The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 11, 2022

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WRD-1   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
:241 :49 1:143     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE CURDY 5 3 4 41 1 14 1(smith a)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 26% 2.90 1.60 W
PURE SILK 1 5 3 31 4 24 2(gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 3.50 40% 1.50 1.50 P
SMOKEY REFLECTION 3 4 2½ 2½ 2 36 311¾ (swan e)JORDAN R 119 1.80 2.70 S
ON A SHOESTRING 4 2 52 5 3 47 414 (dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 124 4.50 11.90  
VIOLET SHADOWS 2 1 1½ 1½ 5 514 532 (dixon tim)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 8% 11.90 8.40  
 
WRD-2   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:224 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET AVENGER 5 1 2½ 1nk   11 1(ashford ray)JORDAN R 113 1.80 0.50  
DO ME A FAVOR 1 2 3½ 33   32(cogburn l)KIMES C 124 4.00 15.40 P
EVENING STORM 4 5 5 5   43(buehrer w)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 29% 2.40 3.00 S
BAD AT LOVE 3 3 1½ 2nk   21 4(martinez-jimenez pedro)CRUZ ROMAN 124 12.00 8% 11.40 30.60  
MY CITY GIRL 2 4 4 44   55(donaldson jerry)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
PUSSYCAT PUSSYCAT 6 6 64 6   6613¼ (buehrer w)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 14.40  
 
WRD-3   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
:244 :493 1:141     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALEO 3 4 6 3 3.2 11 1½ (craddock kari)WETHEY JR 122 1.00 45% 1.20 0.20 W
VIENNA PRIZE 5 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 21 2½ (nolen kenneth)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 22% 3.60 4.60 P
KIRBY DERBY 2 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 34 3(smith a)MEDINA ANGEL 122 6.00 9.70  
LIBERTY SPIRIT 1 3 42 5 4 411 417¾ (caster boyd)JORDAN R 117 5.00 7.90  
DRAMAATTHEBORDER 4 6 3 4 5 513 523¼ (williams alan)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
ROWDY GALE 6 5 5 6 6 618 642¾ (oberlander jesse)TRIANA JR 122 5.00 32.70  
 
WRD-4   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIA ELENA Y. G 2 1 2nk 2nk   21 1¾ (morales arnold)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80 52% 0.90 1.50 W
DIAMOND LEGACY 3 2 1nk 1nk   11 2¾ (david ron)JORDAN R 119 2.00 1.50 P
SUNDAY'S VISION 1 4 4 32   32 3(buehrer w)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.50 22% 3.60 2.10 S
SHEZA HOT FLASH 4 5 5 5   45 410¾ (david ron)CRUZ ROMAN 118 4.00 10.30  
FATEFULLY YOURS 5 3 3.2 4   57 517 (seaton shane)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 28.70  
 
WRD-5   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
:243 :493 1:151     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA HEAT 3 2 4 3.2 2nk 1nk 1¼ (offolter s)KIMES C 124 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80 W
CRAZY LOVER 5 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (gladd kassie)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 2.50 P
TAG ME 1 4 31 4 4¾ 32 3(ferrell jory)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 12% 7.10 2.40 S
A LOT OF HEAT 2 1 1nk 2nk 3.2 43 45 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 119 3.00 3.10  
BACKSTAGE BUD 6 5 53 5 5 510 522¼ (williams f)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00 36.00  
RODEO RIVER 4 6 65 6 6 613 626¾ (thomas dena)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 7% 13.60 43.30  
 
WRD-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
:224 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET OKIE 4 1 3 3.2   11 1½ (ferrell jory)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 19% 4.40 21.00 W
MAGIC MINDY 1 5 5 5   21 2½ (morales arnold)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 1.80 P
RIVER LIBERTY 5 2 4 4   52 31 (williams f)KIMES C 124 8.00 18.80 S
SHERIFF FEMENINO 2 4 1nk 1nk   34(ashford ray)JORDAN R 119 2.00 3.00  
DIXIEFIED 3 3 2nk 2nk   45(bravo francisco)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 43% 1.40 0.80  
 
WRD-7   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
:232 :464 1:124     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KWONTRO 5 1 1nk 1 11 11 1¼ (swan e)JORDAN R 119 2.00 44% 1.30 5.20 W
HALLOWED RIVER 6 4 33 32 21 21 2¼ (gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 3.00 1.80 P
I'M CRENSHAW 2 6 5 55 4 31 3¼ (bravo francisco)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 1.80  
MISTY'S FOOL 3 2 4 42 3 44¾ (williams f)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 34% 2.00 4.30  
CANONIZE 4 5 6 6 5 55(chleborad lynn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 6.10  
WILD RUMBLE 1 3 2nk 2 610½ 620½ 632¼ (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 23.00  
 
WRD-8   05/11/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
:221 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTABOUTRIGHT 4 3 3 31   21 11 (williams alan)COLLIER T 121 2.50 2.50  
CASINO QUEEN 1 1 12 11   11 21 (nolen kenneth)WETHEY JR 121 1.80 39% 1.60 1.30 P
DESTINY'S LOVE 3 2 22 21   33(caster boyd)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20 1.50 S
SARAHS HOME 2 4 4 43   4414½ (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00 6.90  
SCR  FIREY EMBLEM               (hunt charlton)TRIANA JR 115 15.00    
 
WRD-9   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($19.8K) 3 F PT- 5:54
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATSY R 7 1 41 2nk   1½ 1(craddock kari)KIMES C 122 3.50 35% 1.90 1.70 W
SWEET TEA RED 3 3 1½ 3.2   2½ 2(craddock kari)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 7.60 P
CANDY'S A DANDY 6 7 6 1nk   336 (young e)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.50 S
SHE'S A PLAYER 4 5 5 5   44(luneack sue)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 7% 12.60 7.10  
FEELIN MY OATS 2 2 3½ 4   55 510¼ (mitchell ralph)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 4.00 3.30  
EASTER VISION 5 4 2½ 6   610 622 (olmstead l)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00 11.80  
BRAVE COOL KITTY 1 6 7 7   711 722½ (oberlander jesse)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00 30.20  
 
WRD-10   05/11/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:222 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY HAPPY 1 5 53 5   3½ 12 (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.80 W
LADAWN 7 3 6 32   2nk 22 (smith a)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.50 2.50  
RUN A FIRE 6 6 7 6   53(hunt charlton)JORDAN R 113 4.00 9.70 S
HURRAY FOR RHEA 5 9 42 22   41 4(gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 8.00 7.30  
DA DYNASTY DIVA 2 1 1nk 12   1nk 54 (dunlap m)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 15.00 11.40  
TERRIFIC INDY 3 2 2nk 73   865 (cogburn l)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 58.00  
10  MOONSHINE PRINCESS 9 8 8 85   775 (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 6% 17.10 3.80  
FLASHBACK KISS 4 4 31 4   68(padilla a)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 6.00  
MARYJO'S DUCHESS 8 7 9 96   99(dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 124 15.00 33% 2.00 48.70  
SCR  SALT CREEK CAT               (ibarra jose)RICHARD RONALD 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.