Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL SHOCK 5 2 52 42   1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 16% 5.20 2.20 W
SASSY SAGEY 6 1 1½ 1nk   2 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 12% 7.20 2.50 P
SOCIAL MANDATE 3 5 41 5   56 312 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 9.66  
AFLEET ARLENE 4 3 2½ 2nk   3 412 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 15% 5.80 1.67  
MRS. NUSHI 2 6 3½ 3½   46 515¼ (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 10.67  
GATHER IN BALI 1 4 64 67   618½ 640¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 15.40  
SCR  ROMANCE NOVEL               (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  SWEET BEAUTY               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITTLE AND YOO 5 2 54 53 4 1nk 1 (wong jonatha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 1.20  
WORLD OF WONDER 2 3 11 11 1½ 2nk 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 46% 1.20 1.45 P
DANCE RHYTHMS 4 4 42 42 2½ 3 314 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 9.44  
MAGICAL PEAPOD 3 1 21 21 31 46 416½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 17% 4.80 7.92  
KIMBERLEY DREAM 1 5 3 3 56 516 531 (winston fre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5.91  
SCR  CHARGE ACCOUNT               (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 121 2.50    
SCR  STANLEY MARKET               (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
CD-3   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NEWS 6 3 3½ 31   2½ 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 56% 0.80 2.57 W
HEMP HEAVEN 8 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 2¼ (wittek karyn)COURT K 120 8.00 11.07  
VIOLENT GIGI 7 2 4 4   32 32 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 120 8.00 6.94 S
HONORARY DEGREE 1 8 8 7   4 4 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 6.00 6.31  
JINGLE 5 7 6 5   6 5 (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 7.77  
ROCK N JUNE BUG 4 1 1nk 2nk   53 6 (matthews ra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.80 3.29  
CALIFORNIA STREET 2 6 7 8   8 78 (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 8% 11.70 4.62  
WITH VERVE 3 5 5 6   77 8 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 14.92  
SCR  MARKET DEVELOPMENT               (edwards william)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
 
CD-4   11/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:141 1:42   1:553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY BOSS 5 8 6 7 66 1½ 13 (werre danny)MCKEE J 118 3.00 2.21  
RIGHT OF RUSH 2 5 32 4 43 2½ 23 (jazdzewski jon)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 18.05  
FATHER PATRICK 6 7 7 810¼ 8 7 37 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 20% 3.90 5.12 S
10  JACKS FIRE BALLS 7 3 816½ 5 5 5 48 (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 7% 12.90 3.19  
MARK THE MOOSE 3 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 3½ 510 (radosevich j)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9% 9.70 5.47  
11  KEEN MIND 8 4 4 3½ 3½ 42 611¼ (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.87  
MONEY PIT 4 6 5 6 7 8 714¼ (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00 36.71  
ASHWINS ORB 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 6 817 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 4.51  
SCR  CONSIDER               (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
SCR  VASILEVSKIY (IRE)               (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
SCR  YONO               (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
CD-5   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:112     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONO GRATO 6 6 7 5   33 1¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 4.00  
AZZURRO 2 4 4 45   21 2¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 4.00 5.16  
FILIPPO 7 7 3½ 3½   11 3 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.69 S
CHROME'S RIGHT 4 1 57 712   4 45 (howard marya)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 44% 1.20 7.51  
ONE MORE BABY 5 2 69 610½   710½ 511¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 6.83  
BIG BOSS BEN 1 5 2½ 2nk   67 617¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.70 3.27  
GOLDEN LUNA 3 3 1½ 1nk   57 717¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 2.35  
SCR  HOLIDAY HOUSE               (estvanko richard)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  MR. BOUMA               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD               (richardson ti)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
 
CD-6   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JOEY FRESHWATER 11 1 4 1½   1 15 (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 46% 1.20 3.94 W
NO EASY DAYS 9 4 53 5   2 25 (mccarthy michae)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 9.21  
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 4 11 11 1010   812¾ 313¼ (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.49 S
HILL OF TARA 2 9 32 4   3 413¾ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 4.36  
10  O'CONNER SUNSET 10 5 63 31   4 514¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.41  
COLOR FIELD 3 10 107 76   712¼ 614¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 12.95  
WILDERZAR 6 8 7 6   511½ 716¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 22.94  
BORDER SPIN 7 12 1212½ 1212½   915¼ 817¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 7.02  
13  FEELING 12 7 85 99   1015¼ 917¾ (delgado gustavo)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 45.35  
RECON 1 2 11 2½   612 1027¼ (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 28.41  
NORTHERN RUNNER 8 6 96 1112   1124¾ 1131¾ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 75.74  
VELOCIMO 5 3 21 87   1225¾ 1246½ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 23.41  
SCR  BOUDIN               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT COLORS               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
SCR  DREAMFACTOR               (stinson w)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
SCR  FASHION MUNNY               (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:111 1:252   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 7 1 5 4 34 3 1¾ (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 24.98  
MUSTANG LADY 5 7 8 8 77 43 2¾ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.31 P
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL 3 4 31 33 4 5 3 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 41% 1.50 8.26 S
BLACK FOREST 8 8 1nk 2nk 1½ 1 4 (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.76  
JUST LIKE MAGIC 1 3 4 55 911 810 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 10.36  
WILLOW BEND 9 5 7 7 5 6 69 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 27.26  
EAST SHORE 6 6 9 9 67 78 710½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 21.92  
PEACOCK LASS 4 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 2 815¾ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 9% 10.40 2.89  
BOSS LADY BAILEY 2 9 6 6 88 911½ 920½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 3.59  
 
CD-8   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:133 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 2 1 1 1 1 1½ 1nk (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 49% 1.00 2.19 W
MAHAAMEL (IRE) 4 2 2 2 2 2½ 2nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 23% 3.40 3.68 P
AMERICAN ICON 6 6 32 3 3 38 3 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.35 S
EXTRAVAGATE 7 8 8 77 7 412 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 2.57  
MIDNIGHT RAID 1 4 7 88 6 714 518½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 3.39  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 5 5 54 5 4 613½ 619 (williamson )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 24.66  
FREEZE POP 3 3 43 45 5 513 723¼ (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 118 10.00 12.62  
TOUCH CODE 8 7 6 66 8 824½ 846 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 40.86  
SCR  COUSIN LARRY               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  TWO BIRDS               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NAPA CANDY 8 9 8 5   2 13 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 22.90  
12  CANCEL THIS 9 8 12 12   1 23 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 14.46  
SCARLET STRIPE 7 2 33 4   3 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.44 S
AIN'T BROKE 1 10 65 66   6 44 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 4.34  
14  FLASHY CHARGE 11 11 7 77   5 5 (frazier matt)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 46.16  
DAME JOVIALE 2 1 4 22   77 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 36.74  
MERCY WARREN 3 3 22 33   4 711 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 9.91  
CODE NAME KATE 4 4 11 9   9 811½ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 5.16  
SCENIC MASTERPIECE 6 7 10 11   10 911¾ (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 13.06  
RING ME DARLING 5 6 9 10   88 1015 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 21.18  
13  SHE'S ALL CLASS 10 5 55 87   1111 1117 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9.83  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hawley wesley)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCR  GUNNING               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  OLGA ISABEL               (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CD-10   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAVA 4 1 2½ 1nk 1½ 13 1 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 3.19  
12  BIG BLUE LINE 10 6 74 42 2½ 23 2 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 4.00  
TARTUFO 5 4 10 8 43 4 3 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 11% 8.10 10.85 S
BRIEFCASE BULLY 6 12 1211½ 1210¼ 10 5 48 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 8.21  
13  NEPOTISM 11 2 3 31 31 3 511¾ (scherer marian)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 13% 6.40 6.05  
RICOCHET 3 10 6 7 8 7 612½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.03  
11  MAILMAN MONEY 9 8 42 6 6 69 713¼ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 6% 16.20 15.06  
10  MOHAAFETH 8 11 8 9 9 911¾ 814¾ (trujillo elv)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 36.12  
UBER KIRK 2 5 5 5 53 8 922 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 5.00 21% 3.70 8.55  
15  HAZEL RAH 12 7 1½ 2nk 7 1015¼ 1023¾ (guida ant)DE CRUZ 116 30.00 48.39  
TEXAS RED HOT 7 3 11 11 1111¾ 1118¼ 1123¾ (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.70  
SILK TRADE 1 9 95 10 1212¼ 1223¼ 1237½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 12.15  
SCR  GAGETOWN               (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE               (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
CD-11   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:391   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADEMARK 2 6 21 2½ 1 13 14 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 3.56  
STOLEN BASE 1 1 44 4 2 23 24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6.16  
10  RED DANGER 6 2 6 65 66 310½ 315¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 6.51  
ACTUATOR 4 3 5 53 3 415½ 421½ (mccarthy mic)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 0.95  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 5 5 11 1½ 45 519 529½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 16.24  
PLAY ACTION PASS 3 4 3 32 5 620 634¼ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 19% 4.30 5.66  
SCR  BARBERINI               (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE               (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SCR  PORTFOLIO COMPANY               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM               (cox h)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  RUNNING BEE               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-12   11/27/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:113     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  DEBATE 11 4 5 4   12 1 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.59 W
MOUNT CRAIG 2 10 1010¼ 99   5 2 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 14% 6.10 5.06 P
CANT BE DOIN THAT 4 6 1111¾ 1110½   4 3 (toye )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00 39.88  
10  EV'S SHERMAN 8 5 2½ 2½   22 4 (villafran)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 7% 14.10 25.18  
11  PATOU ROAD 9 11 6 53   35 5 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 4.77  
MAMZOOJ 7 2 7 75   68 610½ (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 9.35  
VICTORY MARCH 3 7 4¾ 1½   7 713½ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 42% 1.40 2.36  
FLUTE MASTER 1 8 9 1010   814½ 820¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 16.80  
12  MAGILLA 10 9 8 88   920 926½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 27.64  
ARROGATES SPIRIT 6 3 1½ 31   1022 1040¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 9% 9.90 6.28  
ROMANICHAL 5 1 3½ 6   1123 1159 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 122 12.00 25.71  
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)               (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION               (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.