Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/30/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:383   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREELEY WENT WEST 2 3 3 3 2nk 1½ 14 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 16% 5.40 0.80 W
WISE ANCHOR 5 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 24 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 17.50 2.60 P
CYPRIANO 3 5 5 58 5 3 313 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 9% 10.70 4.20 S
JUSTA SWINGING 4 4 46 4 3 411½ 427¼ (turner patti)BACA L 122 20.00 12.00  
NOW NOW MAN 1 2 2nk 2nk 45 514½ 531¾ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 20.00 8.10  
SCR  GUITAR SLIM               (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
SCR  LIKE MIKE               (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM               (camejo m)ROSENDO J 122 6.00    
SCR  OH MY ACHING ARCH               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
LAD-2   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCORE ENCORE 3 4 1nk 1½   1½ 14 (felks josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 7% 13.20 1.60 W
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON 5 2 4 3½   2½ 24 (antwine michae)CULP BRIANNE 115 2.50 3.20 P
QUEEN OF THE MOON 2 6 6 53   45 37 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 35.30 S
LUCKY DEAL 6 3 3.2 2½   3 4 (ingram steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 14.80  
CAJUN ACES 4 1 2nk 4   5 511 (wilson me)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 5.00 17% 4.90 6.40  
ASHLEY'S GIRL 1 5 5 6   68 614½ (turner patti)BACA L 124 1.40 53% 0.90 1.70  
 
LAD-3   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:231 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET WAR 5 4 21 1nk   11 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50 24% 3.10 4.80 W
HELAIRE 2 2 43 4   4 2 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 P
PIKACHU 6 3 3 34   36 3 (milligan al)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00 7.70 S
FIREINTHESTORM 1 1 11 2nk   21 4 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.00 1.70  
BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 3 5 5 55   59 5 (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 10.00 11.80  
1A  CURIOUS APRIORITY 4 6 610½ 617   626 635¾ (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 3.00 1.70  
SCR  EUROBELIEVER               (uball)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
SCR  MUSTBELIEVE               (melancon do)FLORES S 124 20.00    
SCR  OUTLAW POSSE               (feilner f)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00    
SCR  VALKYRIES CHOICE               (winslow janine)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
 
LAD-4   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME DAY PLAY 1 2 1nk 2½   1nk 1 (diodoro robertino)SINGH R 122 1.80 22% 3.60 3.70 W
KINGOFBROKENHEARTS 3 1 31 1½   2nk 2 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 115 1.50 42% 1.40 0.40 P
SILVER WINGS 5 4 43 43   36 3 (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 13% 6.80 4.90 S
DINNER AT CRUMPIES 6 5 5 5   47 4 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 6.00 16.60  
OCEOLA 2 3 2nk 31   511 518¼ (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00 10.90  
TEXAS GOLD RUSH 4 6 612½ 613½   621 629¼ (butler w)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 62.30  
 
LAD-5   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:133 1:401   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS BLUEBONNET 3 3 4 5 4 1½ 1hd (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 8.00  
SHE A HOT MESS 1 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 2hd (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 5.30 P
HAVE I EVER 6 5 3 2½ 1nk 3 33 (broberg karl)BOREL H 118 5.00 13.00 S
LADY JEOPARDY 8 6 54 4 3 4 4 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60  
MY FRIEND MR. JIM 2 1 2½ 31 5 54 5 (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 110 8.00 8.80  
DARLING JOANNA 7 7 76 74 6 6 6 (cates al)COTTO L 119 4.00 17% 4.80 10.20  
MISS EMPIREMENT 5 4 6 62 7 77 710¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 2.60  
PUMPKIN BREAD 4 8 813 88 8 810 812 (ashford ray)TORRES HUGO 113 15.00 33.90  
SCR  DUCHESS BUBBLES               (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  PI YO PRINCESS               (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 15.00    
 
LAD-6   08/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:393   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MCNAMARA 1 3 25 24 33 2nk 1¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 2.70  
SI ES GOYA 3 6 35 34 4 32 2¼ (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.40 56% 0.80 0.90 P
CAP ROCK MINER 6 1 15 14 13 1nk 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 17% 4.90 2.70 S
MIDNIGHT REVOLT 2 4 6 5 5 44 43 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 15.00 29.40  
COOL CATOMINE 4 2 4 4 23 56 516 (tracy greg)BACA L 122 5.00 11.60  
DISIDE 5 5 5 610½ 614½ 615 621¼ (borel renay)BOREL H 119 10.00 20.20  
SCR  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS               (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 1.40    
SCR  STRONG RULES               (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7% 13.50    
 
LAD-7   08/30/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:391   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD OLD CHARLIE 1 3 31 4 2½ 11 13 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 2.00 41% 1.40 2.20 W
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 23 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.00 12% 7.40 5.70 P
10  SY MICHAEL 8 5 41 3 32 38 3 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.60 21% 3.70 0.70 S
CROOKS REBEL 6 4 5 6 6 4 4 (jarvis r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 16.40  
WESTERN STAR 3 8 64 53 54 510½ 511¾ (g)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 50.30  
JUDGMENTAL 4 6 78 7 7 611 612½ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 124 8.00 31.00  
KINGPRIN 7 2 2½ 2½ 42 713 719½ (smith charles )CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00 15.10  
C. F. CONGRESS 2 7 8 811¼ 821¼ 833 849 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00 41.60  
SCR  CALLEN FEELS GOOD               (pedigo randy)BACA L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE               (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.