Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA RIDGE Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
2  MR. E EDWARDS Aug18 Jul21 Jul06 Jun03 May14 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 123 5.00 5% 17.70    
3  MIZSPELT         (guillory james)BOURQUE J 123 3.50 54% 0.80    
4  JACKIE MOON Aug11 Jul09 Jun08 May21 Apr08 (derousselle pete)STOKES A 123 8.00    
5  BLUE RIDGE RED Jun30 Jun08 May14 Apr15 Mar23 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00    
6  SHOT ON WINDY HILL Jun30 Jun08 Mar05 Feb18 Jan27 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMAZING AMERICAN Jan22         (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00    
8  GRAND PRODUCTION Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 May14 Apr20 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
9  TOOL BOX Jul09 Jun19 May17 Mar05   (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAD GOLD Jun10 May11 Apr01 Mar23 Mar03 (bustamante davi)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MR. CURLIN Jul22 May14 Apr27 Apr16 Apr08 (mojica a)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
SCR  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Sep13 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 May17 (pedigo randy)BACA L 120 12.00    
 
DED-2   10/15/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CYCLONE SORORITY Oct06 Sep26 Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  CARLOS LOVES TEE Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May26 May04 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 ★    
2  VARSITY FLYGIRL Sep04 Aug05 Jun26 May24 May05 (faucheux ron)RODRIGUEZ L 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  PRESSLY'S HOPE Jul08 Jun23 May19 Apr16 Mar17 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 115 4.50 ★    
SCR  CAVE CREEK Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul05 Jun20 (dussette a)ALBERT S 113 12.00 7% 13.50    
5  DIANNA'S JET Sep26 Sep03 Jul17 Jun10 May21 (guillory henry )BOURQUE J 118 6.00    
6  CUPERE Sep12 Jun26 Jun04     (faucheux ron)MELANCON G 115 8.00    
7  IZEONPOINT Aug19 Aug05 Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 (gelner)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SWEET LAURA Sep26 Sep05 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 (guillory j)BIRZER E 115 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Sep04         (flint steve)MELANCON G 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  TAP IRON FIST Aug10 Jul15 Jun17     (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
2  SIKARA SIKARA         (delhomme j)ALBERT S 115 5.00 ★    
3  NIKLAUSIA Aug20         (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT FAITH         (briley lonnie)COTTO L 120 10.00    
5  FOR HARPER Aug26 Aug10       (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  MOSHINYFUTURE Sep04         (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00    
7  BANDIT'S PRIDE         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 5.00 ★    
8  CAILIN TAPA Aug10         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
DED-4   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZULTAN Jul15 Mar25 Feb11 Jan05   (modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 15.00    
2  LONG ARROW Aug04 Jul01 Jun17     (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
3  CPRIORITY Sep10 Aug15 Jun07 Jan15   (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 4.00    
4  POPEYES HEART Sep18 Aug27 Jul24 Jul02 May29 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  DIXIE STAR Aug24 Jun30 Jun10 May26 May13 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00    
6  LEROY JENKINS Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 Jun03 (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Sep10 Aug08 Jul03 Mar26 Mar05 (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
8  UNIFIED ASSETS Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 Jun06 May15 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
9  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Mar05 Jan20 (balderas alfon)BACA L 117 12.00 10% 8.70    
10  FAR BEYOND Aug27 Aug02 Jul02 May31 May16 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 12.00    
 
DED-5   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENOR Sep12 Aug02 Jul21 Jun25 May22 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
2  SCREENPLAY Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
3  SMOKY TOPAZ Oct06 Aug19 Jul09 Jun16 Apr16 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
4  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Aug25 Jul29 Jul02 Jun03 May19 (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
5  LAURI'S WISH Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 Jan20   (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 ★    
6  TAYLOR'S SENSE Aug25         (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00 5% 17.50    
7  HIGHTAIL COWBOY Sep15 Aug21 Jul13 Jun23 Jun04 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  MISTS OF TIME Sep10 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 May31 (hernandez este)COTTO L 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
DED-6   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIORITY GIRL Aug19 Jul23 Jan29     (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 10.00    
2  HAMAZING LACE Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 Jul03 Jun15 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  TAYLORS BABE Jun09 May21 Apr08 Feb25 Jan19 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  LIGHTNING HART Mar22 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  MARIAH'S CANDY Aug06 Jul06       (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 ★    
6  BOSTON BELLE Jun15 May04 Apr23 Mar04 Feb16 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 10.00    
7  APRIORITY MAGIC Aug28 Aug13 Jul02     (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 12.00 9% 9.90    
8  DEAL ME A PENNY Sep12 Feb25 Feb05     (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
 
DED-7   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT YOU MARGARET Jun25 Apr28 Apr09 Mar19   (silkwood charles)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
2  ABSOLUTELY Aug06 Jul06 Jun17 May21 Apr28 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 4.50 ★    
3  VIV VIV VIV Aug20 Jul06 May21 Apr30 Feb25 (flint steve)MELANCON G 117 12.00    
4  GUANAJUATO Apr28         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 12.00    
5  MALIBU KENDALL Jul05 May28 May01 Apr08 Feb10 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 ★    
6  FRIENDLY ACES Aug25 Apr08 Feb17 Jan22   (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 114 6.00 ★    
7  SPEED QUEEN Aug06 Jul06 Feb23 Jan05   (pike l)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 39% 1.50    
8  GATHER IN BALI Sep03 Jul25       (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
9  FINAL QUEST Aug26         (b)DE CRUZ 114 8.00 30% 2.30    
 
DED-8   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINCH ME A PENNY Sep23 Aug08 Jul17     (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 115 8.00    
2  KING'S LUTE Aug06 Jun26       (woodley j)MCMAHON J 115 10.00 7% 13.70    
3  RANCH WATER Aug27 Aug06 Jul02     (landry ray)STOKES J 115 10.00 6% 15.50    
4  THE BOSS SOSS Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 Jul20   (landry ray)MELANCON G 113 5.00    
5  BISPING Aug27 Aug06 Jun09 May19   (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  CRAVENS Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 6.00 ★    
7  FREE FROM GUILT Aug27 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May19 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
8  LATE SEPTEMBER May20 Apr20       (camejo m)RODRIGUEZ L 115 2.00 34% 1.90    
9  GOBOT Aug18 Aug03 Jul02     (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 15.00    
 
DED-9   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUDGE THIS TRIP Sep27 Aug28       (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00 6% 16.10    
2  TAPIT'S LADY Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 (guillory j)BIRZER E 120 3.50 8% 11.80    
3  I LOVE YOU MORE Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 15.00    
4  REBECCA G Aug27 Aug06 Jul08     (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 5.00 9% 10.70    
5  WOO HOO Jun10 May28 Apr30 Apr08 Mar16 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  MAVE RUNNER Aug10 Jul08 May21 Apr29 Mar04 (larrosa a)STOKES A 123 6.00    
7  MARILYN'S MAGIC Sep06 Jul11 Jun07 May21 Feb24 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 6.00 10% 8.70    
8  SLIDE Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 Apr06 (senegal da)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
SCR  LA JAZZ Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun17 May27 (zenon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00    
SCR  DAVE'S RONDA Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.