Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHELL SHOCK   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 16% 5.20 2.20 W
8  SASSY SAGEY   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 12% 7.20 2.50 P
3  SOCIAL MANDATE   (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 9.66  
4  AFLEET ARLENE   (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 15% 5.80 1.67  
2  MRS. NUSHI   (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 10.67  
1  GATHER IN BALI   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 15.40  
SCR  ROMANCE NOVEL   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  SWEET BEAUTY   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00 ★    
 
CD-2   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRITTLE AND YOO   (wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 ★ 1.20  
3  WORLD OF WONDER   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 46% 1.20 1.45 P
5  DANCE RHYTHMS   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 9.44  
4  MAGICAL PEAPOD   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 17% 4.80 7.92  
1  KIMBERLEY DREAM   (winston f)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5.91  
SCR  CHARGE ACCOUNT   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  STANLEY MARKET   (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
CD-3   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REAL NEWS   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 56% 0.80 2.57 W
9  HEMP HEAVEN   (wittek karyn)COURT K 120 8.00 11.07  
8  VIOLENT GIGI   (miller kenny)RAMOS D 120 8.00 ★ 6.94 S
1  HONORARY DEGREE   (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 6.00 6.31  
6  JINGLE   (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 7.77  
5  ROCK N JUNE BUG   (matthews )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.80 3.29  
2  CALIFORNIA STREET   (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 8% 11.70 4.62  
3  WITH VERVE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 ★ 14.92  
SCR  MARKET DEVELOPMENT   (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
 
CD-4   11/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HEY BOSS   (werre danny)MCKEE J 118 3.00 2.21  
4  RIGHT OF RUSH   (jazdzewski jo)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 18.05  
8  FATHER PATRICK   (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 20% 3.90 5.12 S
10  JACKS FIRE BALLS   (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 7% 12.90 3.19  
5  MARK THE MOOSE   (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9% 9.70 5.47  
11  KEEN MIND   (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.87  
6  MONEY PIT   (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00 36.71  
2  ASHWINS ORB   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 4.51  
SCR  CONSIDER   (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
SCR  VASILEVSKIY (IRE)   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
SCR  YONO   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
CD-5   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SONO GRATO   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 4.00  
2  AZZURRO   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 4.00 5.16  
9  FILIPPO   (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.69 S
6  CHROME'S RIGHT   (howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 44% 1.20 7.51  
7  ONE MORE BABY   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 6.83  
1  BIG BOSS BEN   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.70 3.27  
5  GOLDEN LUNA   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 2.35  
SCR  HOLIDAY HOUSE   (estvanko richard)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  MR. BOUMA   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD   (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
 
CD-6   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JOEY FRESHWATER   (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 46% 1.20 3.94 W
9  NO EASY DAYS   (mccarthy mich)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 9.21  
4  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER   (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.49 S
2  HILL OF TARA   (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★ 4.36  
10  O'CONNER SUNSET   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.41  
3  COLOR FIELD   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 12.95  
6  WILDERZAR   (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 22.94  
7  BORDER SPIN   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 7.02  
13  FEELING   (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 45.35  
1  RECON   (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 28.41  
8  NORTHERN RUNNER   (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 75.74  
5  VELOCIMO   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 23.41  
SCR  BOUDIN   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT COLORS   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
SCR  DREAMFACTOR   (stinson)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
SCR  FASHION MUNNY   (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COTTON CANDY ANNIE   (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 24.98  
5  MUSTANG LADY   (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.31 P
3  BLUELIGHTSPECIAL   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 41% 1.50 8.26 S
8  BLACK FOREST   (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.76  
1  JUST LIKE MAGIC   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 ★ 10.36  
9  WILLOW BEND   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 27.26  
6  EAST SHORE   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 21.92  
4  PEACOCK LASS   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 9% 10.40 2.89  
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 3.59  
 
CD-8   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLOKI'S FLIGHT   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 49% 1.00 2.19 W
5  MAHAAMEL (IRE)   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 23% 3.40 3.68 P
7  AMERICAN ICON   (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.35 S
8  EXTRAVAGATE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 2.57  
1  MIDNIGHT RAID   (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 3.39  
6  GROUP EIGHTEEN   (williamso)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 24.66  
4  FREEZE POP   (londono genevi)ROCCO S 118 10.00 12.62  
9  TOUCH CODE   (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 40.86  
SCR  COUSIN LARRY   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  TWO BIRDS   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NAPA CANDY   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 22.90  
12  CANCEL THIS   (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 14.46  
8  SCARLET STRIPE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.44 S
1  AIN'T BROKE   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★ 4.34  
14  FLASHY CHARGE   (frazier matt)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 46.16  
2  DAME JOVIALE   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 36.74  
3  MERCY WARREN   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 9.91  
4  CODE NAME KATE   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 ★ 5.16  
7  SCENIC MASTERPIECE   (wong jon)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 13.06  
5  RING ME DARLING   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 21.18  
13  SHE'S ALL CLASS   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9.83  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS   (hawley wesley)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCR  GUNNING   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  OLGA ISABEL   (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CD-10   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STRAVA   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 3.19  
12  BIG BLUE LINE   (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 4.00  
7  TARTUFO   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 11% 8.10 10.85 S
8  BRIEFCASE BULLY   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 8.21  
13  NEPOTISM   (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 13% 6.40 6.05  
5  RICOCHET   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.03  
11  MAILMAN MONEY   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 6% 16.20 15.06  
10  MOHAAFETH   (trujillo e)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 36.12  
4  UBER KIRK   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 5.00 21% 3.70 8.55  
15  HAZEL RAH   (guida a)DE CRUZ 116 30.00 48.39  
9  TEXAS RED HOT   (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.70  
1  SILK TRADE   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 12.15  
SCR  GAGETOWN   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE   (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
CD-11   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRADEMARK   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 3.56  
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
1  STOLEN BASE   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6.16  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  RED DANGER   (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 6.51  
  (by ORB out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  ACTUATOR   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 0.95  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of INDIAN ROCKET (GB) by INDIAN RIDGE (IRE))
8  FIGHTER IN THE WIN   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 16.24  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FIGHT WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  PLAY ACTION PASS   (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 19% 4.30 5.66  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
SCR  BARBERINI   (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of FREETHINKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of BEAUCOUP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  PORTFOLIO COMPANY   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  RUNNING BEE   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OUR JOY by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
CD-12   11/27/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  DEBATE   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.59 W
3  MOUNT CRAIG   (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 14% 6.10 5.06 P
5  CANT BE DOIN THAT   (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00 39.88  
10  EV'S SHERMAN   (villafr)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 7% 14.10 25.18  
11  PATOU ROAD   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 4.77  
9  MAMZOOJ   (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 9.35  
4  VICTORY MARCH   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 42% 1.40 2.36  
1  FLUTE MASTER   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 16.80  
12  MAGILLA   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 27.64  
8  ARROGATES SPIRIT   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 9% 9.90 6.28  
6  ROMANICHAL   (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 122 12.00 25.71  
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)   (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.