Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRYPTO SMARTY Jul18         (feilner ray )BARRERA J 119 20.00    
2  SENSING GOLD Apr15 Mar27       (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
3  AWESOME ARCH         (r)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 7% 13.20    
4  PHARME'S PHINALE Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul04 Jun11 (jacks e)SINGH R 124 6.00 ★    
5  LATE NITE MUSIC Sep08 Jun17 May27 May06 Mar12 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
6  FIRE AND SPEIGHT Aug14 Jul02 May06     (roubion steve)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 8% 12.20    
7  E R'S MIREYA Jul26 Jun27 Jun05 May10 Feb19 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
LAD-2   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MERLIN'S SISTER Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 May29 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  SILVER SIREN Jul19 Jun28       (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 ★    
2  ROMANTIC BEAST Sep06 Aug13 Aug04 Jul01 May28 (g)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
3  TOTAL MALICE Aug05 Jul07 May28 May13 Apr13 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  KITTENOFTHE COURT Sep06 Aug21 Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
5  SAINT KENNEDY Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 Jun12 May30 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  STORIED TRIP Sep06 Aug21 Jul31 Jun17 May13 (hirdes john)HEBERT J 119 15.00 10% 9.40    
7  VITA Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun04 May09 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
8  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Aug28 Jul16 Jun13 Apr29 Mar27 (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 124 6.00    
9  SIMPLE PLEASURE Aug21 Jul30 Jun23 May30 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
 
LAD-3   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A STONE RUNNER Aug14 Jul18 Jun28     (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 ★    
2  LITTLE E Jun19 May28 May14 Feb25   (schultz rober)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
3  AFLEET CHARLENE Jul11 Jun13       (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
4  COUSIN VICKIE Sep05 Aug09       (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
5  ASHLEY'S GIRL Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Jun11 May21 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHICKIETOWN STAR Aug10 Jan22       (cormier winston)STOKES J 122 10.00    
7  WHY WAIT         (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  LITTLE Z Sep05         (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
9  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Aug30 Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 May15 (antwine michae)BACA L 122 8.00    
10  PREPAID SPECIAL Sep05         (gomez rafae)FLORES S 122 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPED OUT Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 (prather h)COTTO L 120 15.00    
2  PLENTY OF CENTS Sep03 Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 May18 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  SPIRIT SOUL Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun26 Jun11 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00    
4  INFINITE MORO Sep06 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun25 (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 20.00    
5  MY BOY SAM Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 5.00    
6  CLERIC Jul09 May31 May23 Mar04 Feb09 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 6% 16.10    
7  MORO COOL Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 (payne da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
8  MARKETBOOK Jul24 Jul09 Feb16 Jan07   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
9  JAMBI Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 Jun24 (p)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
10  OREGON COUNTY Aug15 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 Jun14 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
LAD-5   09/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ASHLEY B. Aug01 May30 May09 Mar27 Mar09 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
2  HUSHED COURT ROOM Sep10 Aug18 Jul13 Jun15 Jun02 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  HEART THAT BINDS Sep06 Jul09 Jun11 May21 Feb17 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  ROCKETT MAGIC Aug27 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Jun08 (romero j)STOKES J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS BILLIE K Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 May09 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
6  CADILLAC RIDGE Aug20 Jan16       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
7  T J'S FIRST Aug29 Aug06 Jul25 Jun21 Jun07 (mouton patrick)COTTO L 122 10.00    
8  G'S DEADLINE Sep06 Jul04 Jun12 May30 May09 (delany sara)FLORES S 122 4.50 ★    
9  FASHION MERIT Aug21 Jul19 Jun11 May28 Apr21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
SCR  ISOLATION Aug13 Jun29 Jun16 May27 May07 (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
 
LAD-6   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY LANE Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  MISS KENNEDY Aug01 Jun21 May30 May07   (duke steven)HEBERT J 119 12.00 ★    
3  MY FRIEND MR. JIM Aug30 Jun21 May30 May01 Jan13 (cates al)COTTO L 117 10.00    
4  MISS EMPIREMENT Aug30 Jul10 Jun16 May12 Mar18 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
5  HAVE I EVER Aug30 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 May28 (broberg karl)BOREL H 120 6.00 ★    
6  PI YO PRINCESS Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 May08 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 12.00 ★    
7  LADY JEOPARDY Aug30 Aug08 Jul02 Jun13   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  SHE A HOT MESS Aug30 Jul29 Jun01 Apr21 Jan27 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50    
 
LAD-7   09/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOU'S ARROW Sep06 Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 Jul11 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  PHARME'S PHAITH Sep03 Aug15 Jul24 Jul09 May29 (j)DE CRUZ 122 4.50    
3  KINGPRIN Aug30 Jul26 Jul09 Jun18 May24 (smith charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 18.00    
4  WATSONS BAY Sep03 Aug08 Jun18 Jan13   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 8% 12.20    
5  GOLIATH RIDGE Sep06 Aug08 Jul24 Jul09 Jun23 (kotara)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDER ROAD Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20 Jun02 (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  SIR OVERANALYZE Aug07 Jul18 Jul02 Jun11 Mar02 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 15.00    
8  LOVING LUCKY Sep03 Jul26 Jun22 Jun03 May14 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
9  TEXAS TRILOGY Aug01 Jul21 Jun19 Jun05 May29 (coats t)COTTO L 122 20.00    
10  ONE HITTER Sep03 Aug08 Feb05 Jan01   (lorick lee)SINGH R 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.