Handicappers' Race Results

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Gillespie County Fair
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
GIL-3   08/27/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:463         :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENFANT DE PACQUE 3 1 1nk     11 1¼ (carrizales ede)HERBERT R 123 8.00 10% 9.20 6.00 W
OKLAHOMA STAR 6 2 3.2     21 2¼ (apari)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 10.00 7% 12.50 2.70 P
ZMOR ARISTOCAT 1 6 4     32 3 (fr)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 128 10.00 15.60 S
FASTED 4 4 7     5 4 (garza joel)VIVANCO L 123 4.00 3.20  
LAUGHING ROCKETT 5 5 2nk     4 5 (velazqu)AGUILAR PONCE 123 3.00 21% 3.70 2.00  
KITCHEN MATCH 7 3 5     65 6 (uriegas joe)VERA T 123 10.00 9.80  
IRON ALLOY 2 7 6     7 712 (benavides chr)OLIVO JUAN 128 20.00 10.30  
SCR  METALLIC SILVER               (roubi)URIETA MANUEL 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
GIL-5   08/27/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:472         :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI GOLD 4 4 42     45 1hd (echeverria )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 12.00 5.10  
Z GLITTER CAPOTE 3 3 2nk     2½ 2hd (hernandez juan)VERA T 128 2.00 16% 5.20 1.50 P
STRAWMAN 1 1 1nk     1½ 31 (kotar)URIETA MANUEL 125 8.00 3.20 S
PHARME'S PHINALE 6 2 31     33 4 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 8% 11.20 2.60  
SMARTY RIDGE 2 6 66     6 5 (kotara rona)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 125 20.00 11.80  
DOUBLE TRAP 5 5 5     57 6 (bryant george )VIVANCO L 125 15.00 11.10  
SCR  SOLAR CITY               (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 128 1.80 53% 0.90    
SCR  VALENTORO               (bryant george )VIVANCO L 125 10.00    
 
GIL-6   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:133         1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITT'S TAQUITO 2 4 3 2   12 1 (lloyd)URIETA MANUEL 128 3.00 5.10  
LANGUAGE BARRIER 8 3 1 1   22 2 (roman manue)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 128 6.00 6.90 P
RAILROADER (GB) 4 7 6 711½   5 37 (carrizales ede)HERBERT R 128 15.00 14.80  
HE'S A RANGER 1 6 2 3   34 47 (echeverria )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 20.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
LIL BIG MAN 5 5 57 611   4 5 (jacks e)VIVANCO L 128 12.00 11.80  
BORTSTEIN 7 2 4 410   7 612¼ (velazqu)AGUILAR PONCE 128 8.00 12.90  
LITTLE AVENGER 6 1 7 510½   6 716¼ (camacho d)VERA T 128 2.50 56% 0.80 2.00  
AVAILABLE STAR 3 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 128 4.00 15% 5.50 2.70  
SCR  BRAHMS BOY               (llo)HERNANDEZ PADILLA 128 8.00    
 
GIL-7   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:13         1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYWAVE 8 7 4 21   13 1 (roubi)URIETA MANUEL 128 4.00 28% 2.50 2.20 W
SCHOENHARDT 5 6 5 53   23 2 (carrizales ede)VERA T 128 8.00 19% 4.40 9.20 P
TEXAS THUNDER 1 1 11 11   3 39 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.00 2.60 S
DUCHESS OF ZMOR 4 4 3 42   4 39 (fr)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 123 12.00 15.30 DH
PAYNTED LOVER 3 5 7 7   68 511¼ (garza j)AGUILAR PONCE 128 8.00 14.20  
HEAD OVER BOOTS 2 8 8 86   79 612½ (echeverria )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00 6.60  
MYSTERIOUS STAR 6 2 21 3   5 715¼ (lloyd an)VIVANCO L 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.40  
UNCORKED HUMOR 7 3 64 6   810½ 820¼ (echeverria hec)DUENEZ LUCIANO 128 20.00 5% 18.50 17.20  
 
GIL-9   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
1:264         1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTERBACK DAK 5 7 7 3.2   12 1 (caldwell j )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 128 5.00 17% 4.90 3.70 W
POPEYES HEART 6 6 4 5   3 2 (bryant)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 125 8.00 17.60 P
SUNDAY BLING 7 1 3 2nk   22 3 (pish )URIETA MANUEL 128 3.00 25% 3.00 2.00 S
MR. NIGHTBLINGER 3 5 6 7   4 4 (clary jayla)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 125 2.50 2.30  
DON'T BLAME DEXTER 1 4 5 6   67 5 (her)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 128 4.00 27% 2.70 7.90  
PROUD TO SERVE 2 3 2½ 1nk   57 610¾ (carrizales ede)VERA T 128 6.00 12.10  
RUNNING JESSE 4 2 1½ 4¾   715 726½ (roubion steve)VIVANCO L 128 8.00 5.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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