Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOL BOX 9 1 2nk 1½   1 1 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 20.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
MIZSPELT 3 8 8 7   66 2 (guillory james)BOURQUE J 123 3.50 54% 0.80 10.70 P
10  MAD GOLD 10 3 3 3   33 3 (bustamante david)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 11% 8.20 1.80 S
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 1 10 10 8   7 4 (schwandt emil)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00 47.00  
SHOT ON WINDY HILL 6 5 5 6   4 5 (cormier housto)BARRERA J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.50  
AMAZING AMERICAN 7 6 6 5   55 64 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00 31.50  
JACKIE MOON 4 4 1nk 2½   2 7 (derousselle peter)STOKES A 123 8.00 8.60  
GRAND PRODUCTION 8 2 4 4   87 8 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 44.60  
BLUE RIDGE RED 5 7 7 98   911 912¼ (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00 8.50  
MR. E EDWARDS 2 9 9 1010   1013 1015½ (rubin donald)MELANCON G 123 5.00 5% 17.70 8.50  
SCR  CALLEN FEELS GOOD               (pedigo randy)BACA L 120 12.00    
SCR  MR. CURLIN               (mojica a)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
 
DED-2   10/15/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:142     1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LAURA 7 7 68 5   1nk 1 (guillory jr)BIRZER E 115 6.00 2.80  
VARSITY FLYGIRL 1 3 43 31   3.2 2 (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 50% 1.00 2.40 P
CUPERE 4 6 56 6   5 3 (faucheux ron)MELANCON G 115 8.00 6.60  
DIANNA'S JET 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 4 (guillory jr)BOURQUE J 118 6.00 9.90  
IZEONPOINT 5 5 7 7   7 5 (gelner j)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
1A  CYCLONE SORORITY 6 2 21 2nk   4 6 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 16% 5.30 2.40  
PRESSLY'S HOPE 2 4 33 42   6 710¼ (diodoro robertin)THORNTON G 115 4.50 7.90  
SCR  CARLOS LOVES TEE               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 3.50    
SCR  CAVE CREEK               (dussette alv)ALBERT S 113 12.00 7% 13.50    
 
DED-3   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:15     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDIT'S PRIDE 6 5 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (larrosa a)VARGAS P 120 5.00 10.10  
LOUISIANA LIBERTY 7 4 3½ 3.2   2nk 2¼ (flint steve)MELANCON G 120 4.00 17% 4.90 3.40 P
FOR HARPER 4 1 5 4   32 3 (ducoing sturg)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 49% 1.00 0.90 S
MIDNIGHT FAITH 3 2 1½ 2nk   4 4 (briley lonnie)COTTO L 120 10.00 11.40  
CAILIN TAPA 8 8 6 5   5 513 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 13% 6.50 5.10  
SIKARA SIKARA 1 3 4 7   6 616¼ (delhomme jef)ALBERT S 115 5.00 9.00  
MOSHINYFUTURE 5 6 72 6   714¼ 726¾ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 28.80  
NIKLAUSIA 2 7 88 822¼   834¼ 876¾ (broussard jarmond)BOURQUE J 120 15.00 80.90  
SCR  TAP IRON FIST               (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
 
DED-4   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:142     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CPRIORITY 3 3 31 1nk   1nk 1¼ (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 4.00 9.90  
UNIFIED ASSETS 8 7 7 3.2   2nk 2¼ (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 12% 7.10 3.80 P
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 9 5 6 5½   4 3 (balderas alfonso)BACA L 117 12.00 10% 8.70 5.50 S
ZULTAN 1 1 1½ 2nk   31 42 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 15.00 25.00  
POPEYES HEART 4 4 5 6   52 52 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 12% 7.30 11.90  
LEROY JENKINS 6 8 8 7   6 6 (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 123 3.00 20% 4.00 3.10  
10  FAR BEYOND 10 6 9 94   8 7 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 12.00 9.90  
DIXIE STAR 5 9 42 8   9 8 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00 8.40  
LONG ARROW 2 2 2½ 4¼   7 910¾ (gelner scott)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 6.70  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 7 10 10 106   10 1011¾ (gomez da)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 12% 7.50 12.90  
 
DED-5   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:134     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAURI'S WISH 5 2 11 1½   12 1 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 3.00  
HIGHTAIL COWBOY 7 5 21 2½   22 2 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 24% 3.10 3.60 P
MISTS OF TIME 8 8 5 3   3 3 (hernandez estefa)COTTO L 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 S
SCREENPLAY 2 7 8 4   4 4 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 15% 5.80 13.90  
TENOR 1 3 7 76   69 59 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 8.00 6.60  
SMOKY TOPAZ 3 1 32 5   57 6 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 6.60  
TAYLOR'S SENSE 6 6 4 65   713 714½ (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00 5% 17.50 51.40  
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 4 4 6 8   814 814½ (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 120 6.00 24.20  
 
DED-6   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING HART 4 1 11 1   12 1hd (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 26% 2.90 3.30 W
HAMAZING LACE 2 4 21 2   22 2hd (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.00 P
DEAL ME A PENNY 8 2 32 3   36 3 (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00 6.60  
APRIORITY MAGIC 7 3 6 45   49 410½ (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 12.00 9% 9.90 10.50  
TAYLORS BABE 3 8 8 78   714½ 512¼ (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.50 13% 6.90 7.60  
MARIAH'S CANDY 5 6 44 67   513 613 (gelner j)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 2.60  
BOSTON BELLE 6 5 54 57   613½ 714¾ (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 10.00 47.20  
APRIORITY GIRL 1 7 7 811   822½ 846 (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 10.00 44.00  
 
DED-7   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:15     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED QUEEN 7 9 8 7   31 1½ (pike l)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 39% 1.50 1.30 W
FINAL QUEST 9 2 21 2nk   1½ 2½ (bri)DE CRUZ 114 8.00 30% 2.30 1.70 P
ABSOLUTELY 2 5 7 8   56 36 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 4.50 7.40 S
VIV VIV VIV 3 1 11 1nk   2½ 4 (flint steve)MELANCON G 117 12.00 44.40  
MALIBU KENDALL 5 8 6 6   45 5 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 9.20  
THAT YOU MARGARET 1 6 9 9   7 610¼ (silkwood charles)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 71.60  
GUANAJUATO 4 3 5 31   67 713 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 12.00 10.60  
GATHER IN BALI 8 7 4 5   811½ 823¼ (asmussen s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 51.00  
FRIENDLY ACES 6 4 3 4   915½ 947 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 114 6.00 20.80  
 
DED-8   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:14     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE SEPTEMBER 8 6 5 3   11 11 (camejo jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.00 34% 1.90 2.00 W
KING'S LUTE 2 8 6 4   21 21 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 115 10.00 7% 13.70 11.70 P
THE BOSS SOSS 4 2 3 5   43 3 (landry ray)POMPELL L 113 5.00 4.40  
RANCH WATER 3 9 7 7   64 4 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 10.00 6% 15.50 7.60  
CRAVENS 6 4 2 2½   3 510 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 6.00 13.40  
FREE FROM GUILT 7 5 44 6   76 615½ (pomier chasey)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00 53.60  
BISPING 5 1 1 1½   53 715½ (courville rick)MAGNON H 120 4.00 31% 2.20 2.00  
GOBOT 9 7 9 8   811 824 (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 15.00 45.10  
PINCH ME A PENNY 1 3 8 9   913 924½ (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 115 8.00 14.80  
 
DED-9   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBECCA G 3 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (gelner jayde )DEL-CID VICENTE 112 5.00 9% 10.70 1.80 W
TAPIT'S LADY 1 4 5 4   1nk 2nk (guillory jr)BIRZER E 120 3.50 8% 11.80 4.80 P
SLIDE 7 5 3.2 3.2   3.2 34 (senegal dalt)ALBERT S 115 20.00 43.10  
MARILYN'S MAGIC 6 6 6 6   4 4 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 123 6.00 10% 8.70 6.40  
WOO HOO 4 1 2nk 2nk   5 5 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 42% 1.40 1.60  
I LOVE YOU MORE 2 7 710¾ 710¼   6 69 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 15.00 9.80  
MAVE RUNNER 5 3 4¼ 5   710¾ 718 (larrosa a)STOKES A 123 6.00 19.40  
SCR  DAVE'S RONDA               (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
SCR  JUDGE THIS TRIP               (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  LA JAZZ               (zenon sh)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.