACK FOREST									(gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 122						20.00
		(by UNKNOWN out of BLACK OAK by FORESTRY)
SCR	MUSTANG LADY									(newton troy)BEJARANO R 122						15.00
		(by TONALIST out of HUNDRED YEAR STORM by WAR FRONT)

CD-11			11/26/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade II Stake/Handicap					Purse ($400K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	INSTANT COFFEE									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122						2.50		39%		1.60		1.54	W
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of FOLLOW NO ONE by UNCLE MO)
1	CURLY JACK									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						3.00		20%		4.10		2.62	P
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of CONNIE AND MICHAEL by ROMAN RULER)
7	HAYES STRIKE									(mcpeek g)BEJARANO R 122						10.00						22.88
		(by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
5	RED ROUTE ONE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						3.50		7%		12.60		9.04
		(by GUN RUNNER out of RED HOUSE by RED RYDER)
3	DENINGTON									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00						14.97
		(by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
4	GIGANTE									(asmussen steven)LANERIE J 122						12.00						24.59
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
9	CYCLONE MISCHIEF									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122						8.00		★				6.16
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of AREYOUCOMINGHERE by BERNARDINI)
6	FREEDOM TRAIL									(terranova jo)GEROUX FLORENT 122						6.00		13%		6.80		5.90
		(by COLLECTED out of FREEDOM by WAR FRONT)
2	WESTERN GHENT									(lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122						20.00						64.77
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)

CD-12			11/26/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 6:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	GUN PILOT									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						8.00						11.75
11	MOBSTER									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		33%		2.00		3.58	P
3	TALLADEGA									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		13%		6.60		2.92	S
1	GLOBAL PRIDE									(delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						22.18
13	HALLOW POINT									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00						21.42
5	MIDNIGHT PRANKS									(calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00		5%		19.00		11.95
9	WINGER									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						10.00						16.38
2	KING D'ORO									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00		★				4.86
6	ITZOS									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119						4.00		28%		2.50		5.49
4	BACKSIDE BUZZ									(vance d)LANERIE J 119						8.00						19.88
10	ALL ABOUT CROGE									(hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 119						30.00						85.90
7	PINFIRE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						12.00						17.28
SCR	MR MIDWAY									(courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 119						30.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.