The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 10, 2022

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LAD-1   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:24 :471 1:112     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILTON 4 2 3.2 1nk   13 1(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 8% 11.40 2.60 W
WHITEROSE JEWEL 2 4 4¼ 5   33 2(milligan allen)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 47% 1.10 1.80 P
CHROME RUN 3 5 8 6   43(milligan allen)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 10.00 S
OGRE'S LION KING 6 8 7 7   54(singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00 5.40  
CABRO TORO 8 3 1nk 2nk   23 510¾ (beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 12.50  
SWEET PRESENT 1 7 5¾ 810¼   7614½ (coats t)COTTO L 124 12.00 24.60  
MIDNIGHT OIL 7 6 6 3   6715½ (faucheux ron)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 3.90  
CRAZY RIDGE 5 1 2nk 42   822¾ 842¼ (kotara ronald)FLORES S 124 15.00 52.50  
SCR  CLASSY SHIPMAN               (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  PERFECT STRIKE               (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 20.00    
SCR  SMARTY RIDGE               (kotara ronald)FLORES S 122 30.00    
 
LAD-2   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:234 :481 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOCAN DANCE 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 11 (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 3.00 0.80  
1A  WAR ZONG 1 4 3 3½   2nk 21 (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.50 43% 1.30 1.30 P
PRIORITY POINTS 3 3 4 4   41 3(dussette alvin)BARRERA J 119 12.00 12.00 S
LIT A SHUCK 4 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 4(hatcher d)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00 13% 6.90 4.70  
SCR  GOTTA DEAL               (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.50    
SCR  THUNDERTAKESDALEAD               (melancon donald)FLORES S 122 1.40 17% 4.80    
 
LAD-3   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:25 :482 1:122     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYTONSATTHEPLATE 7 4 44 4   2nk 1½ (alonzo howard)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 10.60  
1A  MONEY WELL SPENT 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (ducoing j)LOZADA CARLOS 119 1.80 39% 1.60 0.50 P
SPELLBINDING 1 5 7 7   33(ducoing j)FUSILIER C 119 1.80 0.50  
ANGEL OF VERDUN 3 8 8 8   44(schwandt emile)MELANCON G 117 5.00 11.00  
DANCE AWAY 8 2 1½ 1nk   55(garcia luis)VARGAS P 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
SWIZZLECITY 2 6 6 6   66(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 15.40  
DUCHESS BUBBLES 6 7 54 5   8711¾ (milligan allen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 24.10  
MISS B 4 3 31 31   7813 (broberg karl)BOREL H 122 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
SCR  GALILEAS PROMISE               (faucheux ron)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
LAD-4   09/10/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:242 :491 1:13 1:384   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS 1 2 1½ 11 2nk 1nk 1½ (jeansonne justin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.60 33% 2.10 1.10 W
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 6 1 2½ 21 1nk 2nk 2½ (ramirez eduardo)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.20 P
CABO'S RUMOR 4 3 42 5 58 511½ 312½ (duke steven)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00 18.30  
BINDING 5 5 6 66 610 611¾ 412¾ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 116 3.50 9% 10.00 5.00  
OUTLAW X. 3 6 32 33 35 310 513 (devereux jr)STOKES A 121 4.50 12.00  
MIDNIGHT REVOLT 2 4 5 43 47 411 614¼ (dixon tim)FLORES S 124 4.50 6.20  
 
LAD-5   09/10/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:234 :48 1:121 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHED COURT ROOM 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 1¼ (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 6.10  
TOP TEN DUCHESS 1 4 32 5 4 31 2¼ (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 8.00 20.40  
TARGET VISION 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3(mckellar p)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5.10  
ANGELA'S CELERITY 7 3 42 4 53 444 (balderas alfonso)BACA L 120 8.00 15% 5.70 13.10  
CUSTOM MAIDEN 5 5 7 7 3 53 56 (washington richard)STOKES A 122 15.00 13% 6.60 15.80  
NIN TO WIN 3 8 8 8 6 667 (landry ray)MELANCON G 120 12.00 15.40  
KENYA STRIKE 6 6 6 6 7 77(romero dale)FLORES S 122 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
DARLING JOANNA 8 7 5 3 8 88(cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 19% 4.30 1.00  
SCR  DREAMIT               (beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAITLYN'S COURT               (constantine carol)FUSILIER C 120 30.00    
 
LAD-6   09/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:232 :46 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAU 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1(alfortish sean)TORRES HUGO 119 2.00 30% 2.30 3.00 W
MISTS OF TIME 2 5 3 3   32(hernandez estefany)COTTO L 124 4.00 5.20 P
POPULIST 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3(wilson shane)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.90 S
DREAM HALO 1 6 5 5   44(clark d)FLORES S 124 8.00 3.30  
FREEDOMFI 6 3 4 4   55(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00 4.20  
NEW EAGLE 4 4 6 6   6614½ (ashford ray)HEBERT J 124 4.50 24% 3.10 6.70  
SCR  MAJOR KONG               (espinoza edgar)BARRERA J 119 30.00    
SCR  MR. SHAPOOR               (ashford ray)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00    
 
LAD-7   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
:241 :472 1:113     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC INTENTION 1 1 1 1nk   1½ 1(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 8% 10.90 3.70 W
WHISKEY OVER ICE 4 6 66 5   42(gomez c)BACA L 122 12.00 11.60  
MO TAP 8 4 2 2nk   2½ 3(johnson b)COTTO L 122 6.00 37% 1.70 3.80 S
WHITAKER 2 8 33 4   31 44 (pish danny)SINGH R 122 3.50 12% 7.20 2.50  
EYE DEE KAY 7 3 56 3   52 5(modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 4.50 8% 12.20 3.40  
CPRIORITY 6 7 88 8   66(thomas lee)STOKES J 119 12.00 16.40  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 3 5 7 7   74 710 (gomez c)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 17.30  
PESO IN MY POCKET 5 2 4 6   8816½ (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 10.20  
SCR  BRICK TOWN               (ashford ray)HEBERT J 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  MR. B CAUSE               (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY               (schwandt emile)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
SCR  WESTERN STAR               (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.