The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 10, 2022

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LAD-1   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:234 :483 1:14 1:291   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARGET VISION 5 3 2 21 1½ 15 1(mckellar p)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 4.50  
WHISKEY TO WINE 2 2 56 4 3 25 2(singh s)SINGH R 124 2.00 0.90  
QUEEN OF THE MOON 3 6 614 613½ 4 4310½ (antwine michael)GUZMAN JORGE 119 15.00 25.10 S
SAVANNAH'S HERE 6 1 1 11 2½ 3419½ (snodderly rhonda)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 2.30  
JIVIN ASTRO 1 4 46 5 58 515½ 527¼ (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 7% 14.10 15.20  
TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE 4 5 34 3 6 617 629¼ (ingram steve)BOREL H 119 3.50 46% 1.20 7.40  
SCR  MEET ME               (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-2   07/10/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:242 :491 1:144 1:403   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIKE DREAMING 2 4 31 36 1nk 113 (schmidt denise)BACA L 119 5.00 29% 2.40 1.10 W
THE THIMBLE 1 3 1½ 11 2nk 223 (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.50 34% 2.00 3.40 P
CIROC O CLOCK 3 5 611½ 514 4¼ 44 3(singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 7.20 S
ZONG TOUGH 5 1 2½ 21 3.2 34(dison mark)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 3.90  
DAPPER DAN MAN 6 6 4 48 5½ 58 524¼ (antwine michael)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 10% 8.90 6.60  
TOUCH OF GOLD 4 2 5 617 6 612 630¾ (melancon donald)FLORES S 122 3.50 12.90  
 
LAD-3   07/10/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:223 :463       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE TIZWAY 7 1 2nk 2nk   11 1(turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 8.50  
FIRSTSLATE 4 2 5 5   21 2(melancon donald)FLORES S 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.10 P
FOLLOW THE SAINT 1 4 1nk 1nk   31 3(cascio j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 5.40  
HAVE I EVER 2 6 4 42   546 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 5.40  
AIRBORNE GAL 6 3 3.2 31   43 5(dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 47% 1.20 3.70  
LEUDEAL 5 7 7 7   65 6(gomez c)BACA L 114 8.00 29.50  
LUCK IS FICKLE 3 5 6 6   77(asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 9.90  
 
LAD-4   07/10/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:253 :50 1:14 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SI ES GOYA 5 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 13 1(jeansonne justin)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.20 46% 1.20 0.50 W
FREDONIAN 4 6 4 4 4 23 2(borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.00 4.20 P
RUN TAPPY 1 4 53 5 5 53(asmussen m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 25% 2.90 10.30 S
1A  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS 6 1 3 3.2 1nk 34(jeansonne justin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.20 0.50  
ARCHIE 2 5 1nk 2nk 3½ 44 510¼ (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 7% 12.80 3.30  
BINDING 3 3 64 6 610½ 6617¾ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00 21.60  
SCR  CABO'S RUMOR               (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
 
LAD-5   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:242 :492 1:131 1:273   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIE'S KARAT 2 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 (ramirez eduardo)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
LONE STAR DIVA 5 2 5 42 3 32 22 (ramirez eduardo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 18.80 14.80 P
DADDYMADEMEDOIT 3 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ 3(asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 24% 3.30 2.90 S
QUINN MURPHY 6 3 64 53 5 54 45 (foster m)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 3.20  
BLESSED ANNA 4 5 32 3 42 45(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 3.60  
MISS DARLENE 1 1 4 6 64 66 610¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 12.00 17.50  
SCR  ALL EARS               (garcia luis)BACA L 122 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/10/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
:232 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER SHARPIE 1 4 1 11   13 15 (jeansonne justin)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.00 12% 7.70 2.50 W
H V XTRA WILD HEAT 5 2 2 21   23 25 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 118 10.00 10.40  
A MILLION STARS 2 3 43 5   45 311 (johnson b)BOREL H 118 1.80 64% 0.60 0.80 S
CITY BOY EASTWOOD 3 1 32 4   55 413 (turner patti)FLORES S 118 5.00 11.70  
MORO OUTLAW 6 5 5 32   3513½ (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 118 12.00 14.80  
FREE FALLING NATE 4 6 6 6   6614¼ (briley lonnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 6.00  
 
LAD-7   07/10/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:251 :49 1:133     1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR COUNT 2 1 13 13   11(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 4.00  
RUN ROCKET 6 3 47 44   32(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 25% 3.10 0.70 P
SYDSTER 5 2 23 23   23(faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 14% 6.30 5.40 S
I'M D'CAT 3 4 34 3   44(brinkman brett)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 9.70  
ITS A CITY DAY 1 5 59 65   654 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00 19.00  
GOBLER 4 6 69 55   56(turner patti)FLORES S 122 10.00 5.90  
SCR  GUITAR SLIM               (jeansonne justin)TORRES HUGO 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MY CALL               (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
SCR  RIPITTOTHERIGHT               (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 8% 11.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.