Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE FLASH Sep07 Jul28 Jul06 Jun04 May19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  CHARLIE'S GAL Sep12 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 (turner patti)BACA L 122 15.00 ★    
3  LAWLESS TIMES Aug26         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 119 8.00    
SCR  THE CAT CAME BACK Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 May15 (j)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
5  RIVERCREST GIRL Sep12 Aug09 Jun04 Apr29   (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 33% 2.10    
6  DREWSILLA Sep12 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  MISS TONALIST Sep03 Jul12 Jun21 May29 May14 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
8  CRYPTO SMARTY Jul18         (feilner ray )BARRERA J 119 30.00    
 
LAD-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STIFF DRINK Sep13         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  MY MY LIMIT         (goins garla)FLORES S 120 12.00 ★    
3  BENOIT         (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 ★    
4  MYGLORYBEE Sep13 Aug13 Jul23     (hodges e)COTTO L 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  WISHERT Sep13         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
6  CLEARLY A JET Sep13         (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
7  CALIBRACHOA KID         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-3   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE HITTER Sep19 Sep03 Aug08 Feb05 Jan01 (lorick lee)SINGH R 120 15.00    
2  HONUS Jun16 May17 Apr08 Mar10   (winslow janine)HEBERT J 122 10.00    
3  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Jul03 Jun19 May29 May12 Feb16 (o)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  PHARME'S PHAITH Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Jul24 Jul09 (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
5  KINGPRIN Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul09 Jun18 (smith charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  THUNDER ROAD Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20 (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  BAYOU SARGE Sep13 Aug09 Jul02 Jun14 Jun06 (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00    
8  TEXAS TRILOGY Sep19 Aug01 Jul21 Jun19 Jun05 (coats )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00    
9  WINGS FOR ENO Sep06 Aug15 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BIG ROJO Sep06 Aug20 Aug04     (washington richa)STOKES A 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
LAD-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN ANNIE Aug24 Jul23 Mar02 Feb12 Jan12 (west henry)BARRERA J 119 20.00    
2  LASTPRECIOUS D'ORO Jun14         (de beauvill)FLORES S 124 30.00    
3  GOLD CHAIN Sep05 Aug15       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST Aug27 Aug04       (thomas lee)BACA L 124 30.00    
5  DON'T BLINK TWICE Aug14 Jul26       (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 ★    
6  BONUS ROUND Sep11         (schwandt emile)MURRAY M 122 15.00 ★    
7  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul19 Jul03 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  JOEY'S THUNDER Sep11 Aug18 Jul23 May12   (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 15.00    
9  WHISKEY TO WINE Aug14 Jul10 Jun13     (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00    
10  ATLANTIC BAND Aug27 Aug06 Jun24     (gallaway ed)MORALES ROBERTO 124 30.00    
11  JUDGE THIS TRIP Aug28         (jeanso)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
LAD-5   09/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELUCTANT WARRIOR Jul19 Jun26 May16 Mar06 Feb13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 9% 9.70    
2  GOBLER Aug20 Aug02 Jul10 Jun14 May16 (turner patt)FLORES S 119 12.00    
3  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Jun23 May12 (g)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 ★    
4  SENATOR CON Sep03 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun11 (balderas alfon)BACA L 119 8.00    
5  TWO DOT Sep17 Aug15 Jul23 Jun18 May30 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
6  THAT'S D 'CAT Aug06 Jul23 Jun30 Jun08 Apr28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
7  VALENTINE STREET Sep04 Aug02 Jul02 Jun09   (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00    
8  INCA WARRIOR Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 Jun14 May29 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
SCR  MEGANS LAD Sep12 Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 122 20.00 ★    
10  FORT RIDGE Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 Jul05 Jun27 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00    
11  MORE ICE Aug20 Aug08 Jun28 Jun05 May16 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
12  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Sep18 Aug20 Jul24 Jul09 Jun23 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  POSEIDON WRATH Sep11 Aug20 Jul27 Jul09 Jun16 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  SUCH Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (l)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
LAD-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BOUCANE         (wilson shane)BOREL H 120 8.00 ★    
2  SOMMELIER         (goins garlan)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
SCR  BRAVE MAGIC Sep13 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  GOLDEN REMEDY Aug27         (gibson jonas)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 ★    
5  HOOKEM TX BLING         (pish danny)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
6  PROPERLY CONNECTED         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 ★    
7  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Aug27         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
8  BELLO CREEDO Sep13         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  ELUSIVEDESTINATION         (morris rowdy)BACA L 117 30.00    
10  LITTLE ROCKY         (hodges e)COTTO L 120 15.00    
 
LAD-7   09/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PLATINUM QUEEN Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  RACY JAYCEE Sep24 Jul30 Jul21 Jun23 Jun10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
2  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Aug05 May28 Jan14     (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  PRINCESS PHONE Sep11 Jul16 Jun24 May22 May01 (r)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 9% 9.90    
4  TEXAS RED BEL Sep11 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 May27 (payne w)COTTO L 122 30.00    
5  JUST PASSING THRU Aug27 Aug02 Jul01 May17 May07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
6  MISS PERFECTA Sep03 Jul17 Jun19 May21   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  A G'S CHARLOTTE Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 May21 Mar18 (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 ★    
8  EVE'S DELIGHT Aug17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (goins garla)FLORES S 119 6.00    
9  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Sep11 Jul30 Jun13 May17 Apr29 (vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 30.00    
10  FORT POLK Aug06 Jul09 Jun20 Mar27 Mar05 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 2.50 ★    
 
LAD-8   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETECTIVE BERNARDO Aug28 Jun26       (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00    
2  DOUBLE BOGEY Sep12 Jul24 Jul02 Jun19 Jun07 (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY BREAK Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 Jun19 Apr22 (g)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 6% 14.90    
4  MORE THAN PLAY Jul22 Jun04 May20     (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARKETBOOK Sep19 Jul24 Jul09 Feb16 Jan07 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
6  BIG SESSY Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 (washington richa)STOKES A 117 10.00    
7  TOP HAT CAT Aug28 Aug15 Jul21 Jun24 Jun16 (millig)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
8  PRICED RIGHT Sep13 Aug13 Mar03 Feb03 Jan06 (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
9  LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR Jul22 Jun25 Jun19 Jun03 May01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 ★    
10  A LITTLE RISKY         (vincent jarvis)HEBERT J 117 20.00    
 
LAD-9   09/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKING ROSES Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
1A  WHEN'S TEE TIME Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07   (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 2.00 ★    
2  HOPE FOR CHANGE Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul13 (milburn kati)BARRERA J 112 50.00    
3  VINYL Sep12 Jul17 May31 May16   (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
4  THE GREEN MO'STER Aug14 Jul17 Jun27 May16 Mar25 (singh s)SINGH R 120 12.00 38% 1.60    
5  UNCLE ARTIE Sep12 Aug07 Jul22 Jun04 May13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 ★    
6  SUPER WISE Sep04 Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 Jun11 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
7  GOLD INCLUDED Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul18 Jul01 (morris ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
8  SPACE MOUNTAIN Aug20 Aug02 Jun27 Jun05 May10 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 ★    
9  CHAOSMOS Aug04 Jun18 May26 May08 Feb26 (richard russell )STOKES A 120 6.00    
10  MAU MAU (BRZ) Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 Jun19 May08 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.