Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:231 :472       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF A DOODLE 3 1 12 1   1 1 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 117 1.60 26% 2.80 1.20 W
ROBBER 1 4 34 2   2 2 (ward ronnie)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 13.30 P
TOOCAN DANCE 5 3 4 4   4 37 (lara jorge)COTTO L 121 4.50 4.30 S
LIT A SHUCK 4 2 22 3   3 4 (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 13% 6.80 9.40  
COOL CAT JONES 2 5 55 5100   5100 5100 (deatherage cor)BACA L 124 3.50 1.40  
SCR  YO PLAY               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
LAD-2   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY WHAT 7 1 21 2nk   1 1 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
BODE'S CONNECTION 4 4 6 6   3 2 (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00 12% 7.40 3.00 P
DONTFORGETRDREAMS 1 6 5 3.2   46 311½ (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 10.00 11.30  
MOODY RAFAELA 6 2 11 1nk   2 412¼ (hernandez es)BARRERA J 119 12.00 9% 10.00 14.20  
FORT PIKE 5 7 78 7   78 518 (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 124 4.50 7.90  
SWEET JACKIELEIGH 3 5 4 5   5 620¼ (balderas alfon)BACA L 124 10.00 12.80  
ZUMRA BAYOU 2 3 31 4¾   6 725½ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 14% 6.40 5.20  
 
LAD-3   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CHECKMARK 7 1 2nk 11   1 1 (espinoza ed)FLORES S 117 8.00 13% 6.60 4.10 W
ROYAL BONUS 5 3 1nk 21   2 2 (witt ii)COTTO L 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
ST MARIA 4 5 6 56   33 3 (gomez jorge)BARRERA J 114 4.50 19% 4.40 12.80 S
I LOVE YOU MORE 3 6 711¾ 78   44 4 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 3.50 3.90  
LADY LUTE 1 7 44 4   54 511¼ (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 14.20  
SOCO UNBRIDLED 2 4 5 6   65 623½ (gomez jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 22.50  
I'M A CUSTOM TO IT 6 2 33 34   7 727¼ (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 110 3.00 18% 4.60 4.80  
 
LAD-4   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:232 :464 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT BUCK 5 2 1nk 1nk   1 13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 1.60 44% 1.30 0.90 W
MORO OUTLAW 4 3 4 4   3 23 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 12.00 6.70  
FANCY PAYNTER 6 1 2nk 2nk   2 34 (dixon tim)FLORES S 119 15.00 25.40  
REDSON 1 6 6 6   5 4 (asmussen steve)COTTO L 119 4.50 29% 2.40 3.50  
GOLDEN REMEDY 2 5 3 33   4 511 (gibson jonas)BACA L 119 4.50 3.30  
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 3 4 5 55   67 613 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 5.00 10.30  
SCR  ROLL ON OUT               (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50    
 
LAD-5   08/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:133     1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO BLING 6 2 3 32 1½ 1nk 1 (balderas alfon)BACA L 120 4.00 20% 3.90 3.20 W
DREWSILLA 5 4 5 5 32 2nk 2 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 120 2.00 38% 1.60 2.50 P
SMILING ANGEL 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 3 316¼ (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 20.00 7% 13.00 8.70 S
COME WHAT MAE 3 6 6 6 6 46 416¾ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 3.50  
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 2 5 43 42 5 5 519¾ (j)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 15.90  
ISN'T IT TIME 4 3 21 2½ 42 6 627¼ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 13% 6.70 2.20  
SCR  BAD GAL RIRI               (singh s)SINGH R 124 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S               (devereux patri)COTTO L 120 1.80    
 
LAD-6   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RUMOHR REIGNS 5 3 32 42   2½ 1 (t)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 13% 6.80 1.50 W
D T'S DREAM 2 6 2 2nk   1½ 2 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.50 1.50 P
FAR BEYOND 4 7 78 63   4 3 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 15.00 24.90  
PESO IN MY POCKET 3 5 45 3   5 4 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 115 12.00 18.90  
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 7 2 1 1nk   32 510¼ (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 122 12.00 8.20  
BORDEAUX RED 6 1 5 5   64 612¼ (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 38% 1.70 1.50  
MACHO RONNIE 1 4 6 7   714 726 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 3.50 3.20  
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP               (courville rick)BACA L 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-7   08/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARALISSFRMANALYSS 1 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 1 (ramire)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 10% 9.10 2.50 W
1A  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 5 3 42 4 42 3 2 (g)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 34% 1.90 3.90  
ROOSTER RUN 6 2 3 3½ 2½ 22 3 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 5.00 8% 11.80 1.30 S
LUCKY CRUSADER 2 5 5 5 5 5 416¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00 5.50  
OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 4 2nk 2nk 32 4 521 (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 118 10.00 11% 8.40 9.70  
TOUCH OF GOLD 3 6 6 68 612½ 612½ 633¼ (melancon do)FLORES S 119 15.00 18.90  
SCR  ANICLUDE               (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 3.00    
SCR  DECLARE WAR               (g)DE CRUZ 122 2.50    
SCR  HENNING               (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.