Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:234 :472       1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CONFESS 4 2 22½ 21½   1nk 12¼ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 1.80 49% 1.00 0.70 W
2  LA' HOPPER 2 4 12½ 11½   2nk 22¼ (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 124 3.00 19% 4.10 3.20 P
6  ROBBER 6 3 46 47½   35 35¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.50 ★ 17.10 S
7  MAPACHE MAN 7 1 33½ 33½   45½ 413¾ (borel renay)BOREL H 120 5.00 12.60  
5  KISSMEISTER 5 6 66½ 613½   619½ 519¾ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
1  MOONSHINE SURFER 1 7 721½ 733½   729½ 625 (deatherage )FLORES S 124 6.00 ★ 7.60  
3  ROYAL D D 3 5 56 510½   517½ 725¾ (willia)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 30.30  
 
LAD-2   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:411   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROOSTER RUN 6 1 2nk 1nk 11½ 12 13½ (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 4.50 8% 11.90 2.20 W
1  OREGON COUNTY 1 2 1nk 2nk 21½ 22 23½ (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.10 P
4  SIR OVERANALYZE 4 4 46½ 46½ 45½ 48 37½ (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 3.50 41% 1.40 3.60 S
3  MY BOY SAM 3 3 33½ 33½ 33½ 38 411¼ (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7.70  
7  EXCLAIM 7 7 79¼ 68¼ 55½ 511 511½ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 12.00 27.80  
2  MOSH PIT 2 6 56¾ 56¾ 617½ 626 626¾ (cuccia j)MURRAY M 120 2.50 ★ 8.00  
5  TAPPED OUT 5 5 67¼ 711¾ 720½ 730 737 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 ★ 8.60  
 
LAD-3   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:253   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CARSON'S PRINCESS 4 3 31 21½ 2nk 1½ 1¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 21% 3.80 3.80 W
5  GOLD INCLUDED 3 5 43 43 42½ 31 2¼ (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.30 1.60 P
1A  LIL EVA JANE 5 4 53¼ 53 32 42 31¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00 7.80  
4  MISS BILLIE K 2 2 11 11½ 1nk 2½ 44 (nelson eric)FLORES S 119 8.00 10.20  
3  CALAJA 1 1 21 32½ 55½ 57 56 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 13% 6.90 1.30  
SCR  BELLAMY CAY               (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SWEET BAY               (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 ★    
 
LAD-4   07/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:123     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BODEE BODEE 6 2 62¼ 64¼   31 1¼ (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 1.80 61% 0.60 0.50 W
8  SHANKINSTINE 8 6 3½ 32   11 2¼ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 46.70  
4  TED STRIKER 4 3 1½ 1nk   21 36¼ (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 9.70  
7  TOOCAN DANCE 7 1 2½ 2nk   43 47½ (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 6.00 ★ 7.00  
5  YOU YOUR DADDY SON 5 7 77¼ 77¾   66½ 57¾ (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00 72.20  
1  SASSI ASPEN 1 4 41½ 42¼   56 68½ (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 ★ 7.20  
2  LIT A SHUCK 2 5 52 53¼   77½ 710 (hatcher nath)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 7% 12.60 18.40  
3  MAGIC ICE 3 8 812¼ 815¾   817½ 820¼ (soto fermin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 10% 9.20 6.00  
 
LAD-5   07/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :464       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LA LA LATTE 7 1 11 1nk   1½ 12 (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 1.40 25% 3.00 1.60 W
1  ARMS APRIORITY 2 4 31 2nk   2½ 22 (thomas lee)BACA L 117 1.40 1.60  
4  A STONE RUNNER 3 6 52½ 44½   35½ 35½ (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00 6.30  
6  CAUGHT MY HEART 8 2 21 33½   47 47¼ (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 8.00 14% 6.10 31.70  
5  THE CAT CAME BACK 4 3 62¾ 55½   59 59¾ (jacks e)GUZMAN JORGE 120 2.50 ★ 6.00  
2  CRYPTO SMARTY 5 7 810¼ 716½   722 622 (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 120 12.00 15% 5.60 15.50  
2B  RIVER GODDESS 6 5 42 66½   617 722½ (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 15.50  
3  KANCANCUTIE 1 8 73¼ 8100   8100 8100 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 22% 3.50 1.10  
 
LAD-6   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:103     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CREATIVE LETTERS 5 2 2nk 1½   2nk 1¼ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 ★ 5.90  
3  D TWO 3 5 31½ 2½   1nk 2¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 12% 7.50 4.80 P
6  SIR SMACK 6 3 42½ 43   33½ 31¾ (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.00 S
7  LOVETHATCAUSE 7 1 54½ 55   45½ 43¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 ★ 3.20  
4  TIZ MCNAMARA 4 6 77 79½   610½ 55¾ (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 35.00  
1  BAJAN CASH 1 7 66½ 68½   57½ 66½ (turner p)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 11% 7.80 9.70  
2  INVINCIBILITY 2 4 1nk 31   713½ 718¾ (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 12.00 22.10  
SCR  ADRENALINE               (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 119 15.00    
 
LAD-7   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:111 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ABBEY LANE 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 14 11½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 ★ 5.80  
8  MADAM HENNY 8 6 64 54 33 34½ 21½ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.10 P
6  MY ALIBI 6 8 76 76½ 64½ 45 33 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 6.00 6% 17.00 6.70 S
3  PI YO PRINCESS 3 3 53½ 87 89¾ 710 46½ (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 10.00 11% 8.10 9.70  
5  C. C. HARBOR 5 9 910 97½ 911¾ 912 57 (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00 14.80  
7  NISI PRIUS 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 24 67¼ (witt ii)COTTO L 122 2.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
9  KENYA STRIKE 9 7 86½ 66½ 74¾ 58½ 77½ (romero gera)FLORES S 119 12.00 8.60  
1  ALL EARS 1 1 41½ 42½ 53½ 69 88¾ (garcia luis)BACA L 122 15.00 9.80  
4  MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA 4 5 31½ 32 43 810 914 (adcock c)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00 41.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.