The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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LAD-1   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:234 :472       1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFESS 4 2 2 2   1nk 1(espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 1.80 49% 1.00 0.70 W
LA' HOPPER 2 4 1 1   2nk 2(pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 124 3.00 19% 4.10 3.20 P
ROBBER 6 3 46 4   35 3(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.50 17.10 S
MAPACHE MAN 7 1 3 3   4413¾ (borel renay)BOREL H 120 5.00 12.60  
KISSMEISTER 5 6 6 613½   619½ 519¾ (ward ronnie)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
MOONSHINE SURFER 1 7 721½ 733½   729½ 625 (deatherage corey)FLORES S 124 6.00 7.60  
ROYAL D D 3 5 56 510½   517½ 725¾ (williams blaine)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 30.30  
 
LAD-2   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:24 :48 1:131 1:411   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOSTER RUN 6 1 2nk 1nk 1 12 1(hargrave a)VARGAS P 118 4.50 8% 11.90 2.20 W
OREGON COUNTY 1 2 1nk 2nk 2 22 2(hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.10 P
SIR OVERANALYZE 4 4 4 4 4 48 3(ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 3.50 41% 1.40 3.60 S
MY BOY SAM 3 3 3 3 3 38 411¼ (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7.70  
EXCLAIM 7 7 7 6 5 511 511½ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 12.00 27.80  
MOSH PIT 2 6 5 5 617½ 626 626¾ (cuccia j)MURRAY M 120 2.50 8.00  
TAPPED OUT 5 5 6 711¾ 720½ 730 737 (prather h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 8.60  
 
LAD-3   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:241 :482 1:123 1:253   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSON'S PRINCESS 4 3 31 2 2nk 1½ 1¼ (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 21% 3.80 3.80 W
GOLD INCLUDED 3 5 43 43 4 31 2¼ (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.30 1.60 P
1A  LIL EVA JANE 5 4 5 53 32 42 3(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00 7.80  
MISS BILLIE K 2 2 11 1 1nk 2½ 44 (nelson r)FLORES S 119 8.00 10.20  
CALAJA 1 1 21 3 5 57 56 (foster m)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 13% 6.90 1.30  
SCR  BELLAMY CAY               (gomez c)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SWEET BAY               (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00    
 
LAD-4   07/18/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:233 :464 1:123     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODEE BODEE 6 2 6 6   31 1¼ (hargrave a)VARGAS P 120 1.80 61% 0.60 0.50 W
SHANKINSTINE 8 6 3½ 32   11 2¼ (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 46.70  
TED STRIKER 4 3 1½ 1nk   21 3(brinkman brett)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 9.70  
TOOCAN DANCE 7 1 2½ 2nk   43 4(lara jorge)COTTO L 124 6.00 7.00  
YOU YOUR DADDY SON 5 7 7 7   65(vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00 72.20  
SASSI ASPEN 1 4 4 4   56 6(latour nicholas)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 7.20  
LIT A SHUCK 2 5 52 5   7710 (hatcher d)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 7% 12.60 18.40  
MAGIC ICE 3 8 812¼ 815¾   817½ 820¼ (soto fermin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 10% 9.20 6.00  
 
LAD-5   07/18/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:231 :464       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LA LA LATTE 7 1 11 1nk   1½ 12 (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 1.40 25% 3.00 1.60 W
ARMS APRIORITY 2 4 31 2nk   2½ 22 (thomas lee)BACA L 117 1.40 1.60  
A STONE RUNNER 3 6 5 4   33(pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00 6.30  
CAUGHT MY HEART 8 2 21 3   47 4(kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 8.00 14% 6.10 31.70  
THE CAT CAME BACK 4 3 6 5   59 5(jacks e)GUZMAN JORGE 120 2.50 6.00  
CRYPTO SMARTY 5 7 810¼ 716½   722 622 (feilner f)BOLANOS LEONEL 120 12.00 15% 5.60 15.50  
2B  RIVER GODDESS 6 5 42 6   617 722½ (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 15.50  
KANCANCUTIE 1 8 7 8100   8100 8100 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 22% 3.50 1.10  
 
LAD-6   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:23 :453 1:103     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE LETTERS 5 2 2nk 1½   2nk 1¼ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 5.90  
D TWO 3 5 3 2½   1nk 2¼ (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 12% 7.50 4.80 P
SIR SMACK 6 3 4 43   33(ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.00 S
LOVETHATCAUSE 7 1 5 55   44(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 3.20  
TIZ MCNAMARA 4 6 77 7   610½ 5(feilner f)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 35.00  
BAJAN CASH 1 7 6 6   56(turner patti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 11% 7.80 9.70  
INVINCIBILITY 2 4 1nk 31   713½ 718¾ (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 12.00 22.10  
SCR  ADRENALINE               (hatcher d)GUZMAN JORGE 119 15.00    
 
LAD-7   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
:232 :471 1:111 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBEY LANE 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 14 1(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 5.80  
MADAM HENNY 8 6 64 54 33 32(duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.10 P
MY ALIBI 6 8 76 7 6 45 33 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 6.00 6% 17.00 6.70 S
PI YO PRINCESS 3 3 5 87 8 710 4(mouton patrick)VARGAS P 122 10.00 11% 8.10 9.70  
C. C. HARBOR 5 9 910 9 911¾ 912 57 (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00 14.80  
NISI PRIUS 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 24 6(witt ii)COTTO L 122 2.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
KENYA STRIKE 9 7 8 6 7 57(romero dale)FLORES S 119 12.00 8.60  
ALL EARS 1 1 4 4 5 69 8(garcia luis)BACA L 122 15.00 9.80  
MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA 4 5 3 32 43 810 914 (adcock charles)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00 41.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.