Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATHER IN BALI Oct15 Sep03 Jul25     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
2  MRS. NUSHI Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 Sep16 Sep08 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
3  SOCIAL MANDATE Nov10 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 Aug19 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
4  AFLEET ARLENE Oct21 Sep18       (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  SHELL SHOCK Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Jul31 Jul03 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  ROMANCE NOVEL Nov16 Sep23 Aug13 Jul02 Jun18 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  SWEET BEAUTY Nov03 Oct08 Jul20 Jul03 Jun25 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 10.00 ★    
8  SASSY SAGEY Oct18 Aug04 Jul11 Jun01   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-2   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMBERLEY DREAM Oct31 Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 (winston fre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00    
SCR  STANLEY MARKET Nov03 Sep18 Jul01 Jun11 May22 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
3  WORLD OF WONDER Nov12 Sep29 Aug23 Jul24 Jun24 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  MAGICAL PEAPOD Oct23 Sep28 Feb13 Jan15   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 17% 4.80    
5  DANCE RHYTHMS Oct06 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 Jun21 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
6  BRITTLE AND YOO Oct10 Sep22 Aug18 Jun04 May14 (wong jonatha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  CHARGE ACCOUNT Sep04 Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 121 2.50 ★    
 
CD-3   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORARY DEGREE Nov12 Oct13 Sep23 Sep15 Aug12 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 6.00    
2  CALIFORNIA STREET Oct27 Sep25 Aug21 Jun11 May15 (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 8% 11.70    
3  WITH VERVE Nov13 Oct07 Jun12     (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  MARKET DEVELOPMENT Sep30 Sep13 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 (edwards william)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
5  ROCK N JUNE BUG Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 (matthews ra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  JINGLE Nov02 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May13 (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
7  REAL NEWS Oct13 Sep05 Aug27 Aug06   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
8  VIOLENT GIGI Nov14 Sep21 Aug04 Jul12 Jun18 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 120 8.00 ★    
9  HEMP HEAVEN Jun29 Apr27 Jan02     (wittek karyn)COURT K 120 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Nov06 Oct11 Sep16 Apr30 Feb10 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
2  ASHWINS ORB Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 Sep06 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  CONSIDER Nov11 Oct20 Oct02 Sep20 Aug25 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
4  RIGHT OF RUSH Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Jun18 May28 (jazdzewski jon)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
5  MARK THE MOOSE Nov10 Oct25 Oct20 Oct05 Sep12 (radosevich j)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9% 9.70    
6  MONEY PIT Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 Aug12 May25 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00    
7  HEY BOSS Oct27 Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 Jul31 (werre danny)MCKEE J 118 3.00    
8  FATHER PATRICK Nov06 Oct05 Sep27 Sep09 Aug31 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  YONO Oct09 Sep18 Aug03 Apr14 Mar19 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  JACKS FIRE BALLS Nov06 Oct26 Aug31     (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 7% 12.90    
11  KEEN MIND Oct07 Sep28 Aug30 Aug12 Aug02 (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOSS BEN Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  AZZURRO Nov09 Oct12 Jan15     (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 4.00    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug20 (richardson ti)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
SCR  MR. BOUMA May15 Feb05       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  GOLDEN LUNA Oct28 Sep24 Jul31 Jun19 May22 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
6  CHROME'S RIGHT Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 Aug21 (howard marya)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 44% 1.20    
7  ONE MORE BABY Oct12 Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 Jun08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
8  SONO GRATO Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jun30 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
9  FILIPPO Oct28 Aug22 Mar13 Feb20 Jan13 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY HOUSE Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 Aug22 (estvanko richard)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECON Oct21 Sep08       (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
2  HILL OF TARA Oct28 Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 May05 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★    
3  COLOR FIELD Oct19 Sep22 Aug30 Aug06   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
4  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Nov06 Sep21 Sep03 Aug05 Jun26 (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  VELOCIMO Jul12         (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
6  WILDERZAR Nov13 Oct13 Oct02     (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
7  BORDER SPIN         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
8  NORTHERN RUNNER Nov03         (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
9  NO EASY DAYS Oct23 Oct01 Aug28     (mccarthy michae)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00    
10  O'CONNER SUNSET Nov09 Oct23       (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  JOEY FRESHWATER Nov06         (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  DREAMFACTOR Jul30 Jul16       (stinson w)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
13  FEELING Nov17         (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  FASHION MUNNY         (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  BOUDIN Nov17 Oct28 Sep30     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT COLORS Nov17 Oct02 Jul17     (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LIKE MAGIC Jul04 Jun17       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 ★    
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY Oct07 Sep17 Jul23     (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
3  BLUELIGHTSPECIAL Oct30 Oct05 Sep07 Aug11 Jul19 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 41% 1.50    
4  PEACOCK LASS Oct30 Sep17 Aug07     (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 9% 10.40    
5  MUSTANG LADY Oct07 Sep03 Jul31     (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  EAST SHORE Oct30 Oct02 Sep01 Jul23 Jun17 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
7  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Nov02 Sep29 Sep03 Jul31 Jun29 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
8  BLACK FOREST Nov04 Sep30 Aug13 Jun19 Jun03 (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  WILLOW BEND Oct28 Sep23 Aug13     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT RAID Nov03 Sep23 Jul24 Jun22 Mar04 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
SCR  TWO BIRDS Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 Jul28 Jul01 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Nov09 Sep25 Aug20 Jul24 Jun11 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  FREEZE POP Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 Aug24   (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
5  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Oct28 Oct14       (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
6  GROUP EIGHTEEN Jul15 Jun03 May05 Apr07 Feb20 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
7  AMERICAN ICON Nov16 Nov09 Oct14 Sep17 Feb04 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXTRAVAGATE Nov06 Oct12 Aug28 Jul24   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
9  TOUCH CODE Nov06 Oct02 May30 May15 Mar19 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Aug15 Jul13 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T BROKE Oct15 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★    
2  DAME JOVIALE Nov03 Oct15 Sep18 Aug14   (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
3  MERCY WARREN Oct29 Jun26 Jun03 Apr13 Mar10 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
4  CODE NAME KATE Oct21 Sep23 Aug29 Feb03   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 ★    
5  RING ME DARLING Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 Aug14 Jul03 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  OLGA ISABEL Oct29 Oct07 May06 Mar05   (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  SCENIC MASTERPIECE Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Aug06 Jun19 (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
8  SCARLET STRIPE Oct28 Oct01 Aug13     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  GUNNING Sep24 Aug14 Jul02 Jun04   (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
10  NAPA CANDY Oct15 Aug27 Jul09 Jun03 May06 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  DUPLICITOUS Nov03 Oct14 Sep18 Sep01 Aug07 (hawley wesley)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
12  CANCEL THIS Nov06 Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 Jul31 (romans da)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
13  SHE'S ALL CLASS Nov06 Oct07 Sep10 Aug14   (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
14  FLASHY CHARGE Jun02 May05 Jan22     (frazier matt)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
 
CD-10   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILK TRADE Nov05 Sep25 Aug20 Jul30 Jul01 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00    
SCR  GAGETOWN Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul04 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL Sep30 Jul09 Jun04 May07 Apr16 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
4  UBER KIRK Oct16 Sep17 Aug20 Jun30 May30 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  RICOCHET Sep05 Jul30 Jul01 May28 Mar27 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
6  STRAVA Oct14 Sep24 Aug14 Jun04 Apr16 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
7  TARTUFO Apr23 Apr02 Feb12     (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 11% 8.10    
8  BRIEFCASE BULLY Oct16 Sep16 Jul24 Jun18 May15 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
9  TEXAS RED HOT Nov12 Sep21 Jul02 Feb26   (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
10  MOHAAFETH Jun18 May20 Apr16 Feb26 Jan22 (trujillo elv)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
11  MAILMAN MONEY Oct20 Aug06 Jun25     (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 6% 16.20    
12  BIG BLUE LINE Oct20 Sep24 Aug20 Jul09 Jun09 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
13  NEPOTISM Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 Jul04 Jun19 (scherer marian)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE Nov04 Oct03 May10 Mar26 Feb26 (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
15  HAZEL RAH Oct19 Oct05 Aug03 Jun29 Jun11 (guida e)HOLMES GAGE 116 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN BASE Oct29 Aug05 Jul09 May07 Apr02 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
2  TRADEMARK Oct20 Aug26 Aug14 Jul09 May07 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  RUNNING BEE Oct26 Sep05 Aug10 Jul02   (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★    
4  PLAY ACTION PASS Oct29 Sep14 Jul30 Jun04 May15 (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE Oct26 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 Apr23 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM Oct29 Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 May21 (cox h)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  ACTUATOR Oct20 Aug27 Jul09 Jun08   (mccarthy mic)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
8  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Oct21 Sep23 Jul22 Jun18   (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Oct29 Aug13 Jun26 May07   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  RED DANGER Jun03 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Feb05 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  BARBERINI Oct23 Sep25 Apr24 Mar18 Feb20 (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-12   11/27/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUTE MASTER Sep05 Aug10 Jun26     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION Nov09 Sep29 Sep13 Aug21 Jul31 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
3  MOUNT CRAIG Nov03 Jun26       (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  VICTORY MARCH Nov03 Oct02 Jan09     (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  CANT BE DOIN THAT Nov03         (toye )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00    
6  ROMANICHAL Jan15         (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Nov13 Feb20 Jan22     (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
8  ARROGATES SPIRIT Oct29 Sep22       (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
9  MAMZOOJ Oct29 Oct02       (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
10  EV'S SHERMAN Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb12 (villafran)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 7% 14.10    
11  PATOU ROAD         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
12  MAGILLA         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
13  DEBATE         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.