Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:374   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY EMPEROR 2 2 1½ 1nk 13 16 111 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 14% 6.10 6.70 W
TROPHY DADDY 1 3 42 5 5 3 211 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 12.50 P
SPHEROID 6 6 63 3½ 23 26 311½ (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 10% 9.30 2.90 S
SOUTHERNER 4 4 3 4¾ 4 48 413 (calhoun willi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
RY DONT LIE 7 1 2½ 2nk 33 510½ 518¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 5.00 3.50  
U COMPLETE ME 3 7 7 7 714¼ 716½ 624¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 20.00 8% 12.20 47.10  
ELUSIVE D'ORO 5 5 52 6 6 613½ 724½ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00 9.40  
 
LAD-2   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124 1:393   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITA 1 5 6 611 56 1nk 1 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 3.00 20% 4.10 5.50 W
SUSAN STRONG 5 3 42 4 42 3.2 2 (reeves jeffe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 4.90 P
FIANNA HILLS 6 1 3½ 3½ 2nk 2nk 3 (reeves jeffery)BACA L 122 4.50 5.70 S
DIXIE LOVING 4 6 58 510½ 6 6 49 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 43.20  
STORIED TRIP 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 4¾ 5 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 1.00 56% 0.80 0.40  
HONEST WOMAN 2 4 1nk 1nk 31 5 616¼ (turner patt)FLORES S 119 10.00 21.40  
 
LAD-3   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:141 1:403   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY SLOAN 4 7 6 7 1nk 13 1 (mouton patr)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 27% 2.70 1.30 W
SPIRIT SOUL 6 2 5 42 2nk 23 2 (espinoza ed)FLORES S 122 15.00 16.20  
TAPPED OUT 2 4 11 11 4¼ 35 3 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 118 12.00 14.70  
HELIOCHROME 7 1 21 21 3.2 45 4 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 35% 1.80 2.10  
MY BOY SAM 3 6 7 6 6 5 5 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 13% 6.70 6.10  
DOUBLE PRIORITY 1 5 31 32 5 6 618¼ (beavin judy)BOREL H 119 12.00 13.20  
FIFTYFIVE STRONG 5 3 42 5 75 711¼ 722½ (degeyt)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 7.10  
SCR  CONFESS               (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00    
 
LAD-4   07/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:272   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH MY ACHING ARCH 8 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 1nk (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90 W
RIPITTOTHERIGHT 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2nk (mckellar joe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 3.20 P
LIKE MIKE 1 6 6 6 42 32 33 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 19% 4.30 3.80 S
NOW NOW MAN 2 5 31 3 32 4 45 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 15.00 24.60  
I'M D'CAT 7 4 41 52 7 6 5 (brinkman)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 49.90  
GOOD OLD CHARLIE 6 2 5 4 5 5 6 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00 31.70  
RUN ROCKET 4 8 7 7 6 76 76 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 28% 2.60 3.00  
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 3 7 8 8 8 8 810¾ (wilson shane)BOREL H 118 8.00 11.40  
SCR  GUITAR SLIM               (jeansonne just)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
SCR  TENSAS TODDY               (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00    
 
LAD-5   07/31/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO WHITE FLAGS 2 7 4 3   3½ 14 (woodley j)THORNTON G 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.00 W
BRAVE MAGIC 7 1 2nk 1½   1nk 24 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 P
ROLL ON OUT 1 2 1nk 2½   2nk 35 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 6.70  
MORO OUTLAW 4 3 34 4   4 4 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 4.00 11.10  
PINK HIGGINS 5 5 55 5   5 511½ (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 15.00 11.80  
PIONEER TOWN 3 6 711 610½   6 616¼ (a)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 21.60  
G'S LAW 6 4 68 710½   710 720¾ (west g)TORRES HUGO 114 5.00 3.30  
SCR  TALK TO TOKEY               (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 10.00    
 
LAD-6   07/31/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:112     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN BLESSED 1 2 6 64   21 1½ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 4.00 8.20  
MORNING SNOW 5 1 2½ 2½   11 2½ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 22% 3.60 16.50 P
1A  METROPOL 6 8 89 85   4 31 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.00 S
BUDDY REAUX 7 6 1½ 1½   31 4 (dixon tim)FLORES S 118 12.00 12.20  
VIM AND VIGOR 2 7 44 42   5 5 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 19% 4.30 5.80  
SMOKEY HARBOR 4 5 7 7   7 6 (g)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 1.00 DH
CITIZEN WEST 8 3 33 32   6 6 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 10% 9.00 4.30 DH
SILENT TAP 3 4 5 5   8 815¼ (wilson shane)BOREL H 118 6.00 5.90  
SCR  BEAUREGARD               (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  DINNER AT CRUMPIES               (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER OVER ME 1 5 32 31   1nk 1 (j)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 1.50  
LIT A SHUCK 4 1 1nk 11   2nk 2 (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 5.00  
ROBBER 2 4 55 56   33 3 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.50 11% 7.90 4.40 S
MAPACHE MAN 3 3 4 45   45 415¾ (borel renay)BOREL H 120 10.00 6.90  
LA' HOPPER 5 2 2nk 21   5 517½ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.90  
SCR  ARKANSAS ZONG               (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 115 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  EUROBELIEVER               (uballe adam)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUTLAW POSSE               (feilner f)BACA L 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.