Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Jul11         (gibson jonas)BOREL H 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
2  I LOVE YOU MORE Jul30 Jul09 Jun05 Feb09 Jan19 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
3  COPPER BELLE Jul25 Jun26 May15 Mar25   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  J M SKY CLASSIC May12 Apr28 Mar18     (mejia jac)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
SCR  SLEW SOUTH Jul25 Jun05 May03 Apr04 Mar25 (gibson jonas)BACA L 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  SHAMEFUL PRINCESS Jul24 Apr24       (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00 ★    
7  SWEET GIBSON Jul30         (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 13% 6.70    
 
LAD-2   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTIVE GIRL Jul05 Jun06 May07 Mar27 Mar05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00    
2  LIL ALLIE DANCER Jul30 Jul01 Jun18 Feb17 Feb05 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 121 4.50    
3  O CHITA Jun18 May21 Apr07 Mar02   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00    
4  KELLYS THE BOSS Jul16 Jul05 May23 May14 Apr15 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  FIRE OF GOLD Jul23 May21 May07 Jan20 Jan06 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 15.00 9% 10.50    
6  SALACIOUSACUSATION Mar18 Jan27 Jan08     (mejia jac)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SARAHS HOME Jul18 Jun06 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 15.00 12% 7.00    
8  GLITTER TIME Jul05 Jun06       (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00 27% 2.80    
9  MARY ALICE Jul05 Jun19 May24 May07 Apr24 (milligan allen)COTTO L 122 20.00    
10  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Jul12 Jun18 May14 Mar05 Feb17 (m)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
LAD-3   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELS LIKE NALA Jul30 Jul03 Jun14 Mar25 Mar10 (cates al)COTTO L 120 2.50 ★    
2  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jul30 Jul19 Jul03     (l)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 6% 15.30    
3  T W N LETSGOGIRL Jul30 Jun11 May21 Feb24   (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00    
4  DON'T BLINK TWICE Jul26         (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50    
SCR  AWESOME ARCH         (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SUGAR PIE STREET Jul26         (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  SATISFY U Jul03 Jan28 Jan09     (camejo m)MURRAY M 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
LAD-4   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPED OUT Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 Apr30 (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 ★    
2  EXCLAIM Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 Jan29   (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 8.00    
3  SERBIAN SAILOR Jun18 Jun06 May07 Apr15 Mar24 (h)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 ★    
4  CONFESS Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May23 May14 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 6% 15.00    
5  PA MA'S AMOS Apr10 Jan14       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
6  TIZ MANDATE Apr28 Feb26 Jan22     (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
7  MOSH PIT Jul18 Jun14 May30 Feb14 Jan17 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 118 12.00    
8  DOUBLE PRIORITY Jul31 Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 May15 (beavin judy)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
9  SPIRIT SOUL Jul31 Jul05 Jun26 Jun11 May07 (espinoza ed)FLORES S 122 6.00    
10  BACKGATE BELLE Jul11 Jun21 Jun05 May07 Apr15 (prather h)COTTO L 117 10.00 ★    
 
LAD-5   08/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'D BE RICH Jul12 Jun28       (duke steven)FLORES S 120 15.00    
2  MO BLING Jul24 Jun28       (balderas alfon)BACA L 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  A STONE RUNNER Jul18 Jun28       (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00    
4  BIEN JOUE Jul25 Jun17 May19     (diodoro robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 32% 2.10    
5  WHISKEY TO WINE Jul10 Jun13       (singh s)MURRAY M 124 12.00    
6  QUEEN OF THE MOON Jul10 Jun14       (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
7  BAD GAL RIRI Jun27 Jun14 May31 May16 Apr28 (singh s)SINGH R 124 30.00    
8  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Mar05 Feb09       (j)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
9  DREWSILLA Jul24 Jul02 Jun05 Mar12 Feb19 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  MISS BARETA Jul14 Apr14 Mar12 Feb03   (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  MYLIES STAR Jul14 Jun18 May20 Apr14 Feb19 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
LAD-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYPRIANO Jun28 Jun05 Apr29 Mar25 Mar13 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  TACTICAL PRIORITY Jul19 Jun02       (thomas lee)BACA L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jun23 May12 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 (g)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
4  COACH KENNY Jun28 May10 Feb24 Jan23   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 ★    
5  TEXAS TITAN Aug02 Jul03 Jun19 May29 May14 (johnston johnn)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
6  MISTS OF TIME Jul25 Jun26 May31 May16 Mar06 (hernandez es)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
7  NO PEDIGREE Jul17 Jun06 Mar04 Feb04 Jan16 (camejo jose)MORALES ROBERTO 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  MIKE J Jul12 May24 Apr29 Apr08 Jan18 (thomas lee)COTTO L 115 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
LAD-7   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON KICK Aug01 Jul24 Jun25 May12 Apr09 (g)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
SCR  MAJOR KONG Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Apr29 Mar25 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
3  SOURNOIS Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun14 May22 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
4  ITS A CITY DAY Jul19 Jul10       (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 5.00 ★    
5  HAWKWOOD Jul19 Jun25 May31 May10 Mar10 (tracy greg)COTTO L 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
6  THE GREEN MO'STER Jul17 Jun27 May16 Mar25 Mar03 (singh s)SINGH R 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
7  DUE APEAL Jul17 Jun26 May29 May16   (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
8  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Aug01 Jul12       (nelson eric)FLORES S 119 5.00    
9  MR B QUIET Jul24 Jul09 Jun23 May15 Apr07 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
10  MORHAWK Aug01         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  POSEIDON WRATH Jul27 Jul09 Jun16 May28 May13 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 6% 15.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.