Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE SURFER Jul03 Jun20 Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 (deatherage )FLORES S 124 6.00 ★    
2  LA' HOPPER Jun06 Apr19 Apr13 Mar30 Feb17 (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 124 3.00 19% 4.10    
3  ROYAL D D Jul04 Jun07 May17 Apr30   (willia)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
4  CONFESS Jul03 Jun13 May23 May14 May01 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  KISSMEISTER Jun04 Mar05       (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROBBER Jul04 Jun19 Mar03     (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.50 ★    
7  MAPACHE MAN Jun19 Jun04 Apr16 Mar12 Jan30 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 5.00    
 
LAD-2   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Jul05 Jun14 Feb11 Jan15   (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  MOSH PIT Jun14 May30 Feb14 Jan17   (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 ★    
3  MY BOY SAM Jul02 Jun07 May23 Feb10 Jan27 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
4  SIR OVERANALYZE Jul02 Jun11 Mar02 Feb04 Jan20 (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  TAPPED OUT Jul02 Jun07 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 ★    
6  ROOSTER RUN Jun26 Jun04 May09 Mar25 Mar03 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  EXCLAIM Jul02 Jun07 Jan29     (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 12.00    
 
LAD-3   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LIL EVA JANE Jan15         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00    
SCR  SWEET BAY Jul05 May20 May12 Mar31 Mar23 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 ★    
SCR  BELLAMY CAY Jul04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb05   (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  CALAJA Jun04 May09 Mar13     (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  MISS BILLIE K Jul04 May09 Feb10     (nelson eric)FLORES S 119 8.00    
5  GOLD INCLUDED Jul01 Jun12 May28 May09 Apr12 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  CARSON'S PRINCESS Jun12 May07 Feb11 Jan20   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
LAD-4   07/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSI ASPEN Jul03 May28 May14 Apr22   (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 ★    
2  LIT A SHUCK Jul02 Jun19       (hatcher nath)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
3  MAGIC ICE Jun07 Apr22 Mar25 Jan21 Jan08 (soto fermin)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
4  TED STRIKER Jun26 May23 Jan12     (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
5  YOU YOUR DADDY SON Jun18 May07 Mar10     (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00    
6  BODEE BODEE Jun12 May24 May14 Mar23 Mar11 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
7  TOOCAN DANCE Jul02 Jun13 May14 Mar05 Feb04 (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 6.00 ★    
8  SHANKINSTINE Jul02 Jun12 May14     (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
 
LAD-5   07/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMS APRIORITY Jun13         (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 1.40    
1A  LA LA LATTE Jun19         (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 1.40 25% 3.00    
2  CRYPTO SMARTY         (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 120 12.00 15% 5.60    
2B  RIVER GODDESS         (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
3  KANCANCUTIE         (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  A STONE RUNNER Jun28         (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00    
5  THE CAT CAME BACK Jul03 Jun11 May15 Apr07   (jacks e)GUZMAN JORGE 120 2.50 ★    
6  CAUGHT MY HEART         (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
LAD-6   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAJAN CASH Jun04 May10 Mar03 Feb12 Jan22 (turner p)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
2  INVINCIBILITY Jun25 May27 May06 Apr07 Mar10 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 12.00    
3  D TWO Jun28 May30 May10     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
4  TIZ MCNAMARA Jul04 Jun14 Jun04 May08 Apr23 (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
5  CREATIVE LETTERS Jun28 May30 May09 Apr01 Mar10 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 ★    
6  SIR SMACK Jun11 May21 May04 Apr01 Mar02 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  LOVETHATCAUSE Jun27 Jun05 May10 Mar27 Feb18 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 ★    
SCR  ADRENALINE Jun28 Jun05 May17 Mar19 Feb24 (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 119 15.00    
 
LAD-7   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL EARS May31 May10 Apr08 Mar18   (garcia luis)BACA L 122 15.00    
2  ABBEY LANE Jun27 Jun04       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 ★    
3  PI YO PRINCESS Jul04 Jun07 May08 Mar18 Jan14 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
4  MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA Jul04 Jun12 May24 May07   (adcock c)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
5  C. C. HARBOR Jun26 May31 Apr29 Mar13 Jan07 (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00    
6  MY ALIBI Jun26         (duhon o)BOREL H 122 6.00 6% 17.00    
7  NISI PRIUS Jun16 May07 Apr22 Apr01 Feb20 (witt ii)COTTO L 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
8  MADAM HENNY Jun26 May31 May07     (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  KENYA STRIKE Jul03 Jun12 Jan26     (romero gera)FLORES S 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.