The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 27, 2022

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LAD-1   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
:243 :493 1:134 1:254   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERCREST GIRL 4 4 3 5 31 21 1(pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 33% 2.10 1.80 W
DREWSILLA 5 5 4 1nk 1½ 11 2(mouton patrick)VARGAS P 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.30 P
CHARLIE'S GAL 2 6 6 6 54 534 (turner patti)BACA L 122 15.00 35.50 S
JACKIE FLASH 1 1 1nk 3.2 4 43 46 (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
MISS TONALIST 6 2 5 4¾ 64 65 5(foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 13.60  
LAWLESS TIMES 3 3 2nk 2nk 2½ 33 6(calhoun bret)MCMAHON J 119 8.00 5.20  
CRYPTO SMARTY 7 7 7 7 77 710 717 (feilner f)BARRERA J 119 30.00 77.20  
SCR  THE CAT CAME BACK               (jacks e)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
 
LAD-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MY LIMIT 2 6 5 5   1nk 1(goins garland)FLORES S 120 12.00 28.60  
BENOIT 3 7 7 64   62(hodges e)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 12.30 P
STIFF DRINK 1 1 3.2 1nk   3.2 32 (foster m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30 3.40 S
MYGLORYBEE 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 4(hodges e)COTTO L 120 3.50 12% 7.20 1.70  
WISHERT 5 3 4¼ 3   554 (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 10.50  
CALIBRACHOA KID 7 4 1nk 42   46(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
CLEARLY A JET 6 5 6 7   7714 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 43.20  
 
LAD-3   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
:253 :494 1:134     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHARME'S PHAITH 4 5 4 4   31(jacks e)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 1.90 DH
BAYOU SARGE 6 2 21 2nk   11(borel renay)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00 16.40 DH
ONE HITTER 1 4 9 7   53(lorick lee)SINGH R 120 15.00 9.70  
10  BIG ROJO 9 3 3 3.2   42 44 (washington richard)STOKES A 120 3.50 17% 5.00 4.30  
KINGPRIN 5 1 11 1nk   25(smith craig)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 19% 4.30 2.10  
WINGS FOR ENO 8 8 75 8   78 6(johnston johnny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
TEXAS TRILOGY 7 6 6 5   678 (coats t)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00 32.90  
BLUEGRASS DIXIE 3 7 8 9   818 826½ (ortiz ruiz)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
HONUS 2 9 5 6   920 946¾ (winslow janine)HEBERT J 122 10.00 17.00  
SCR  THUNDER ROAD               (dodson clifford)FLORES S 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
:234 :474 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JUDGE THIS TRIP 9 2 1½ 11   14 1(jeansonne justin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 34% 1.90 0.60 W
GOLD CHAIN 3 5 2½ 3   24 2(duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 P
CHATAIN'S EAGLE 6 8 5 43   45 3(lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 21.80 S
DON'T BLINK TWICE 4 1 31 21   3412¾ (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 12.00  
SHOTGUN ANNIE 1 4 7 54   58 513¾ (west henry)BARRERA J 119 20.00 50.90  
WHISKEY TO WINE 7 7 86 7   6617½ (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00 5.90  
BONUS ROUND 5 3 42 6   711 723¼ (schwandt emile)MURRAY M 122 15.00 39.60  
LASTPRECIOUS D'ORO 2 9 98 8   813 823½ (de alex)FLORES S 124 30.00 59.20  
10  ATLANTIC BAND 8 6 6 98   915 928¾ (gallaway eddie)MORALES ROBERTO 124 30.00 61.70  
SCR  JOEY'S THUNDER               (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 15.00    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST               (thomas lee)BACA L 124 30.00    
 
LAD-5   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:244 :481 1:12     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MORE ICE 10 4 7 6   2nk 1(foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 67% 0.50 1.40 W
RELUCTANT WARRIOR 1 2 1nk 3.2   1nk 2(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 9% 9.70 6.00 P
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK 3 8 6 72   32 3(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 20.10 S
GOBLER 2 11 11 11   743 (turner patti)FLORES S 119 12.00 12.60  
SENATOR CON 4 10 10 9   55(balderas alfonso)BACA L 119 8.00 8.70  
VALENTINE STREET 7 5 5 5   66(johnston johnny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 14.90  
INCA WARRIOR 8 9 9 83   87(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 8.70  
TWO DOT 5 7 4 1nk   488 (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 4.10  
12  FIRST BUMP RIDGE 11 3 8 10   99(pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00 67.60  
10  FORT RIDGE 9 6 3.2 4¾   101011¾ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 91.10  
THAT'S D 'CAT 6 1 2nk 2nk   111113 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 20.40  
SCR  MEGANS LAD               (schmidt denise)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
SCR  POSEIDON WRATH               (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
SCR  SUCH               (lorefice matt)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
LAD-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
:231 :464 :593     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLO CREEDO 7 1 31 3.2   3.2 1½ (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.50 W
PROPERLY CONNECTED 5 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 4.20 P
GOLDEN REMEDY 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 32 (gibson jonas)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 3.80 S
HOOKEM TX BLING 4 7 7 7   44(pish danny)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 31.40  
10  LITTLE ROCKY 8 5 817¾ 8   857 (hodges e)COTTO L 120 15.00 11.20  
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 6 2 5 6   76(foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 13.90  
SOMMELIER 2 8 6 4   57(goins garland)BARRERA J 112 20.00 29.30  
LA BOUCANE 1 6 4 5   68(wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 4.00  
SCR  BRAVE MAGIC               (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  ELUSIVEDESTINATION               (morris rowdy)BACA L 117 30.00    
 
LAD-7   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:24 :481 1:12 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVE'S DELIGHT 7 2 2½ 1nk 11 14 1(goins garland)FLORES S 119 6.00 5.90  
MISS PERFECTA 6 6 7 8 4 42(asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 40% 1.50 3.30 P
10  FORT POLK 9 7 41 31 21 34 3(mouton patrick)VARGAS P 119 2.50 2.00 S
TEXAS RED BEL 3 1 1½ 2nk 31 24 4(payne w)COTTO L 122 30.00 30.40  
WATRUGONNADOKAREN 1 4 5 52 6 55(wilson shane)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 8.00  
JUST PASSING THRU 5 9 84 7 52 66(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 4.60  
PRINCESS PHONE 2 5 6 6 74 77(roubion steve)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 9% 9.90 13.90  
1A  PLATINUM QUEEN 4 8 95 9 8 8810¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 27% 2.80 9.60  
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 8 3 31 4 9 918¼ 930½ (vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 30.00 41.80  
SCR  A G'S CHARLOTTE               (west g)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
SCR  RACY JAYCEE               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
 
LAD-8   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:223 :472       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR 9 2 12 11   11(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 3.40  
LUCKY BREAK 3 7 7 53   52(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 6% 14.90 6.50 P
TOP HAT CAT 7 1 32 21   23(milligan allen)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00 27.10  
DETECTIVE BERNARDO 1 6 43 31   43 4(ortiz ruiz)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00 5.40  
PRICED RIGHT 8 3 5 6   33 5(lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 7.20  
MARKETBOOK 5 4 22 4   75 6(asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 60% 0.70 1.70  
BIG SESSY 6 8 8 8   64 710¼ (washington richard)STOKES A 117 10.00 29.70  
DOUBLE BOGEY 2 10 6 7   8813¾ (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 57.50  
MORE THAN PLAY 4 5 9 9   97 917¾ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
10  A LITTLE RISKY 10 9 10 1015¾   101041¼ (vincent jarvis)HEBERT J 117 20.00 18.10  
 
LAD-9   09/27/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
:253 :503 1:154 1:422   2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER WISE 7 21 22 21 1nk 11 1¾ (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 9.20  
PICKING ROSES 5 32 43 42 5 42¾ (jeansonne justin)COTTO L 122 2.00 40% 1.50 0.60  
UNCLE ARTIE 4 533 3 31 33(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 6.60 S
10  MAU MAU 11 911 11 7 114(pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 9.00  
1A  WHEN'S TEE TIME 6 86 53 42 65(jeansonne justin)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 0.60  
VINYL 2 67 6 6 76(wilson shane)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 36.00  
CHAOSMOS 10 117 10 10 8 97(richard c)STOKES A 120 6.00 22.00  
THE GREEN MO'STER 3 11 12 11 2nk 21 8(singh s)SINGH R 120 12.00 38% 1.60 12.40  
SPACE MOUNTAIN 9 42 5 7 9 5911½ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 9.20  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 1 109 9 10 101014¼ (milburn katina)BARRERA J 112 50.00 92.00  
GOLD INCLUDED 8 78 8 11 81114½ (morris rowdy)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00 69.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.