Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:232 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE NITE MUSIC 4 1 1 1nk   1½ 1 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.00 38% 1.60 0.60 W
FIRE AND SPEIGHT 5 2 2 2nk   2½ 2 (roubion steve)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 8% 12.20 5.50 P
AWESOME ARCH 2 4 32 31   3½ 3 (r)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 7% 13.20 4.70 S
PHARME'S PHINALE 3 3 4 42   42 4 (jacks e)SINGH R 124 6.00 18.10  
SENSING GOLD 1 5 5 54   57 514¼ (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 13.10  
E R'S MIREYA 6 6 65 66   615 636¾ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 4.00 25% 3.00 6.30  
SCR  CRYPTO SMARTY               (feilner ray )BARRERA J 119 20.00    
 
LAD-2   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:392   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTENOFTHE COURT 3 3 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 1nk (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 35.10  
SIMPLE PLEASURE 9 1 54 31 3 3½ 2nk (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 23% 3.40 0.60 P
TOTAL MALICE 2 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 3.15 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 122 3.00 19% 4.20 7.50 S
VITA 7 6 810 7 78 41 4 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 10.00 16.50  
ROMANTIC BEAST 1 8 76 8 88 83 5 (g)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 14% 6.40 10.70  
SAINT KENNEDY 4 4 33 5 66 62 6 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 11.40  
STORIED TRIP 6 5 65 4 4 5 710 (hirdes john)HEBERT J 119 15.00 10% 9.40 34.40  
1A  MERLIN'S SISTER 5 7 4 6 5 7 810½ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 13% 6.90 5.90  
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL 8 9 912 9 912 98 918¾ (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 124 6.00 12.50  
SCR  SILVER SIREN               (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00    
 
LAD-3   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:232 :471 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY WAIT 7 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 12 (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.10 W
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON 8 2 5 4   2nk 12 (antwine michae)BACA L 122 8.00 12.40 DH
LITTLE E 2 3 4 3   3 32 (schultz rober)VARGAS P 122 6.00 7.50  
ASHLEY'S GIRL 5 8 8 6   54 4 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
COUSIN VICKIE 4 7 7 7   6 5 (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 10% 8.60 9.10  
CHICKIETOWN STAR 6 5 1nk 2nk   43 6 (cormier winston)STOKES J 122 10.00 14.30  
AFLEET CHARLENE 3 9 914¾ 9   86 712 (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 27.60  
10  PREPAID SPECIAL 9 4 3.2 5   7 813¼ (gomez rafae)FLORES S 122 12.00 14.10  
A STONE RUNNER 1 6 6 8   9 919¾ (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 5.90  
SCR  LITTLE Z               (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-4   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLERIC 6 1 1nk 1nk   13 1 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 6% 16.10 5.40 W
MARKETBOOK 8 2 2nk 2nk   23 2 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 32% 2.10 1.90 P
10  OREGON COUNTY 10 4 3 3   35 3 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 4.00 21% 3.70 7.80 S
JAMBI 9 3 42 4   4 410¾ (p)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 8% 12.10 2.80  
MY BOY SAM 5 6 55 6   5 513 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 5.00 13.40  
INFINITE MORO 4 7 7 76   69 613¼ (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 20.00 32.50  
SPIRIT SOUL 3 9 10 8   7 713½ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 8.30  
TAPPED OUT 1 10 9 10   811 818½ (prather h)COTTO L 120 15.00 18.00  
MORO COOL 7 5 6 54   1012½ 922¼ (payne da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00 86.80  
PLENTY OF CENTS 2 8 8 97   912 1022½ (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 7% 13.80 12.20  
 
LAD-5   09/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:123     1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHED COURT ROOM 2 4 32 6   4¾ 1½ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.40 W
HEART THAT BINDS 3 5 54 5   2nk 2½ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 18% 4.70 6.60 P
LIL ASHLEY B. 1 9 8 7   3.2 3¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 1.90  
CADILLAC RIDGE 6 6 4 8   1nk 43 (calhoun willi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 7.20  
T J'S FIRST 7 8 910 9   5¾ 5 (mouton patrick)COTTO L 122 10.00 15.70  
ROCKETT MAGIC 4 3 1 2nk   6 6 (romero j)STOKES J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
G'S DEADLINE 8 7 7 4   7 7 (delany sara)FLORES S 122 4.50 8.00  
FASHION MERIT 9 2 64 3.2   8 811¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 16.90  
MISS BILLIE K 5 1 2 1nk   9 913½ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 19.10  
SCR  ISOLATION               (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
 
LAD-6   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:382   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JEOPARDY 6 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 12 14 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 26% 2.90 4.50 W
SHE A HOT MESS 7 3 3 31 2½ 22 24 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 4.20  
MY FRIEND MR. JIM 2 5 6 7 6 312 314¾ (cates al)COTTO L 117 10.00 10.60  
PI YO PRINCESS 5 6 75 67 7 412 417¼ (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 12.00 14.20  
MISS EMPIREMENT 3 4 53 54 5 714¼ 521½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 3.50  
ABBEY LANE 1 1 1nk 1nk 3 512¼ 621¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.90  
HAVE I EVER 4 7 4 43 45 613¾ 722¼ (broberg karl)BOREL H 120 6.00 6.90  
SCR  MISS KENNEDY               (duke steven)HEBERT J 119 12.00    
 
LAD-7   09/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:131 1:384   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVING LUCKY 8 7 6 53 4¾ 1nk 11 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 6.30  
PHARME'S PHAITH 2 6 7 7 5 3 21 (j)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 5.30  
KINGPRIN 3 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 (smith charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 18.00 8.90 S
THUNDER ROAD 6 3 43 41 2nk 42 4 (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 2.00 45% 1.20 1.10  
WATSONS BAY 4 5 54 8 6 5 5 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 8% 12.20 7.40  
10  ONE HITTER 10 10 9 10 7 6 6 (lorick lee)SINGH R 120 15.00 21.80  
LOU'S ARROW 1 4 1nk 2nk 3½ 7 7 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 14% 6.20 18.60  
SIR OVERANALYZE 7 8 8 6 9 9 814¾ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 15.00 22.40  
TEXAS TRILOGY 9 9 10 9 8 8 915 (coats t)COTTO L 122 20.00 45.50  
GOLIATH RIDGE 5 2 3 3½ 10 10 1017¼ (kotara)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.