Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROCK STAR ALEX 4 5 52½ 41½   11½ 1¾ (dandridge cour)BACA L 122 6.00 ★ 8.50  
2  LUCK OF THE STARS 2 6 42 52½   42½ 2¾ (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.50 63% 0.60 0.30 P
3  HALF A BUCK 3 3 2½ 2½   21½ 31¾ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 6.00 ★ 6.80 S
1  SHANKINSTINE 1 4 3½ 31   52½ 42½ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 14.20  
6  WAR KING 5 2 1½ 1½   32 57¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 11% 8.10 6.10  
7  FOREVER PEACE 6 1 64 610½   617½ 619½ (milburn kat)FLORES S 124 20.00 41.90  
SCR  JOEY'S LIGHTENING               (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:25   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CALLINGINTHENIGHT 10 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1¼ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 2.50 10% 9.10 2.00 W
10  ONEFORVIVI 11 11 74 42½ 4¾ 31 2¼ (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 4.00 15% 5.90 3.50 P
8  LILRASCALMAN 9 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 31½ (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 ★ 21.20 S
7  JOEBOY 6 5 31½ 31½ 3.2 41 42½ (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 14.90  
4  HOPE FOR CHANGE 3 1 63½ 74¼ 73¾ 64½ 52½ (milburn kati)BARRERA J 122 30.00 62.20  
1A  NOW YOU RULES 8 7 53 52¾ 51¾ 53 64¾ (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.00 43% 1.30 1.90  
6  PLEASANT VISION 5 8 85½ 96¼ 95¼ 85¾ 75 (hirdes john)BACA L 122 12.00 42.30  
3  WE NEED A FIVE 2 9 96½ 107¾ 107¾ 96¾ 86¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 122 12.00 8% 11.30 24.30  
2  CH BERN 1 6 1110½ 118¾ 119¾ 107¾ 97¼ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 8.60  
5  SHADY GRADY 4 2 42½ 62¾ 63¾ 75½ 108 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 10.00 27.20  
1  HENNING 7 10 107½ 85¼ 84¼ 1110¾ 119¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 ★ 1.90  
 
LAD-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAJUN ACES 3 8 75 41¾   1½ 12½ (wilson melton)BACA L 122 4.50 10% 8.90 3.60 W
4  WHEELS LIKE NALA 4 1 64½ 63¾   32 22½ (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 29% 2.50 0.90 P
5  CHATAIN'S EAGLE 5 7 53½ 75¼   2½ 36½ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 27.50  
1  DON'T LOOK ETHEL 1 5 2nk 2nk   43½ 412¼ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 4.00 ★ 4.90  
6  JOEY'S THUNDER 6 2 1nk 1nk   53½ 512½ (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 10.00 18.70  
2  T W N LETSGOGIRL 2 6 42 53¼   66½ 616¾ (nixon thoma)FLORES S 124 8.00 17.50  
8  PRIME CHOICE 8 4 31½ 31½   78 720¾ (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 7% 13.20 16.00  
7  BONUS ROUND 7 3 86½ 85¾   813 826 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 28% 2.60 7.40  
 
LAD-4   09/11/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:121     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PICKING ROSES 6 3 64¼ 84¼   42¾ 11½ (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 3.00 75% 0.30 1.20 W
6  MONARCH MAN 4 7 84¾ 63½   52¾ 21½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 ★ 4.80 P
3  COWBOY RIDGE 1 1 11½ 11   12½ 32½ (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 20.00 51.90  
4  PARALISSFRMANALYSS 2 8 43 42½   22½ 43 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 12.80  
2  PEPPER JACK 9 4 53¼ 52½   32½ 54½ (g)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 23.60  
1  PAPAWS BOY 5 5 95 106¼   76¼ 66¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 4.00  
9  BEAUREGARD 8 11 108 95¾   119¾ 78¼ (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 ★ 6.20  
8  HOLY EMPEROR 7 9 74¼ 74   107¾ 88½ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 15.20  
11  NOW NOW MAN 10 6 31½ 21   63¾ 99 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 119 20.00 36.30  
5  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 3 2 21½ 32   86¾ 109½ (balderas alfon)BACA L 117 30.00 24.20  
1A  TIZ MCNAMARA 11 10 119 117¼   97¼ 1111½ (broberg karl)BOREL H 117 6.00 4.00  
SCR  FIRST BUMP RIDGE               (p)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
SCR  HARDCORE FOLKLORE               (turner patti)STOKES J 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  WISE ANCHOR               (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00 ★    
 
LAD-5   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  POSEIDON WRATH 2 6 33½ 31½   1½ 12¼ (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 5% 19.00 1.90 W
3  LEMON KICK 3 7 77½ 43   32 22¼ (g)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 3.70  
5  MIDNIGHT SPIRIT 5 2 2½ 21½   2½ 32¾ (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 15.00 6.10  
1  SWEET RACHEL 1 5 45 53½   43½ 411 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 15.00 ★ 10.60  
4  MR B QUIET 4 4 67½ 64   55 512 (bryant al)HEBERT J 120 12.00 12.00  
8  RUNNING JESSE 7 1 1½ 11½   66 622 (roubion steve)COTTO L 122 6.00 2.40  
7  MAJOR KONG 6 3 56½ 75½   711 724¼ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 ★ 13.30  
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAGON               (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  PIONEER MAN               (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 51% 0.90    
 
LAD-6   09/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :451       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MY SISTER ANNETTE 7 3 22 21   1nk 14¾ (schultz rob)FLORES S 119 10.00 9.10  
6  DROP DEAD SEXY 6 1 12 11   2nk 24¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 13% 6.60 1.80 P
2  PRINCESS PHONE 2 7 76½ 74½   52 35¾ (r)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.90 S
1  COUNTRY DREAMIN 1 9 911½ 96   94¼ 46 (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 81.40  
9  TEXAS RED BEL 9 5 65 85   62½ 56¾ (payne w)COTTO L 122 20.00 14.50  
4  OUR LOST LOVE 4 2 33 31   3½ 66¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 23% 3.40 6.60  
8  SUMMERJUSTBET HER 8 4 43½ 41½   41½ 77 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 10.10  
5  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 5 6 87½ 64   73 87¼ (vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 20.00 48.00  
3  OSCARETTE 3 8 54½ 52½   83¼ 98 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★ 4.60  
SCR  STRONG BEAUTY               (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY 1 3 1½ 1½   14 18 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 32% 2.10 1.20 W
7  PIKACHU 7 1 53 52¼   44¼ 28 (milligan al)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 14% 6.00 3.30 P
6  CASTLEBERRY 6 2 2½ 2½   24 39 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 9% 9.90 11.40 S
3  CAPTAINS COVE 3 5 31½ 32   34 410 (butler w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 ★ 14.60  
4  ROYAL DE BE 4 4 41½ 42   55¾ 517¾ (williams c )FLORES S 124 20.00 58.00  
8  KISSMEISTER 8 7 79½ 65¼   69¾ 622¾ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 44.80  
5  ROYAL D D 5 6 810 710¼   79¾ 723½ (williams b)BARRERA J 117 30.00 59.00  
2  SOBRIETY 2 8 63½ 810¾   811¼ 828½ (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 23% 3.40 2.40  
9  MOONSHINE SURFER 9 9 920 925¾   931¼ 950½ (deatherage corey)HEBERT J 124 12.00 25.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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