Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANKINSTINE Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 Jun12 May14 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
2  LUCK OF THE STARS Aug18 Jul27 Jul16 Jul07 Jun16 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.50 63% 0.60    
3  HALF A BUCK Jul25 Jul02 Jun12 May22 Feb24 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Aug26 Aug17 Jul15     (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
5  ROCK STAR ALEX Aug20 Jul09 May13 Apr15 Mar24 (dandridge cour)BACA L 122 6.00 ★    
6  WAR KING         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
7  FOREVER PEACE Aug12 Jun17       (milburn kat)LEDET THEODRICK 124 20.00    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENNING Aug16 Jun16 May14 Apr27 Mar01 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 ★    
1A  NOW YOU RULES Aug20 Aug10 Aug02 Jul23 Jun27 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  CH BERN Jul23 Jun27 May15 Feb23   (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
3  WE NEED A FIVE Aug10 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
4  HOPE FOR CHANGE Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul13 Jun30 (milburn kat)LEDET THEODRICK 122 30.00    
5  SHADY GRADY Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May14 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 10.00    
6  PLEASANT VISION Aug20 Jun05 May15 Apr28 Apr14 (hirdes john)BACA L 122 12.00    
7  JOEBOY Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May31 May15 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
8  LILRASCALMAN Jul23 Jun26 May17 Feb04 Jan09 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
9  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jul23 Jun20 Jun05 May10 Feb24 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
10  ONEFORVIVI Jul26 May14 Jan30 Jan06   (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
LAD-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Jul30 Jul19 Jun05 May15   (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 4.00 ★    
2  T W N LETSGOGIRL Aug14 Jul30 Jun11 May21 Feb24 (nixon thoma)FLORES S 124 8.00    
3  CAJUN ACES Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jun14 May16 (wilson melton)BACA L 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
4  WHEELS LIKE NALA Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 Jun14 Mar25 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Aug14 Jul30 Jul19 Jul03   (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
6  JOEY'S THUNDER Aug18 Jul23 May12     (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 10.00    
7  BONUS ROUND         (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  PRIME CHOICE         (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 7% 13.20    
 
LAD-4   09/11/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPAWS BOY Aug15 Aug02 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
1A  TIZ MCNAMARA Aug30 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 Jun14 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
2  PEPPER JACK Aug12 Jul27 Jun18 Apr16 Mar24 (g)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
SCR  WISE ANCHOR Aug30 Aug05 Jul23 Jun08 May25 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00 ★    
3  COWBOY RIDGE Aug20 Aug02 Jul17 Jun25 May29 (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 20.00    
4  PARALISSFRMANALYSS Aug27 Jul29 Jun30 Jun14 Apr14 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
5  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Aug29 Aug09 Mar05 Jan20   (balderas alfon)BACA L 117 30.00    
6  MONARCH MAN Aug07 Jul16 Jun14 Mar23 Feb28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 ★    
7  PICKING ROSES Aug20 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 May16 (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 3.00 75% 0.30    
8  HOLY EMPEROR Jul31 Jul12 Jun13 May30 May08 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
9  BEAUREGARD Aug20 Aug06 Jun28 Jun04 May17 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Aug08 Jul04 Jun19 May21 May07 (turner patti)STOKES J 122 15.00 ★    
11  NOW NOW MAN Aug30 Jul31 Jun27 May21 May07 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
SCR  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Aug20 Jul24 Jul09 Jun23 May29 (p)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
 
LAD-5   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RACHEL Jul02 May31 May07 Mar05 Feb18 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 15.00 ★    
2  POSEIDON WRATH Aug20 Jul27 Jul09 Jun16 May28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEMON KICK Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jun25 May12 (g)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
4  MR B QUIET Aug14 Jul24 Jul09 Jun23 May15 (bryant al)HEBERT J 120 12.00    
5  MIDNIGHT SPIRIT Aug24 Jul24 Jun25 May25 May12 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 15.00    
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAGON Aug07 Jul04 Jun11 May28 May17 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  MAJOR KONG Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Apr29 Mar25 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 ★    
8  RUNNING JESSE Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 Mar18 Feb11 (roubion steve)COTTO L 122 6.00    
SCR  PIONEER MAN Aug01 Jul05       (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 51% 0.90    
 
LAD-6   09/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY DREAMIN Jul05 Jun18 May30 May07   (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
2  PRINCESS PHONE Jul16 Jun24 May22 May01 Mar30 (r)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  OSCARETTE Jul16 Apr16 Feb21     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
4  OUR LOST LOVE Aug20         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Jul30 Jun13 May17 Apr29 Feb20 (vincent jarvis)BACA L 122 20.00    
6  DROP DEAD SEXY Aug06 Jul12 May28 May14 Mar04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 13% 6.60    
7  MY SISTER ANNETTE Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 May14 Feb23 (schultz rob)FLORES S 119 10.00    
8  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Jul22 Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr29 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
9  TEXAS RED BEL Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 May27 May06 (payne w)COTTO L 122 20.00    
SCR  STRONG BEAUTY Aug06 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Feb28 (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Aug16 Jul01 Jun17 Feb17 Jan28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 32% 2.10    
2  SOBRIETY         (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  CAPTAINS COVE Aug21 Aug09 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (butler w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 ★    
4  ROYAL DE BE Jul26 Jul03 Jun07 May23 Apr30 (williams c )FLORES S 124 20.00    
5  ROYAL D D Aug21 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 May17 (williams b)BARRERA J 117 30.00    
6  CASTLEBERRY Jun14 May01       (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
7  PIKACHU Aug30 Apr23 Apr03 Feb18 Jan01 (milligan al)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 14% 6.00    
8  KISSMEISTER Jul18 Jun04 Mar05     (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
9  MOONSHINE SURFER Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 (deatherage corey)HEBERT J 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.