Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:134 1:254   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIVERCREST GIRL 4 4 31½ 52¼ 31 21 11¾ (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 33% 2.10 1.80 W
6  DREWSILLA 5 5 41¾ 1nk 1½ 11 21¾ (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.30 P
2  CHARLIE'S GAL 2 6 63¼ 62¾ 54 53½ 34 (turner patti)BACA L 122 15.00 ★ 35.50 S
1  JACKIE FLASH 1 1 1nk 3.2 42½ 43 46 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
7  MISS TONALIST 6 2 53¼ 4¾ 64 65 57¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★ 13.60  
3  LAWLESS TIMES 3 3 2nk 2nk 2½ 33 68½ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 119 8.00 5.20  
8  CRYPTO SMARTY 7 7 74¾ 74¾ 77 710 717 (feilner ray )BARRERA J 119 30.00 77.20  
SCR  THE CAT CAME BACK               (j)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
 
LAD-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY MY LIMIT 2 6 51¾ 53½   1nk 11½ (goins garla)FLORES S 120 12.00 ★ 28.60  
3  BENOIT 3 7 76¾ 64   63¼ 21½ (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 ★ 12.30 P
1  STIFF DRINK 1 1 3.2 1nk   3.2 32 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30 3.40 S
4  MYGLORYBEE 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 42¼ (hodges e)COTTO L 120 3.50 12% 7.20 1.70  
5  WISHERT 5 3 4¼ 31½   52¾ 54 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 10.50  
7  CALIBRACHOA KID 7 4 1nk 42   41¾ 65¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
6  CLEARLY A JET 6 5 63¾ 75½   79¼ 714 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 43.20  
 
LAD-3   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:134     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PHARME'S PHAITH 4 5 42½ 41¾   31½ 12¼ (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 1.90 DH
7  BAYOU SARGE 6 2 21 2nk   11½ 12¼ (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00 16.40 DH
1  ONE HITTER 1 4 96¼ 74¼   53½ 32¼ (lorick lee)SINGH R 120 15.00 9.70  
10  BIG ROJO 9 3 31½ 3.2   42 44 (washington richa)STOKES A 120 3.50 17% 5.00 4.30  
5  KINGPRIN 5 1 11 1nk   21½ 54¾ (smith charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 19% 4.30 2.10  
9  WINGS FOR ENO 8 8 75 85¼   78 66¼ (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
8  TEXAS TRILOGY 7 6 63½ 51¾   67½ 78 (coats )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00 32.90  
3  BLUEGRASS DIXIE 3 7 85¼ 98¼   818 826½ ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
2  HONUS 2 9 52½ 63¼   920 946¾ (winslow janine)HEBERT J 122 10.00 17.00  
SCR  THUNDER ROAD               (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JUDGE THIS TRIP 9 2 1½ 11   14 17¾ (jeanso)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 34% 1.90 0.60 W
3  GOLD CHAIN 3 5 2½ 31½   24 27¾ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 P
7  CHATAIN'S EAGLE 6 8 52½ 43   45 38¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 ★ 21.80 S
5  DON'T BLINK TWICE 4 1 31 21   34½ 412¾ (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 ★ 12.00  
1  SHOTGUN ANNIE 1 4 74½ 54   58 513¾ (west henry)BARRERA J 119 20.00 50.90  
9  WHISKEY TO WINE 7 7 86 75½   69½ 617½ (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00 5.90  
6  BONUS ROUND 5 3 42 64½   711 723¼ (schwandt emile)MURRAY M 122 15.00 ★ 39.60  
2  LASTPRECIOUS D'ORO 2 9 98 87½   813 823½ (de beauvill)FLORES S 124 30.00 59.20  
10  ATLANTIC BAND 8 6 63½ 98   915 928¾ (gallaway ed)MORALES ROBERTO 124 30.00 61.70  
SCR  JOEY'S THUNDER               (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 15.00    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST               (thomas lee)BACA L 124 30.00    
 
LAD-5   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:12     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MORE ICE 10 4 73¼ 61¾   2nk 11¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 67% 0.50 1.40 W
1  RELUCTANT WARRIOR 1 2 1nk 3.2   1nk 21¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 9% 9.70 6.00 P
3  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK 3 8 62¾ 72   32 32¾ (g)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 ★ 20.10 S
2  GOBLER 2 11 115¼ 116½   73¾ 43 (turner patt)FLORES S 119 12.00 12.60  
4  SENATOR CON 4 10 104¾ 94½   52¾ 55½ (balderas alfon)BACA L 119 8.00 8.70  
7  VALENTINE STREET 7 5 52¼ 51¾   63¼ 65½ (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 14.90  
8  INCA WARRIOR 8 9 94¼ 83   83¾ 75¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 8.70  
5  TWO DOT 5 7 41¾ 1nk   42¼ 88 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 4.10  
12  FIRST BUMP RIDGE 11 3 83¾ 105½   95¼ 99¼ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00 67.60  
10  FORT RIDGE 9 6 3.2 4¾   109¼ 1011¾ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 91.10  
6  THAT'S D 'CAT 6 1 2nk 2nk   119¾ 1113 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 20.40  
SCR  MEGANS LAD               (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  POSEIDON WRATH               (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  SUCH               (l)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
LAD-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BELLO CREEDO 7 1 31 3.2   3.2 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.50 W
6  PROPERLY CONNECTED 5 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 ★ 4.20 P
4  GOLDEN REMEDY 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 32 (gibson jonas)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 ★ 3.80 S
5  HOOKEM TX BLING 4 7 79¾ 73¼   43¼ 44¼ (pish danny)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 31.40  
10  LITTLE ROCKY 8 5 817¾ 83½   86¾ 57 (hodges e)COTTO L 120 15.00 11.20  
7  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 6 2 54½ 63¼   74¾ 67½ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 13.90  
2  SOMMELIER 2 8 69½ 42¼   53¾ 77¾ (goins garlan)BARRERA J 112 20.00 29.30  
1  LA BOUCANE 1 6 42½ 52¾   64¼ 88¾ (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 ★ 4.00  
SCR  BRAVE MAGIC               (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  ELUSIVEDESTINATION               (morris rowdy)BACA L 117 30.00    
 
LAD-7   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:12 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EVE'S DELIGHT 7 2 2½ 1nk 11 14 12¼ (goins garla)FLORES S 119 6.00 5.90  
6  MISS PERFECTA 6 6 73½ 83¼ 41½ 44¼ 22¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 40% 1.50 3.30 P
10  FORT POLK 9 7 41 31 21 34 34½ (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 2.50 ★ 2.00 S
4  TEXAS RED BEL 3 1 1½ 2nk 31 24 44¾ (payne w)COTTO L 122 30.00 30.40  
2  WATRUGONNADOKAREN 1 4 51½ 52 63½ 55¾ 55¾ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 8.00  
5  JUST PASSING THRU 5 9 84 72¾ 52 66¼ 66½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 4.60  
3  PRINCESS PHONE 2 5 62½ 62½ 74 76¾ 78½ (r)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 9% 9.90 13.90  
1A  PLATINUM QUEEN 4 8 95 93¾ 84½ 88¼ 810¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 27% 2.80 9.60  
9  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 8 3 31 41½ 95½ 918¼ 930½ (vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 30.00 41.80  
SCR  A G'S CHARLOTTE               (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  RACY JAYCEE               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
 
LAD-8   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:223 :472       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR 9 2 12 11   11½ 11¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 ★ 3.40  
3  LUCKY BREAK 3 7 74¾ 53   53½ 21¼ (g)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 6% 14.90 6.50 P
7  TOP HAT CAT 7 1 32 21   21½ 32¼ (millig)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00 27.10  
1  DETECTIVE BERNARDO 1 6 43 31   43 44¾ (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00 5.40  
8  PRICED RIGHT 8 3 53¼ 63¼   33 56¼ (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 7.20  
5  MARKETBOOK 5 4 22 41½   75 68¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 60% 0.70 1.70  
6  BIG SESSY 6 8 85¼ 85¼   64 710¼ (washington richa)STOKES A 117 10.00 29.70  
2  DOUBLE BOGEY 2 10 64¾ 73¾   86½ 813¾ (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 57.50  
4  MORE THAN PLAY 4 5 96¾ 95¾   97 917¾ (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
10  A LITTLE RISKY 10 9 107¼ 1015¾   107½ 1041¼ (vincent jarvis)HEBERT J 117 20.00 18.10  
 
LAD-9   09/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:154 1:422   2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPER WISE 7 21 22 21 1nk 11 1¾ (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 9.20  
1  PICKING ROSES 5 32 43 42 52¼ 41½ 2¾ (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 2.00 40% 1.50 0.60  
5  UNCLE ARTIE 4 52¼ 33 31½ 31 31½ 31¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 ★ 6.60 S
10  MAU MAU (BRZ) 11 96¼ 118¾ 116¼ 73¾ 117¼ 42¼ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 ★ 9.00  
1A  WHEN'S TEE TIME 6 84¾ 64¾ 53 42 63¼ 52¼ (j)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 ★ 0.60  
3  VINYL 2 62¼ 74¾ 63½ 63¼ 73¾ 62½ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 36.00  
9  CHAOSMOS 10 117 107¼ 105¾ 85¼ 95¾ 74½ (richard russell )STOKES A 120 6.00 22.00  
4  THE GREEN MO'STER 3 11 12 11 2nk 21 87¾ (singh s)SINGH R 120 12.00 38% 1.60 12.40  
8  SPACE MOUNTAIN 9 42 54½ 73½ 96¾ 51¾ 911½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 ★ 9.20  
2  HOPE FOR CHANGE 1 106½ 96¾ 95½ 108¼ 105¾ 1014¼ (milburn kati)BARRERA J 112 50.00 92.00  
7  GOLD INCLUDED 8 73¼ 85¼ 84½ 118¾ 84¼ 1114½ (morris ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00 69.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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