The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - August 24, 2022

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EVD-1   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
:224 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERMANENTDETENTION 3 2 1½ 11   13 1½ (williams m)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 43% 1.30 1.20 W
JOSAN 1 6 74 5   32½ (morrell cynthia)BALTHAZAR JARED 118 15.00 18.80  
GRAY DANE 7 3 3 31   23 34 (bernard john)BOURQUE J 118 10.00 33.00  
COLE'S SENSATION 2 7 63 44   56 47 (delahoussaye tommy)STOKES A 123 3.00 4.20  
OLDER AND WISER 5 4 2½ 21   458 (woodley j)MELANCON G 118 3.50 16% 5.10 2.40  
KATS PICK 6 1 52 7   610½ 610½ (keith d)STOKES J 123 6.00 7.00  
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 4 5 4 69   715½ 726¾ (averett ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.00 11% 8.20 12.30  
 
EVD-2   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
:223 :454 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY JOEY WHY 4 1 11 11   12 1(delahoussaye brent)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 42% 1.40 2.40 W
HUMPHREY 5 8 86 5   44 2(brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 10.60 P
SUCH 8 2 32 21   22 3(vance w)MCMAHON J 117 12.00 33.90  
OUTLAW X. 7 5 6 3   548 (devereux jr)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00 4.10  
QUANA DUDE 2 7 5 75   6511¾ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 7.30  
COMBAT COMMAND 1 3 21 43   34 612½ (charles keith)MELANCON G 117 2.50 16% 5.40 4.10  
DARREN'S FORTUNE 3 6 4 64   712 718½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00 12% 7.50 2.90  
SOUTHPINE GIFT 6 4 7 8   815 823½ (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 20.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
 
EVD-3   08/24/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
:222 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVA EL CAPITAN 8 5 1 11   11(diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 72% 0.40 0.50 W
JUST A WIN 4 1 54 3   35 2(landry ray)STOKES J 120 8.00 4.50 P
IN FOR A PENNY 2 3 32 4   4313½ (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 120 4.50 9.20  
BITSY C C LIL GIRL 6 6 2 21   2413½ (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 5.40  
GLADS LOVE CAT 7 7 78 8   612 514¼ (trahan walter)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 ######  
SISTER CHLOE 5 8 88 7   511 614¾ (woodley j)STOKES A 120 15.00 68.10  
EXECUTIVE COUNCIL 1 4 43 58   814 723 (broussard vincent)LEDET THEODRICK 118 20.00 ######  
TEXAS PROMO GIRL 3 2 6 68   713½ 826¼ (cordero m)MELANCON G 121 3.00 9.00  
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY               (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
SCR  MAGIC APRIORITY               (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 5.00    
SCR  SUGAR STAR               (ramirez eduardo)THORNTON G 115 12.00    
 
EVD-4   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
:223 :463 1:134     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTY PRINCESS 6 9 1013¼ 910   51¾ (arndt theodore)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 4.60  
MO BELLA 7 1 1nk 11   2nk 2¾ (charles keith)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 5.00 20% 4.00 1.50 P
FUHR MEO 3 7 6 32   1nk 31 (maturin chad)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 10.00 8.90  
11  LAST DESTINY 11 4 7 5   3.2 41 (west henry)HEBERT J 123 12.00 22.30  
10  ABIGAIL G 10 5 44 6   45(castille n)STOKES J 123 12.00 8.80  
AUNT JANA 2 12 1113¾ 1010¼   83 6(simon lester)MAGNON H 123 20.00 40.30  
TIME TO SLEEP 5 8 911¾ 86   67(bernard john)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00 27.50  
SANDY'S WAGER 4 6 8 74   72 8(meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00 9.60  
12  GRACE'S GAL 12 11 1219¼ 1216¾   109(zeno benjamin)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00 77.30  
AUDACIOUS GIRL 9 3 32 42   97 10(cordero m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00 16.40  
BLUE RIDGE ROMANCE 8 2 2nk 21   1213½ 1124½ (jackson dwayne)ALBERT S 113 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
DAVE'S RONDA 1 10 5 1113¼   1112 1227 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 118 8.00 6.30  
SCR  SLIDE               (senegal jr)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00    
SCR  T R'S FIRST               (gelner scott)MELANCON G 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
EVD-5   08/24/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
:23 :473       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC LADY 5 2 4 3½   2nk 1(feilner f)BOURQUE J 123 10.00 6.90  
CUSTOMS BELLA ELLA 3 9 910¼ 7   42(delahoussaye brent)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 15.80 P
VALID BREAK 2 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 3(washington richard)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 28% 2.50 1.40 S
ST JOAN 6 5 5 4¾   32 4(zeno benjamin)ALBERT S 115 15.00 24.70  
IT'S TIME BABY 7 8 7 6   55(zeno benjamin)HEBERT J 123 4.00 13.00  
10  MS. PRIESTLY 9 4 31 2nk   68 610¼ (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.00 8% 11.70 1.50  
SHOTGUN ANNIE 1 6 8 9   711 711 (west henry)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 8.00 41.60  
ELLIE'S TOUCH 8 7 6 8   815½ 818½ (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 5.00 43% 1.30 10.70  
DEE DIN 4 3 1nk 5   917½ 927 (zenon shelton)HERNANDEZ V 115 12.00 79.80  
SCR  SONGS DISCREET CAT               (zenon charles)MARQUEZ L 123 20.00    
 
EVD-6   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
:241 :483 1:15 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME SAVAGE 2 11 8 7 21 11 1(larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 13% 6.70 1.70 W
SUDDEN IMPULSE 7 8 6 5 3 32 2(harrison cortland)THORNTON G 123 4.00 19% 4.20 2.50 P
1A  CZAR'S BALLERINA 6 9 1010¼ 10 54 44 3(courville ricky)MARQUEZ L 115 6.00 2.90  
DEVASTATING BEAUTY 1 6 12 1nk 11 21 4(west henry)HEBERT J 118 15.00 65.60  
TRINITY HOPE 4 10 9 8 8 55(courville ricky)MAGNON H 120 6.00 2.90  
CAJUN TWO STEP 8 3 22 3 64 69 612 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 115 15.00 20.70  
GLORY TO ME 5 2 1111¾ 1113¼ 98 913½ 715 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00 9% 10.70 18.90  
10  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE 10 5 53 6 7 811 815¾ (romero j)STOKES J 123 12.00 18.80  
VANCOUVER SNOW 3 1 3 2nk 4 79 916¾ (gelner j)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 2.50 21% 3.70 7.60  
11  ARCTIC GUITAR 11 7 4 4 1012 1021½ 1043½ (bernard john)HERNANDEZ V 118 20.00 83.00  
CUSTOM MADE 9 4 7 9 11100 11100 11100 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 20.00 80.00  
SCR  LAWSUIT LUCY               (harrison cortland)MELANCON G 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
EVD-7   08/24/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
:224 :461 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTER RAT 2 5 3 4   3.2 1(delahoussaye glenn)THORNTON G 113 4.00 5.70  
DIXIE STAR 6 6 52 3.2   1nk 2(breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00 10.00  
WOODS N WATER 4 1 4 5   53(thomas lee)STOKES J 113 3.50 3.40 S
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS 7 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 43 (castille n)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 6% 16.20 13.60  
EASY RUNNER 5 2 1½ 1nk   4¼ 5(calhoun bret)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 48% 1.10 1.30  
HOLIDAY DIAMOND 3 3 6 6   665 (zenon shelton)MAGNON H 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.40  
FLASHY PREMO 1 7 712 712¼   711¾ 7(morrell cynthia)BALTHAZAR JARED 113 15.00 83.40  
 
EVD-8   08/24/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
:22 :454       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REECE'S PRIORITY 1 1 1 12   14 12 (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50 12% 7.20 4.70 W
YES BAB 3 8 813½ 7   422 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 6.10  
WAR SONG 5 2 4 34   24 3(roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 44% 1.20 2.60 S
10  MIDNIGHT SPIRIT 9 5 5 57   546 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 120 10.00 5.30  
FLUFFPOINT 8 3 3 22   35(gelner scott)STOKES A 120 12.00 5.40  
HOSTILE AFLEET 2 9 918½ 814¾   715 611 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 35.00  
ENCHANTED MOON 4 4 2 44   611 715½ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 8% 11.50 3.10  
MAKATI PHIL 6 6 6 6   815½ 819¾ (zeno benjamin)HEBERT J 120 20.00 40.50  
BLACK JUSTICE 7 7 710½ 914¾   925½ 930½ (rogers andy)DAVID J 120 20.00 90.20  
SCR  BOSTON REPO               (gibson jonas)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.