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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/19/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($15K)					Purse ($37K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	LOOT THE MOON									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124						4.50						8.26
1	SCOTCH NO ROCKS									(roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 122						6.00						15.24
12	MYUDDERMAMASAPAINT									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 124						12.00		5%		19.00		23.43	S
11	SPUNS SON									(taylor brent)BEJARANO R 122						12.00						23.75
14	TIMEHASCOME									(romans dal)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						6.00						5.97
9	BRODY'S FLY									(romans dale)LANERIE J 122						12.00						16.85
10	RA'S AL GHUL									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122						10.00						30.07
6	SUPE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122						5.00		8%		12.00		3.19
3	THE BIG MOZZ									(trujillo el)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124						5.00		51%		0.90		7.51
2	SUMMER LOVER									(williamson br)MORALES EDGAR 122						15.00		5%		19.00		40.77
8	NICHOLAS JONES									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 122						6.00		10%		9.20		5.17
4	SOUTHERN SENSE									(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122						4.00						4.33
SCR	BIG PETE									(barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 122						6.00
SCR	GIRO D'ORO									(pincins rober)CANNON DECLAN 124						20.00

CD-2			11/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MIDASWELLRUN									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.00		★				6.07
3	STEELY DANZA									(foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.00		★				1.08	P
6	LANSDOWNE (GB)									(lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL null												6.61
2	HOLIDAY HOUSE									(morrison m)CORRALES GERARDO 118						3.50		★				4.78
5	MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE									(cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120						5.00		68%		0.50		13.12
4	ROMANCER									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		★				3.60

CD-3			11/19/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SUITABLE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		26%		2.80		1.60	W
9	YACHT ROCK (IRE)									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						3.50		26%		2.80		4.00	P
6	BORN FLAWLESS									(heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						12.00						61.41
7	LED TASSO									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00						6.34
5	COLLECTORATE									(cook b)BEJARANO R 119						10.00						10.57
8	DUPLANTIS									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						4.00		15%		5.80		3.36
1	COACH ROGERS									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						14.00
10	LET'S GO RANDOM									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00		5%		19.00		17.39
4	KING SHAMAN									(navarrete )CORRALES GERARDO 119						20.00						67.26
3	WINNING DANCE									(desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114						15.00		7%		13.50		38.02

CD-4			11/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			2		F		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CONDENSATION									(cano muno)MACHADO LUAN 122						5.00		26%		2.90		5.68	W
2	FRIGID LADY									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122						2.50		29%		2.50		1.64	P
7	HAPPY CLOUDS									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120						10.00						33.90
3	MOON MAGIC CHRISSY									(danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120						6.00		★				9.95
6	GIRL AFRAID									(kintz ma)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.50						3.96
1	SAENZ									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.00		13%		6.90		1.75
SCR	CUPIDS PAYDAY									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120						12.00		10%		8.90

CD-5			11/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	F FIVE									(lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 122						10.00						8.33
1	TOWN BRANCH									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						8.00		★				9.42	P
5	CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE)									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122						2.00		55%		0.80		0.98	S
9	WOODLINE									(reed eric )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50		22%		3.50		3.38
8	CLOUD WITHOUT REIN									(barnett c)COURT K 122						4.00		★				11.03
3	YODASON									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122						10.00						10.34
2	MY ROAD									(rider m)MACHADO LUAN 122						20.00						64.27
4	WITHOUT A SONG									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 122						8.00		★				12.79
7	YOLO SANTIAGO									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122						20.00						56.77

CD-6			11/19/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BROMLEY									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119						10.00		★				23.05
4	KENTUCKY JOKER									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119						20.00						34.54
11	LARK'S MISCHIEF									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00		★				3.80	S
1	EASY ACTION									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						2.00		38%		1.60		2.24
8	DREAM FORCE									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00		17%		5.00		12.98
10	LIBERTANGO									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119						12.00						20.33
2	SHAKE UP									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						12.00						46.18
3	REAGAN									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		22%		3.50		2.04
9	EDDIE M									(walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119						12.00						17.27
5	CHICAGO'S GRAY									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119						12.00						8.63
SCR	MO HOPE									(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						12.00

CD-7			11/19/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	BLUE KENTUCKY									(wong jon)SANTANA JR 118						2.50		13%		6.50		1.83	W
4	AMPERSAND									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						6.00		12%		7.10		4.94	P
7	CARTIER CAT									(silva h)BEJARANO R 121						15.00						29.33
6	ARTHURIAN									(caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 121						12.00		10%		8.90		23.51
1	BONUS APPRECIATION									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118						8.00						9.23
12	PRIMER DIMER									(dio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121						8.00						17.85
8	MULBERRY STREET									(hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 123						12.00						4.17
2	PURE PANIC									(cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118						15.00						32.95
3	EXPLOSIVE									(o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50		30%		2.30		3.92
9	JUANITA'S EXPRESS									(deegan jose)STERRITT KENDAL 121						15.00		5%		18.50		59.15
10	CRIMINAL DEFENSE									(barnett bobby)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						20.00						95.54
5	LITTLE ALEX									(torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 121						15.00						71.06
SCR	KIDYOUNOT									(barnett c)COURT K 121						20.00

CD-8			11/19/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CORONA BOLT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.50		8%		12.10		2.30	W
7	COMMUNICATION MEMO									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						2.50		24%		3.20		2.64	P
5	CARCANO									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119						3.00		42%		1.40		3.54	S
8	SURFACE TO AIR									(miller dar)CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00		5%		19.00		15.54
1	COLLIER'S TIME									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						8.00		★				12.35
3	EVENT DETAIL									(lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00						5.89
6	COMMANDER REX									(ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 119						20.00						55.94
11	MUTAAWID									(pletcher)SANTANA JR 119						10.00						12.86
9	SECRET POCKET									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						15.00						29.33
4	RIDGEPOINT ROAD									(catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						78.10
SCR	PINFIRE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						15.00

CD-9			11/19/2022		5610ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ)									(lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						5.00						2.64
1	NEW ROO									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						12.00						18.27
8	BARISTA									(baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 121						4.00						4.25
10	FAIRCHILD									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00						3.94
6	CALDEE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121						5.00						4.09
11	FAIR GAME									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121						10.00						18.20
3	LAURA'S CHARM									(kerrick la)CORRALES GERARDO 118						12.00						8.44
2	ROUGHLY A DIAMOND									(nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						5.00						9.10
7	UNDISTURBED									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121						12.00						24.05
13	CHEROKEE SONG									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121						20.00
SCR	ILLIOGAMI									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50		10%		8.70
SCR	JAG WARRIOR									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118						3.00		14%		6.00
SCR	WICKED GROOVE									(contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121						3.00		45%		1.20
SCR	MICROCAP									(forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00
SCR	MISTY VEIL									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						12.00		5%		19.00
SCR	POLKA POLENTA									(davis j)DE CRUZ 121						10.00		5%		19.00
SCR	DREAMWORKER									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00
SCR	LADY FROSTED									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121						8.00

CD-10			11/19/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($300K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SHE CAN'T SING									(block chri)HERNANDEZ J 121						2.50		14%		6.30		3.52	W
		(by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4	ICE ORCHID									(ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						10.00						8.68
		(by SUPER SAVER out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
7	LIBERTY M D									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121						8.00		7%		12.60		5.92	S
		(by CONSTITUTION out of DR. ZIC by MILWAUKEE BREW)
1	COACH									(cox brad)SANTANA JR 121						1.80		38%		1.60		1.45
		(by COMMISSIONER out of AND STAY OUT by EXCHANGE RATE)
5	EMPIRE HOUSE									(wong jonathan)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						15.00						26.26
		(by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAMA YAY by MINESHAFT)
2	MARIAH'S PRINCESS									(bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 121						3.00		★				2.34
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of MAYA PRINCESS by STREET SENSE)
SCR	CENTER AISLE									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121						6.00		12%		7.20
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)

CD-11			11/19/2022		6600ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	WAR CAMPAIGN									(sims a)LANERIE J 118						2.50		15%		5.60		2.83	W
3	STRONG QUALITY									(casse ma)SANTANA JR 118						3.00		55%		0.80		1.36	P
9	GATE RUNNER									(pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.00		★				2.34	S
5	TEN GAUGE									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120						5.00		★				9.76
4	O P FIRECRACKER									(medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						15.00						32.62
6	COMPLETE AGENDA									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00						8.40
SCR	CHROME REPUBLIC									(biancone )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						20.00
SCR	DOCTOR NASH									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120						10.00		6%		15.00
SCR	JR'S GIFT									(andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.