The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 14, 2022

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LAD-1   08/14/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:232 :464 1:124     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE YOU MORE 2 5 511¾ 57   24 1½ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00 8.00  
COPPER BELLE 3 3 3.2 12   14 2½ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 21% 3.80 0.70 P
MONGOLIAN DIAMOND 1 4 1nk 33   37 317½ (gibson jonas)BOREL H 120 1.60 30% 2.30 2.70 S
SHAMEFUL PRINCESS 5 2 4 43   49 418½ (delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00 4.30  
J M SKY CLASSIC 4 1 2nk 22   510½ 528½ (mejia jacobo)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00 27.30  
SWEET GIBSON 6 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (hatcher d)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 13% 6.70 19.20  
SCR  SLEW SOUTH               (gibson jonas)BACA L 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
LAD-2   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:224 :46 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ALLIE DANCER 2 8 6 34   11 18 (alberto antonio)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.50 4.00  
GLITTER TIME 8 1 1nk 11   21 28 (duhon o)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00 27% 2.80 4.50 P
KELLYS THE BOSS 4 9 7 65   34 310¾ (ward ronnie)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 19.60  
MARY ALICE 9 4 9 98   8411 (milligan allen)COTTO L 122 20.00 46.20  
SALACIOUSACUSATION 6 3 4 7   66 511¾ (mejia jacobo)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
10  NEW YEAR'S PARTY 10 5 8 10   9612¾ (mouton patrick)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 13% 6.80 5.00  
ACTIVE GIRL 1 10 10 87   7714½ (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 20.80  
O CHITA 3 2 2nk 21   4815 (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 1.40  
FIRE OF GOLD 5 6 32 4   5916 (bryant allan)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 9% 10.50 18.80  
SARAHS HOME 7 7 53 5   101022 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 15.00 12% 7.00 25.90  
 
LAD-3   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:234 :481 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATISFY U 5 1 11 1   18 18 (camejo m)MURRAY M 120 1.80 35% 1.90 1.30 W
WHEELS LIKE NALA 1 3 4 4   28 28 (cates al)COTTO L 120 2.50 1.30 P
T W N LETSGOGIRL 3 4 33 32   410½ 312¼ (nixon w)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 10.00  
DON'T BLINK TWICE 4 2 21 2   310 412¾ (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 4.30  
CHATAIN'S EAGLE 2 5 5 54   512½ 526½ (lara jorge)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 6% 15.30 12.20  
SCR  AWESOME ARCH               (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SUGAR PIE STREET               (dison mark)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
LAD-4   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:241 :49 1:134 1:402   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PA MA'S AMOS 5 5 6 42 2nk 2½ 1¼ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 4.00  
SPIRIT SOUL 9 6 3 3 31 1½ 2¼ (espinoza edgar)FLORES S 122 6.00 18.70  
CONFESS 4 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 32 3(espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 6% 15.00 17.20 S
TAPPED OUT 1 2 1½ 1½ 4 44 4(prather h)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 34.80  
SERBIAN SAILOR 3 1 4 52 5 54 58 (hewitt michael)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 31.90  
10  BACKGATE BELLE 10 7 9 9 8 669 (prather h)COTTO L 117 10.00 8.70  
MOSH PIT 7 4 5 6 7 7711½ (cuccia j)MURRAY M 118 12.00 39.20  
EXCLAIM 2 9 8 8 6 8815¾ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 8.00 52.70  
DOUBLE PRIORITY 8 8 7 7 9 9917 (beavin judy)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 ######  
TIZ MANDATE 6 10 10100 10100 10100 10100 10100 (gibson jonas)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 63% 0.60 0.40  
 
LAD-5   08/14/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:244 :49 1:134     1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIEN JOUE 4 3 32 2½   11(diodoro robertino)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 32% 2.10 0.70 W
DREWSILLA 9 1 44 42   32 2(mouton patrick)VARGAS P 120 3.00 3.70 P
MO BLING 2 5 1½ 1½   23(balderas alfonso)BACA L 120 4.00 26% 2.90 3.70 S
BAD GAL RIRI 7 9 916½ 86   47 410¼ (singh s)SINGH R 124 30.00 50.50  
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 8 6 812½ 7   68 512¼ (johnson b)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 23.20  
I'D BE RICH 1 7 55 5   5613¼ (duke steven)FLORES S 120 15.00 37.40  
A STONE RUNNER 3 4 2½ 31   7717½ (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00 16.60  
QUEEN OF THE MOON 6 8 711½ 99   9817¾ (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 53.50  
WHISKEY TO WINE 5 2 6 63   89 918¼ (singh s)MURRAY M 124 12.00 24.00  
SCR  MISS BARETA               (delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
SCR  MYLIES STAR               (courville ricky)MAGNON H 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
LAD-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:224 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE J 7 1 11 1nk   12 1(thomas lee)COTTO L 115 2.00 35% 1.80 1.90 W
CYPRIANO 1 4 4 5   32(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 7% 13.00 8.30 P
NO PEDIGREE 6 5 21 2nk   22 35 (camejo m)MORALES ROBERTO 119 2.50 29% 2.50 1.80 S
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK 2 6 712 610   54 4(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 45.00  
TEXAS TITAN 4 2 610 710½   76 5(johnston johnny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 15.00 23.40  
MISTS OF TIME 5 7 36 35   46(hernandez estefany)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 3.40  
COACH KENNY 3 3 57 47   67(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 7.50  
SCR  TACTICAL PRIORITY               (thomas lee)BACA L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
:242 :482 1:122 1:263   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREEN MO'STER 5 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 1nk (singh s)SINGH R 122 2.50 61% 0.60 1.60 W
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 7 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 2nk (nelson r)FLORES S 119 5.00 2.40  
SOURNOIS 2 4 4 32 3½ 33(shamsie mike)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 15.10  
10  MORHAWK 9 3 3 4 4¾ 42 42 (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 6.40  
HAWKWOOD 4 5 6 7 5 54 53 (tracy greg)COTTO L 122 4.00 6% 14.70 9.30  
LEMON KICK 1 9 9 9 8 67 6(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 11.60  
ITS A CITY DAY 3 8 8 8 94 97(lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 5.00 8.10  
DUE APEAL 6 7 7 6 7 78(lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00 40.70  
MR B QUIET 8 6 53 5 6 89(bryant allan)TORRES HUGO 118 12.00 27.30  
SCR  MAJOR KONG               (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
SCR  POSEIDON WRATH               (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 6% 15.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.