Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET PRESENT Jul22 Jun19 Jun05     (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 12.00    
2  WHITEROSE JEWEL Aug16 Jul16       (milligan al)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  CHROME RUN May22 Apr22 Mar25     (milligan alle)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  PERFECT STRIKE Aug26 Jul21 Jun11     (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 20.00    
5  WILTON Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (g)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 8% 11.40    
6  CRAZY RIDGE Aug09 Jul22 Jun05 May15 Apr07 (kotara rona)FLORES S 124 15.00    
7  OGRE'S LION KING Aug16 Jul03 Jun14     (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00    
8  MIDNIGHT OIL Jul26 Jul03 May15     (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 ★    
9  CABRO TORO Aug28 Aug06 Jul26 Jul02 May14 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
SCR  CLASSY SHIPMAN Jul03 Feb18 Jan28     (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  SMARTY RIDGE Aug27 Aug09 Mar26 Mar05 Jan07 (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 30.00    
 
LAD-2   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WAR ZONG         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  GOTTA DEAL         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.50    
2  TOOCAN DANCE Aug27 Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 May14 (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 3.00 ★    
3  PRIORITY POINTS Aug20 Aug05 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 (dussette alv)BARRERA J 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Jun19 Jun04 May22     (melancon do)FLORES S 122 1.40 17% 4.80    
5  LIT A SHUCK Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 119 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
LAD-3   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELLBINDING Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 Mar09 (ducoing sturg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 1.80    
1A  MONEY WELL SPENT Jul20 Jun24 Mar20 Feb14 Jan07 (ducoing sturg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  SWIZZLECITY Aug08 Jun26 May31 May14 Apr28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
3  ANGEL OF VERDUN Aug13 Jul20 Jun24 May18 May07 (schwandt e)ALBERT S 117 5.00 ★    
4  MISS B Sep02 Jul22 Jun10 May28 May07 (broberg karl)BOREL H 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GALILEAS PROMISE Mar27 Feb03       (faucheux ron)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
6  DUCHESS BUBBLES Jun20 Apr08 Mar18     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
7  PAYTONSATTHEPLATE Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 May11 Mar25 (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
8  DANCE AWAY Aug21 Jul09 Jun18 May21 Mar31 (garcia luis)VARGAS P 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   09/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS Jul30 Jul10 Jun28 May31 May21 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.60 33% 2.10    
2  MIDNIGHT REVOLT Aug30 May17 May02 Apr18 Apr04 (dixon tim)FLORES S 124 4.50 ★    
3  OUTLAW X. Aug24 Jul09 Jun10 May18 Apr13 (devereux patrick)STOKES A 121 4.50 ★    
4  CABO'S RUMOR Jul30 Jul19 May29 May07 Mar27 (duke s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
5  BINDING Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Feb26 Feb05 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 116 3.50 9% 10.00    
6  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Aug25 Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 Jun15 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
LAD-5   09/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul25 Jul11 May11 Feb14 Jan23 (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 8.00    
2  TARGET VISION Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 May16 (mckellar joe )VARGAS P 120 5.00    
SCR  KAITLYN'S COURT Jul28 Jul15 Jun22 Jun11 May27 (constantine caro)FUSILIER C 120 30.00    
4  NIN TO WIN Jul30 Jun15 May27 May13 Apr06 (landry ray)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
5  HUSHED COURT ROOM Aug18 Jul13 Jun15 Jun02 May19 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
6  CUSTOM MAIDEN Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 May11 (washington richa)STOKES A 122 15.00 13% 6.60    
7  KENYA STRIKE Aug21 Jul18 Jul03 Jun12 Jan26 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  ANGELA'S CELERITY Aug21 Jul11 Jun28 May23 May08 (balderas alfon)BACA L 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
9  DARLING JOANNA Aug30 Jul03 May30 Apr23   (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  DREAMIT Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 May07 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   09/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM HALO Aug15 Aug02 Jul09 Jun28 Jun04 (clark casey)FLORES S 124 8.00    
SCR  MR. SHAPOOR Aug13 Aug02 Jun27 Jun13 May17 (ashfo)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00 ★    
3  MISTS OF TIME Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 May31 May16 (hernandez este)COTTO L 124 4.00 ★    
4  POPULIST Aug17 Jun21 Jun06 Mar27 Jan27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  NEW EAGLE Aug08 Jun22 May25 May12 Mar19 (ashford ray)HEBERT J 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
6  SEAU Jun18 Jun10 May22 Apr29 Mar19 (alfortish sean)TORRES HUGO 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MAJOR KONG Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Apr29 Mar25 (espinoza edg)BARRERA J 119 30.00    
8  FREEDOMFI Aug04 Jul16 Jun22 Jun01 Apr29 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00    
 
LAD-7   09/10/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC INTENTION Jul26 Jul12       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  BRICK TOWN Jul25 Jun26 May21 Mar05 Feb16 (ashford ray)HEBERT J 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
3  WHITAKER Aug20 Aug07 Jul16 Jun20 May15 (pish danny)SINGH R 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
4  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Aug08 Jul03 Mar26 Mar05   (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
5  WHISKEY OVER ICE Jun19 May29 May08 Apr23 Feb09 (gomez c)BACA L 122 12.00    
6  PESO IN MY POCKET Aug27 Jul25 May24 May08 Jan15 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
7  CPRIORITY Aug15 Jun07 Jan15     (thomas lee)STOKES J 119 12.00    
8  EYE DEE KAY Jul01 Jun03 May21 Apr06 Mar17 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 4.50 8% 12.20    
9  MO TAP Aug07 Jun25 Jan27     (johnson henry )COTTO L 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WESTERN STAR Aug30 Aug15 Jul10 Apr28 Apr09 (g)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
SCR  MR. B CAUSE Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 Apr28   (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.