Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE SILK Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Jan09   (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
VIOLET SHADOWS May02 Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 (dixon tim)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 8% 11.90    
SMOKEY REFLECTION Apr20 Apr04 Mar21     (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 1.80    
ON A SHOESTRING Apr26 Apr19 Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 (dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 124 4.50    
BIRDIE CURDY Apr04 Feb27       (smith pau)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
WRD-2   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO ME A FAVOR Feb17 Jan30 Jan08     (cogburn l)KIMES C 124 4.00    
MY CITY GIRL Apr25 Mar28       (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
BAD AT LOVE         (martinez-jimenez)CRUZ ROMAN 124 12.00 8% 11.40    
EVENING STORM Apr25 Apr11 Mar28     (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SECRET AVENGER May02 Apr20 Apr05     (ashford ra)JORDAN R 113 1.80    
PUSSYCAT PUSSYCAT Apr11 Mar28       (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
 
WRD-3   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY SPIRIT         (caster boyd)JORDAN R 117 5.00    
KIRBY DERBY Apr20 Mar05 Jan15     (smith pau)MEDINA ANGEL 122 6.00    
KALEO Apr12 Mar21       (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 122 1.00 45% 1.20    
DRAMAATTHEBORDER         (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIENNA PRIZE Mar25 Feb11 Jan15     (nolen kenneth)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
ROWDY GALE May02 Apr18       (oberlande)TRIANA JR 122 5.00    
 
WRD-4   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY'S VISION Apr27 Apr13 Mar29     (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
MARIA ELENA Y. G Apr27 Apr18 Apr04     (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
DIAMOND LEGACY Apr27 Mar29       (david ron)JORDAN R 119 2.00    
SHEZA HOT FLASH Apr13 Mar29       (david ron)CRUZ ROMAN 118 4.00    
FATEFULLY YOURS Apr25         (seaton sh)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00    
 
WRD-5   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAG ME Apr27 Apr19 Mar30 Jan26   (ferrell j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
A LOT OF HEAT May02         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
OKLAHOMA HEAT Apr19 Mar30 Feb17 Jan28   (offolter s)KIMES C 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
RODEO RIVER Apr11         (thomas dena)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 7% 13.60    
CRAZY LOVER Mar22         (gladd kassie)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50    
BACKSTAGE BUD Apr19 Apr04 Mar21     (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00    
 
WRD-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MINDY May03 Apr18 Apr05     (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50    
SHERIFF FEMENINO         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 2.00    
DIXIEFIED Apr25 Apr04       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 43% 1.40    
AFLEET OKIE Apr25 Apr04       (ferrell j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 19% 4.40    
RIVER LIBERTY Apr25 Apr04       (williams f)KIMES C 124 8.00    
 
WRD-7   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD RUMBLE May03 Apr27 Apr19 Apr12 Apr04 (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
I'M CRENSHAW Apr19 Feb18 Jan30     (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 118 3.50    
MISTY'S FOOL Apr26 Apr06 Mar22     (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 34% 2.00    
CANONIZE (IRE) Apr19         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
KWONTRO Apr19 Mar29 Mar22 Jan07   (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
HALLOWED RIVER Apr26 Mar29       (gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 3.00    
 
WRD-8   05/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASINO QUEEN Apr11 Mar21       (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
SARAHS HOME Apr20 Mar30 Feb16 Jan26 Jan08 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00    
DESTINY'S LOVE Apr11 Mar30 Feb26     (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
JUSTABOUTRIGHT Apr11         (williams alan)COLLIER T 121 2.50    
SCR  FIREY EMBLEM May02 Apr12       (hunt char)TRIANA JR 115 15.00    
 
WRD-9   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVE COOL KITTY Apr27         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00    
FEELIN MY OATS Apr19         (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 4.00    
SWEET TEA RED Apr27         (craddock kari)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00    
SHE'S A PLAYER Apr19 Apr05       (luneack t)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 7% 12.60    
EASTER VISION         (olmstead jaso)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00    
CANDY'S A DANDY Apr27         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
PATSY R Apr13 Mar22 Mar03     (craddock kari)KIMES C 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
WRD-10   05/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY HAPPY Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb23   (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
DA DYNASTY DIVA Apr26 Apr18 Mar22     (dunlap shon)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 15.00    
TERRIFIC INDY         (cogburn o)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
FLASHBACK KISS Apr26         (padilla carlo)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
HURRAY FOR RHEA         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 8.00    
RUN A FIRE Apr26 Apr05 Mar29     (hunt charlto)JORDAN R 113 4.00    
LADAWN Apr20 Mar15       (smith pau)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.50    
MARYJO'S DUCHESS Feb12 Jan20       (dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 124 15.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SALT CREEK CAT         (ibarra jose)RICHARD RONALD 118 10.00    
10  MOONSHINE PRINCESS         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.