Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIVIN ASTRO Jun14 May31       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 7% 14.10    
2  WHISKEY TO WINE Jun13         (singh s)SINGH R 124 2.00    
3  QUEEN OF THE MOON Jun14         (antwine michae)GUZMAN JORGE 119 15.00 ★    
4  TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE Jun19 May21       (ingram steve)BOREL H 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  TARGET VISION Jun27 May16 Feb02 Jan01   (mckellar p)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50    
6  SAVANNAH'S HERE Jun21 May29 May08 Mar12 Feb26 (snodde)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 ★    
SCR  MEET ME         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-2   07/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIMBLE Jun20 May31 May17 Feb18 Feb02 (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
2  I LIKE DREAMING Jun25 May07 Mar18 Mar05 Jan21 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  CIROC O CLOCK Jun20 May31 May08 Apr22 Mar19 (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 ★    
4  TOUCH OF GOLD Jun27 Jun11       (melancon do)FLORES S 122 3.50    
5  ZONG TOUGH Jun26 Jun11 May21 Mar16 Mar03 (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 ★    
6  DAPPER DAN MAN Jun20 May29 May08 Mar19 Feb26 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
 
LAD-3   07/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SAINT         (cascio a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
2  HAVE I EVER Jun19 May28 May14 Feb24 Jan01 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 ★    
3  LUCK IS FICKLE May12 May01 Mar12 Feb10   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 ★    
4  FIRSTSLATE Jun27 Jun14 May28 Feb26 Feb16 (melancon do)FLORES S 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  LEUDEAL May28 Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 Jan22 (gomez c)BACA L 114 8.00 ★    
6  AIRBORNE GAL Jun14 May16 May06 Apr01 Feb12 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 47% 1.20    
7  HURRICANE TIZWAY Jun18 May16 Jan14     (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
 
LAD-4   07/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SI ES GOYA Jun27 May22 Apr09 Mar17 Feb18 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
1A  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS Jun28 May31 May21 May07 Mar17 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.20    
2  RUN TAPPY Jun27 May29 May09 Apr01 Mar11 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  CABO'S RUMOR May29 May07 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
4  ARCHIE Jun10 May26 Apr20 Mar11 Feb11 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 7% 12.80    
5  BINDING Feb26 Feb05 Jan15     (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00 ★    
6  FREDONIAN Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May07 Mar31 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.00 ★    
 
LAD-5   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DARLENE Feb23 Jan22       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
2  KATIE'S KARAT Jun26 May21 Apr23 Apr07 Feb12 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALL EARS May31 May10 Apr08 Mar18   (garcia luis)BACA L 122 12.00    
4  DADDYMADEMEDOIT May19 Apr30 Feb16 Jan13   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 24% 3.30    
5  BLESSED ANNA Jun20 May21 Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 ★    
6  LONE STAR DIVA Jun15 May27 May11 Mar27   (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 18.80    
7  QUINN MURPHY May28 Jan23       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 ★    
 
LAD-6   07/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER SHARPIE         (jeanso)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.00 12% 7.70    
2  A MILLION STARS Jun26         (johnson b)BOREL H 118 1.80 64% 0.60    
3  CITY BOY EASTWOOD Jun26         (turner patt)FLORES S 118 5.00 ★    
4  FREE FALLING NATE         (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
5  H V XTRA WILD HEAT Jun26         (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
6  MORO OUTLAW         (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 118 12.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   07/10/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS A CITY DAY         (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00    
2  WAR COUNT Jun05 Mar04 Feb12     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  MY CALL Jun26 May31 May09 Mar31 Mar04 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
4  I'M D'CAT Jun22 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07   (brinkman)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
5  GOBLER Jun14 May16 Mar03     (turner patt)FLORES S 122 10.00    
SCR  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Jun21         (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 8% 11.80    
7  SYDSTER Jun14 May10 Mar06 Jan27 Jan06 (faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
8  RUN ROCKET Jun14 May10 Mar25 Mar16 Feb13 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM May30 May07 Apr13 Mar16 Feb26 (jeansonne justi)TORRES HUGO 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.