Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:214 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA SMOOCHIE 5 3 3 32   2 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 2.10  
MAGIC APRIORITY 1 1 11 1   1 2 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 5.00 9.50 P
OUR LIBERINA 2 2 21 2   3 33 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 15.60  
SPIDER LEGS 4 5 45 4   4 4 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.40 48% 1.10 0.90  
TEXAS PROMO GIRL 3 4 5 5   5 5 (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 123 2.00 26% 2.90 3.40  
SCR  AUDACIOUS GIRL               (cordero m)HERNANDEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIEU LE CHAT 3 3 5 4   2nk 11 (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 123 2.50 15% 5.60 2.10 W
GRAND PRIORITY 6 6 6 65   1nk 21 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.20 P
KING MARVIN 2 4 1nk 12   3.2 3 (degeyter ran)MAGNON H 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.60 S
FORT BONZ 1 2 2nk 22   4 4 (mojica a)FUSILIER C 118 8.00 9.00  
M AND M'S CUSTOM 4 5 3½ 3   511¾ 523¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 6.80  
THE THREE KS 5 1 4 5   615¾ 640¼ (williams ke)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 6.00 22.90  
 
EVD-3   07/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOY DAVE REX 2 4 4 3   2½ 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 9.00  
SARCASTIC TONE 4 5 54 5   32 2 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 3.90 P
MAJESTIC SIGN 1 1 11 1½   1½ 3 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 1.60 54% 0.80 0.40 S
DINAR 3 3 21 2½   43 4 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.00 17% 4.80 6.20  
DRIED PEPPER 6 2 3 4   57 511½ (mojica a)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 21.70  
FREEDOMFI 5 6 6 6   611 615 (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 117 10.00 24.10  
SCR  NATE'S ATTACK               (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
 
EVD-4   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICKY BOBBY 2 6 5 5   12 1 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 12.00 2.90  
RUSSET MOON 3 1 2nk 2nk   22 2 (gelner scott)STOKES J 118 2.00 11% 8.50 1.30 P
LUCK OF THE STARS 1 3 3.2 1nk   3 3 (mojica edith)MAGNON H 115 1.60 51% 0.90 3.50 S
PROUDTOWN 6 4 4 42   54 412½ (west henry)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 8% 11.70 5.00  
FLIT N FLOT TIME 4 5 6 6   44 515 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 11.00  
SOULOLOGY 7 7 7 7   68 617 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 115 6.00 9% 9.90 19.00  
OUT MAKING TREBLE 5 2 1nk 31   712½ 729¾ (bernard jo)ALBERT S 118 15.00 64.60  
 
EVD-5   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:22 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN 3 4 2½ 2½   2½ 1½ (thomas lee)MAGNON H 113 5.00 1.70  
A P HUMOR 4 1 44 43   33 2½ (latour nicholas)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 3.40 P
CHARLIE SKY 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 3½ (thomas lee)ALBERT S 118 5.00 1.70  
VISIONLADY 6 7 6 6   4 41 (richard russell )STOKES A 118 15.00 48.00  
CALL ME DARLIN 2 3 3½ 31   56 5 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.00 53% 0.90 3.00  
HOT PATOOTIE 5 5 55 53   6 6 (ney john)STOKES J 118 8.00 8.70  
SOUVENIR CHANNEL 8 8 916 911   811½ 7 (derousselle)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 10.00 16.00  
HEY YOU 7 9 811 79   711½ 89 (woodley j)THORNTON G 118 3.50 17% 4.80 5.50  
HOUSE OF ZONG 9 6 79 810   914 9 (constantine caro)FUSILIER C 118 20.00 31.20  
 
EVD-6   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:13 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZENUCCI 1 6 59 4 5 1½ 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 10% 8.80 5.00 W
MIAS MOONBEAM 5 8 710 6 4 2½ 2 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 9% 9.90 9.00 P
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 8 7 814½ 7 7 5 3 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 37% 1.70 2.30 S
CALCULATE 4 5 6 810 8 6 4 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 4.00 7.70  
WILSON TO LOCKETT 3 3 34 34 31 3½ 5 (marlin i)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 4.20  
1A  FRIENDOFTHECOURT 2 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 4 610½ (broberg ka)MARQUEZ L 117 3.50 5.00  
SUCH 6 4 48 5 6 7 711½ (vance w)STOKES J 117 8.00 11.40  
FLASHING ANGELBABY 7 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 8 821¼ (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 117 12.00 5% 17.50 2.90  
SCR  DEALIN' STELEN               (toups brent)STOKES A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   07/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:12     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE G 4 4 4 3   2nk 12 (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 2.00 32% 2.20 2.80 W
ALL MIKE NO MAE 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 22 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 105 10.00 12.00  
DECLARE WAR 1 6 5 6   31 3 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 3.30 S
SCORING DRIVE 6 5 6 5   5 44 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 110 5.00 4.30  
DEER CROSSING 2 3 3 4   4 5 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 115 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
TOUCHDOWN JOE 5 1 1nk 1nk   6 66 (derousselle pet)MCMAHON J 115 15.00 16.00  
SCR  INTIMIDATION               (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
EVD-8   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:153 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L G GIRL 5 1 32 3½ 1½ 13 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.60 0.60  
FUHR MEO 4 3 2½ 1nk 2½ 23 2 (maturi)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 6.00 2.20 P
ST. MONICA 3 2 6 6 5 3 315½ (cordero m)HERNANDEZ V 123 20.00 14% 6.30 29.40 S
GALAXY AFFAIR 2 4 44 4 35 410 419½ (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 8.00 14% 6.30 16.30  
ALLEN'S JUDY 1 6 5 5 6 511½ 521¼ (core barney)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 4.90  
RENE'S NEW BOW 6 5 1½ 2nk 4 613½ 625¼ (sam w)STOKES A 123 12.00 33.80  
SCR  JIG TIME BANDIT               (williams k)ALBERT S 113 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  KASENS TRIBE               (shamsie randy)BARNES JOSE 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.