Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY DADDY Jul04 Jun14 May24 May10 Apr30 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 ★    
2  HOLY EMPEROR Jul12 Jun13 May30 May08 Mar20 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 14% 6.10    
3  U COMPLETE ME Jun26         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 20.00 8% 12.20    
4  SOUTHERNER Jun25 May08 Mar31 Mar11 Feb11 (calhoun willi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 122 5.00    
6  SPHEROID Jun25 May16 Mar17 Mar06 Jan07 (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 10% 9.30    
7  RY DONT LIE Jul11 Jul02 Jun06 May24 May14 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 5.00    
 
LAD-2   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITA Jul17 Jun04 May09 Mar27   (mouton patrick)GUZMAN JORGE 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  HONEST WOMAN Jul12 Jun12 May22 Mar03 Jan29 (turner patt)FLORES S 119 10.00    
3  STORIED TRIP Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar27 Mar09 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 1.00 56% 0.80    
4  DIXIE LOVING Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May07   (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 ★    
5  SUSAN STRONG Jul05 Jun12 May22 Mar23 Mar03 (reeves jeffe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
6  FIANNA HILLS Jul12 Jun12 Feb18 Jan29 Jan12 (reeves jeffery)BACA L 122 4.50 ★    
 
LAD-3   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE PRIORITY Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 May15 Mar05 (beavin judy)BOREL H 119 12.00    
2  TAPPED OUT Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 Apr30 Apr01 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 118 12.00    
SCR  CONFESS Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May23 May14 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00 ★    
4  MY BOY SAM Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 May23 Feb10 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  GREY SLOAN Jul11 Jun11 May21 Mar11 Feb20 (mouton patr)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  FIFTYFIVE STRONG Jun24 Jun11 May26 May14 Mar20 (degeyt)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 ★    
7  SPIRIT SOUL Jul05 Jun26 Jun11 May07 Apr22 (espinoza ed)FLORES S 122 15.00    
8  HELIOCHROME Jun14 May23 May07 Mar18   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
LAD-4   07/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH MY ACHING ARCH Jun25 Jun14 May30 May15   (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  TENSAS TODDY Jul19 Jun25 Jun17 May27 May14 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 ★    
2  LIKE MIKE Jun14 May18 Apr22 Mar16 Feb13 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  NOW NOW MAN Jun27 May21 May07 Mar11 Feb18 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 15.00    
4  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Jun13 May22 Mar26 Mar06 Feb10 (wilson shane)BOREL H 118 8.00    
5  RUN ROCKET Jul10 Jun14 May10 Mar25 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Jun21         (mckellar joe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 ★    
7  GOOD OLD CHARLIE Jul05 May31       (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
8  I'M D'CAT Jul10 Jun22 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07 (brinkman)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM Jul19 May30 May07 Apr13 Mar16 (jeansonne just)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 ★    
 
LAD-5   07/31/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALK TO TOKEY         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 10.00    
2  ROLL ON OUT Jun26         (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
3  NO WHITE FLAGS         (woodley j)THORNTON G 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  PIONEER TOWN         (a)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
5  MORO OUTLAW Jul10         (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 4.00 ★    
6  PINK HIGGINS         (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 15.00 ★    
7  G'S LAW         (west g)TORRES HUGO 114 5.00 ★    
8  BRAVE MAGIC Jul03         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
LAD-6   07/31/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEY HARBOR Jul09 Jun24 May19 May01 Mar18 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
1A  METROPOL Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May19 Mar12 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  MORE THAN BLESSED Jul09 May07 Apr10 Mar20 Feb19 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 4.00    
3  VIM AND VIGOR Jul04 Jun19 May30 May08 Apr07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  SILENT TAP Jul09 May30 May08 Mar05 Jan13 (wilson shane)BOREL H 118 6.00    
5  MORNING SNOW Jul03 Jun25       (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  BUDDY REAUX Jul09 Jun13 May23 May01 Apr03 (dixon tim)FLORES S 118 12.00    
7  CITIZEN WEST Jul09 May24 May08 Apr14 Feb20 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  BEAUREGARD Jun28 Jun04 May17 Feb25 Feb05 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Jun28 Jun13 May07 Apr22 Apr03 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER OVER ME Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr08 Mar23 (j)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 ★    
2  ROBBER Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Mar03   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  OUTLAW POSSE Jul16 Jul04       (feilner f)BACA L 121 15.00    
4  MAPACHE MAN Jul18 Jun19 Jun04 Apr16 Mar12 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 10.00    
SCR  EUROBELIEVER         (uballe adam)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIT A SHUCK Jul18 Jul02 Jun19     (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
7  LA' HOPPER Jul18 Jun06 Apr19 Apr13 Mar30 (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  ARKANSAS ZONG Jul03 May29       (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 115 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.