The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022

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LAD-1   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:234 :473 1:13     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK STAR ALEX 4 5 5 4   11¾ (dandridge jr)BACA L 122 6.00 8.50  
LUCK OF THE STARS 2 6 42 5   42¾ (ramirez eduardo)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.50 63% 0.60 0.30 P
HALF A BUCK 3 3 2½ 2½   23(ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 6.00 6.80 S
SHANKINSTINE 1 4 3½ 31   54(lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 14.20  
WAR KING 5 2 1½ 1½   32 5(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 11% 8.10 6.10  
FOREVER PEACE 6 1 64 610½   617½ 619½ (milburn katina)FLORES S 124 20.00 41.90  
SCR  JOEY'S LIGHTENING               (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:234 :474 1:121 1:25   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLINGINTHENIGHT 10 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1¼ (cascio j)VARGAS P 122 2.50 10% 9.10 2.00 W
10  ONEFORVIVI 11 11 74 4 4¾ 31 2¼ (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 4.00 15% 5.90 3.50 P
LILRASCALMAN 9 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 3(meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 21.20 S
JOEBOY 6 5 3 3 3.2 41 4(beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 14.90  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 3 1 6 7 7 65(milburn katina)BARRERA J 122 30.00 62.20  
1A  NOW YOU RULES 8 7 53 5 5 53 6(broberg karl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.00 43% 1.30 1.90  
PLEASANT VISION 5 8 8 9 9 875 (hirdes john)BACA L 122 12.00 42.30  
WE NEED A FIVE 2 9 9 10 10 98(landry ray)STOKES J 122 12.00 8% 11.30 24.30  
CH BERN 1 6 1110½ 11 11 109(lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 8.60  
SHADY GRADY 4 2 4 6 6 7108 (romero dale)FLORES S 122 10.00 27.20  
HENNING 7 10 10 8 8 1110¾ 11(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 1.90  
 
LAD-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:24 :484 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN ACES 3 8 75 4   1½ 1(wilson melton)BACA L 122 4.50 10% 8.90 3.60 W
WHEELS LIKE NALA 4 1 6 6   32 2(cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 29% 2.50 0.90 P
CHATAIN'S EAGLE 5 7 5 7   2½ 3(lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 27.50  
DON'T LOOK ETHEL 1 5 2nk 2nk   4412¼ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 4.00 4.90  
JOEY'S THUNDER 6 2 1nk 1nk   5512½ (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 10.00 18.70  
T W N LETSGOGIRL 2 6 42 5   6616¾ (nixon w)FLORES S 124 8.00 17.50  
PRIME CHOICE 8 4 3 3   78 720¾ (lara jorge)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 7% 13.20 16.00  
BONUS ROUND 7 3 8 8   813 826 (schwandt emile)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 28% 2.60 7.40  
 
LAD-4   09/11/2022 4950ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:241 :473 1:121     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICKING ROSES 6 3 6 8   41(jeansonne justin)COTTO L 122 3.00 75% 0.30 1.20 W
MONARCH MAN 4 7 8 6   52(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 4.80 P
COWBOY RIDGE 1 1 1 11   13(kotara ronald)FLORES S 122 20.00 51.90  
PARALISSFRMANALYSS 2 8 43 4   243 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 12.80  
PEPPER JACK 9 4 5 5   35(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 23.60  
PAPAWS BOY 5 5 95 10   76(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 4.00  
BEAUREGARD 8 11 108 9   117(gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 6.20  
HOLY EMPEROR 7 9 7 74   108(delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 15.20  
11  NOW NOW MAN 10 6 3 21   699 (cascio j)VARGAS P 119 20.00 36.30  
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 3 2 2 32   810(balderas alfonso)BACA L 117 30.00 24.20  
1A  TIZ MCNAMARA 11 10 119 11   91111½ (broberg karl)BOREL H 117 6.00 4.00  
SCR  FIRST BUMP RIDGE               (pish danny)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
SCR  HARDCORE FOLKLORE               (turner patti)STOKES J 122 15.00    
SCR  WISE ANCHOR               (govea cesar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
 
LAD-5   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:233 :473 1:122     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON WRATH 2 6 3 3   1½ 1(ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 5% 19.00 1.90 W
LEMON KICK 3 7 7 43   32 2(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 3.70  
MIDNIGHT SPIRIT 5 2 2½ 2   2½ 3(ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 15.00 6.10  
SWEET RACHEL 1 5 45 5   4411 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 119 15.00 10.60  
MR B QUIET 4 4 6 64   55 512 (bryant allan)HEBERT J 120 12.00 12.00  
RUNNING JESSE 7 1 1½ 1   66 622 (roubion steve)COTTO L 122 6.00 2.40  
MAJOR KONG 6 3 5 7   711 724¼ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 13.30  
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAGON               (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  PIONEER MAN               (gibson jonas)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 51% 0.90    
 
LAD-6   09/11/2022 3300ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:223 :451       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SISTER ANNETTE 7 3 22 21   1nk 1(schultz d)FLORES S 119 10.00 9.10  
DROP DEAD SEXY 6 1 12 11   2nk 2(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 13% 6.60 1.80 P
PRINCESS PHONE 2 7 7 7   52 3(roubion steve)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.90 S
COUNTRY DREAMIN 1 9 911½ 96   946 (jarvis robert)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 81.40  
TEXAS RED BEL 9 5 65 85   65(payne w)COTTO L 122 20.00 14.50  
OUR LOST LOVE 4 2 33 31   3½ 6(foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 23% 3.40 6.60  
SUMMERJUSTBET HER 8 4 4 4   477 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 10.10  
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 5 6 8 64   73 8(vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 20.00 48.00  
OSCARETTE 3 8 5 5   898 (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 4.60  
SCR  STRONG BEAUTY               (faucheux ron)MARQUEZ L 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
:24 :473 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY 1 3 1½ 1½   14 18 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 32% 2.10 1.20 W
PIKACHU 7 1 53 5   428 (milligan allen)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 14% 6.00 3.30 P
CASTLEBERRY 6 2 2½ 2½   24 39 (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 9% 9.90 11.40 S
CAPTAINS COVE 3 5 3 32   34 410 (butler w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 14.60  
ROYAL DE BE 4 4 4 42   5517¾ (williams blaine)FLORES S 124 20.00 58.00  
KISSMEISTER 8 7 7 6   6622¾ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 44.80  
ROYAL D D 5 6 810 710¼   7723½ (williams blaine)BARRERA J 117 30.00 59.00  
SOBRIETY 2 8 6 810¾   811¼ 828½ (milligan allen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 23% 3.40 2.40  
MOONSHINE SURFER 9 9 920 925¾   931¼ 950½ (deatherage corey)HEBERT J 124 12.00 25.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.