Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 1 2 11 11 1nk 11 1nk (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 10% 8.70 1.30 W
PARALISSFRMANALYSS 5 1 3 21 2nk 21 1nk (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50 39% 1.60 2.10 W
NATE'S REVENGE 3 7 78 6 47 34 3nk (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 5.90  
XANTHUS WRATH 6 4 5 42 3 44 4 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 8.00 4.80  
MARVINS GOLD 2 5 4 32 5 59 518 (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.00 8.90  
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE 4 3 21 5 610 6 619½ (savoie)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00 36.90  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 7 6 65 74 713 714¾ 739¼ (milburn kat)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00 60.40  
SCR  GENUINE KITTEN               (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 10.00    
SCR  WHISKEY OVER ICE               (dodwell caroli)BACA L 123 5.00 28% 2.50    
 
EVD-2   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMPHREY 6 6 6 6 5 4¾ 1¼ (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 7.70  
HOT STOVE LEAGUE 1 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 1nk 2¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 1.40 P
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 4 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 3¼ (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 49% 1.00 1.40 S
FLASHBURN 5 4 3½ 3½ 3.2 3½ 4 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 22% 3.60 4.40  
SEMI CHARMED LIFE 2 3 42 4 4 5 5 (besanc)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00 22.20  
WAYPOINT 3 5 5 54 6 620¼ 628½ (zenon shelton)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00 19.10  
SCR  DUSTY BOY               (perron ger)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00    
 
EVD-3   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:26   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONAMARGARITADAY 5 7 1½ 1nk 1 1 15 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 3.00 67% 0.50 3.30 W
SHE A HOT MESS 7 4 54 42 3 35 25 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50 3.80 P
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) 4 1 7 7 57 4 3 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 8% 11.10 2.60 S
TEXAS BLUEBONNET 1 5 2½ 2nk 2 2 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 2.60  
GATOR PROUD 3 3 6 65 7 513½ 520¾ (boxie joseph)MAGNON H 115 12.00 16.50  
MIZZEN MONARCH 2 2 32 5 68 615½ 623¾ (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 10.10  
BURNING DESIRE 6 6 4 3 47 715½ 723¾ (harrison cor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 12.10  
 
EVD-4   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLI MICHAEL 4 1 1nk 1   15 1 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.80 39% 1.60 3.20 W
BODE'S LIGHT 1 2 2nk 2   25 2 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 2.40 P
1A  CARIBE NIGHTS 3 5 5 53   46 3 (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 11% 8.50 3.90 S
KING MARVIN 5 3 3 32   3 412¾ (degeyter ran)MAGNON H 115 3.50 18% 4.70 5.70  
BITSY'S CUSTOM C 6 4 43 4   5 516¼ (david b)THORNTON G 120 8.00 13% 6.90 2.00  
MOVE IT 2 6 613¼ 614   615½ 616¾ (cox l)STOKES J 123 5.00 3.90  
SCR  COWBOY HAY HAY               (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
 
EVD-5   07/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:23 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABOCHON TREASURE 5 5 42 3.2   1 15 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 3.00 27% 2.70 1.90 W
ETBAUER'S SECRET 4 2 2 2nk   2 25 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 5% 17.90 3.00 P
MALIBU MONEY 2 4 32 4   45 3 (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 35% 1.80 1.40 S
BIG RUSSSS 7 1 1 1nk   32 411½ (savoie she)ALBERT S 110 10.00 11.30  
FIGHTING SOLDIER 6 6 64 5   59 518½ (morrel)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 115 20.00 46.30  
HONORABLESTATEMENT 3 3 5 6   6 619¼ (keith d)STOKES A 120 12.00 14.30  
FLASH OF RAIN 1 7 7 7   710½ 720¾ (meza martin)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 5% 18.30 22.70  
SCR  CURIOUS APRIORITY               (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 115 6.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  FIREINTHESTORM               (thomas lee)STOKES J 115 6.00    
SCR  SONG SPECTACULAR               (gonzalez e)MECHE CODY 120 12.00    
 
EVD-6   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCAKE 3 3 5 53   33 1nk (grudzien rylee)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 5.60  
DA DUE RUN RUN 4 6 67 6   5 2nk (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 2.00 14% 6.10 3.30 P
MADAME JANE 5 1 2½ 1nk   11 3½ (richards co)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50 14% 6.00 2.00 S
STARBUCK LUCK 1 2 1½ 2nk   21 4 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 8.00 13% 6.50 5.80  
MISS NITAP 6 4 32 31   4 57 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 29% 2.40 4.50  
MOMENT TO DREAM 2 5 4 4   66 610¼ (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 12.00 5.00  
SCR  STANG IT               (ladner j)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
 
EVD-7   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:134 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTA 1 1 12 1 11 13 1 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 118 1.60 55% 0.80 1.70 W
IRON BANNER 3 2 3 54 4 34 2 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 108 15.00 8.60  
LADY CHURCHILL 5 4 22 2 21 23 3 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 14% 6.30 4.20 S
HERE COMES LOVIE 2 3 4 43 5 44 4 (cordero )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00 4.40  
LUTIE MO 4 5 5 3 3 5 511½ (landry ray)STOKES J 113 12.00 4.60  
GLORY TO ME 7 6 67 6 6 610 617½ (meza martin)LEDET THEODRICK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
GOODNIGHT GRACIE 6 7 710½ 710½ 710¾ 711 719 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 118 5.00 5.60  
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
 
EVD-8   07/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:141     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUHR MEO 1 5 4 3   1½ 1 (maturi)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 1.40 49% 1.00 0.70 W
GLENNEYMAX 3 3 32 4   3 2 (arndt theodore)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 11% 7.80 3.10 P
HOUSE OF ZONG 2 1 1nk 11   2½ 3 (constantine caro)FUSILIER C 118 3.00 8.30 S
ST. MONICA 4 6 6 67   55 4 (cordero m)HERNANDEZ V 123 3.50 8.40  
LUCCA'S LILYBY 7 2 2nk 21   44 5 (cormier donald)MECHE CODY 123 10.00 11.00  
MY DEPOSIT 5 7 713¼ 710   65 6 (cox edward)ALBERT S 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
DIAMONDS SHINING 6 4 5 56   79 710½ (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 118 12.00 9% 10.40 20.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.