Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBER Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 116 12.00 ★    
2  COOL CAT JONES         (deatherage cor)BACA L 124 3.50    
SCR  YO PLAY         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  HALF A DOODLE Jun12 May22 Mar24 Mar09   (mouton patric)VARGAS P 117 1.60 26% 2.80    
5  LIT A SHUCK Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 Jun19 (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  TOOCAN DANCE Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 May14 Mar05 (lara jorge)COTTO L 121 4.50 ★    
 
LAD-2   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTFORGETRDREAMS Aug16 Jul19 Jun14 May29 May08 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 10.00    
2  ZUMRA BAYOU Aug16 Jul11 Jun19 May28 May04 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
3  SWEET JACKIELEIGH Aug16 Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 Jun14 (balderas alfon)BACA L 124 10.00    
4  BODE'S CONNECTION Jul25 Jul04 May30 Mar26 Mar09 (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
5  FORT PIKE         (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 124 4.50 ★    
6  MOODY RAFAELA Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 May29 May08 (hernandez es)BARRERA J 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
7  SAY WHAT Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 May29 May08 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-3   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LUTE Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun25   (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
2  SOCO UNBRIDLED Aug16 Jul11 Jun25 Jun12   (gomez jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
3  I LOVE YOU MORE Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun05 Feb09 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 3.50    
4  ST MARIA Aug16 Jul17 Jun21 Jun07 May12 (gomez jorge)BARRERA J 114 4.50 19% 4.40    
5  ROYAL BONUS Aug16 Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 May21 (witt ii)COTTO L 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  I'M A CUSTOM TO IT Jul17 Jun28 May30 May16 Mar25 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 110 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  MISS CHECKMARK Aug16 Jul25 Jul04 Jun25 Jun07 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
LAD-4   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDSON Jul30         (asmussen steve)COTTO L 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  GOLDEN REMEDY         (gibson jonas)BACA L 119 4.50 ★    
3  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 5.00 ★    
SCR  ROLL ON OUT Jul31 Jun26       (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 ★    
5  MORO OUTLAW Jul31 Jul10       (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 12.00    
6  GALLANT BUCK Aug03         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
7  FANCY PAYNTER Aug16         (dixon tim)FLORES S 119 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S Jun03 Apr16       (devereux patri)COTTO L 120 1.80    
2  SMILING ANGEL Aug07 Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 20.00 7% 13.00    
3  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Aug14 Mar05 Feb09     (j)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
4  COME WHAT MAE Jul26 Jul01 Jun08 May14   (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
5  ISN'T IT TIME Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 May15 Mar12 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  BAD GAL RIRI Aug14 Jun27 Jun14 May31 May16 (singh s)SINGH R 124 20.00    
7  DREWSILLA Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 Jun05 Mar12 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  MO BLING Aug14 Jul24 Jun28     (balderas alfon)BACA L 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
LAD-6   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D T'S DREAM Feb25 Jan05       (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.50 ★    
1A  RUMOHR REIGNS Jan27 Jan08       (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  MACHO RONNIE Jul21 Apr30 Apr03 Feb26   (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 3.50 ★    
3  PESO IN MY POCKET Jul25 May24 May08 Jan15   (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
4  FAR BEYOND Aug02 Jul02 May31 May16 Feb11 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 15.00    
5  BORDEAUX RED         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
6  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Aug01 Jul12 Jun14 May06 Apr03 (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP Jul01 May15 Apr16     (courville rick)BACA L 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-7   08/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Aug11 Jul21 Jul04 Jun25 Jun16 (g)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  DECLARE WAR Jul16 Jun25 May22 Mar12   (g)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 ★    
2  PARALISSFRMANALYSS Jul29 Jun30 Jun14 Apr14 Feb04 (ramire)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  ANICLUDE Jul12 Jun20 May09 Mar13 Feb20 (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 3.00    
4  LUCKY CRUSADER Aug07 Jul05 Jun20 May22 Feb21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
5  TOUCH OF GOLD Aug15 Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 Jun11 (melancon do)FLORES S 119 15.00    
6  OBVIOUSLY TOO Aug08 Jul02 Jun18 May01 Apr16 (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  ROOSTER RUN Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 May09 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  HENNING Aug16 Jun16 May14 Apr27 Mar01 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.