Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:413   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS WOW WOW 5 2 33½ 34 12 12 116¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 0.80 40% 1.50 0.40 W
3  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND 3 4 21½ 22 22 22 216¾ (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 ★ 4.00 P
4  YES I'M A LADY 4 1 43½ 45½ 46½ 36 327½ (melancon do)FLORES S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.40 S
1  SHAMEFUL PRINCESS 1 3 11½ 12 35 46½ 430¼ (delany sarah)BARRERA J 119 8.00 16.70  
2  BRADEE CASH 2 5 55 511½ 512½ 513½ 550½ (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 25% 2.90 5.20  
6  HOUSTON MIRACLE 6 6 68 614½ 617½ 623½ 680½ (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 ★ 28.80  
 
LAD-2   09/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :463       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NATE'S WAY 2 1 1nk 2nk   11½ 11¾ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 16% 5.20 3.00 W
3  HAWKWOOD 3 4 41¾ 52¼   21½ 21¾ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 7.70  
5  TWO DOT 5 3 31½ 31½   32 32 (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 6.90  
1  ABDAN 1 6 63¼ 63¾   54 48 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.30  
6  FORT RIDGE 6 7 78¼ 75¼   76 58¼ (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 29.70  
7  HUG THE MUNNY 7 5 51¾ 41¾   64½ 68¾ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 ★ 5.40  
4  INVINCIBILITY 4 2 2nk 1nk   43½ 79 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 ★ 9.10  
SCR  DIABLO CAT               (melancon do)FLORES S 119 8.00    
SCR  HALFMOON REEF               (clark )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  WONDER RUN               (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 119 15.00    
 
LAD-3   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZONG TOUGH 5 2 11 11   11½ 13¼ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★ 14.90  
7  THE THIMBLE 7 1 54 53½   42½ 23¼ (r)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 35% 1.90 3.30 P
3  OSCAR CHOICE 3 3 21 21   21½ 34¾ (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 122 2.00 ★ 2.00 S
4  REAL BRAVE 4 4 31½ 31   32 48¼ (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.60  
1  DOCTRINAIRE 1 7 64½ 75½   54 59 (senegal jr)STOKES J 122 5.00 17% 5.00 2.60  
6  CIROC O CLOCK 6 5 76 64   64½ 611¼ (singh s)SINGH R 122 12.00 21.60  
2  DAPPER DAN MAN 2 6 42½ 42   75 717½ (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 6.00 16.50  
 
LAD-4   09/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:151     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHEER ELEMENT 8 6 54 42   1nk 1½ (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 8.70  
3  BAY BE GONE 3 8 97½ 83½   2nk 2½ (garza e)HEBERT J 120 6.00 6.10  
7  SNAKEBIT 7 2 76 72½   63½ 34¾ (morris rowdy)BACA L 117 20.00 26.20  
4  LET'S GO ROMEO 4 1 21½ 2nk   31½ 45 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 33% 2.00 6.30  
5  BERNUCCI 5 7 32½ 52¼   42 55¼ (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 ★ 47.10  
1  OWEN THE ICE MAN 1 9 87½ 94½   53 69 (hatche)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00 21.20  
6  HENNY'S TURN 6 3 43½ 31   86 713¼ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 7% 14.10 6.70  
10  PRINCE COSMO 9 4 64½ 62¼   97½ 817 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 5% 19.00 1.30  
2  G'S LAW 2 5 11½ 1nk   75½ 918¼ (west patric)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 35% 1.90 4.90  
SCR  RAIL TOWN               (ashford ray)HEBERT J 120 4.50    
SCR  RUNAWAY CANDY               (j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
LAD-5   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROYAL BONUS 2 4 2nk 1nk   12 13½ (witt ii)COTTO L 120 3.00 48% 1.10 1.70 W
7  SHEZA HUNK 6 2 31 3½   22 23½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.80 ★ 1.30 P
1  TRUE RED SLEW 1 3 1nk 2nk   33½ 312¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 19% 4.30 7.40 S
4  STACEYS RACEY 3 5 42½ 45½   47½ 413 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 5.90  
5  HIGH DEF RIDGE 4 6 54 57½   58 515 (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 12.00 16.60  
6  ALITTLEBITOFSMARTY 5 7 65½ 710½   69½ 617¾ (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 20.00 32.20  
8  STORMY SUNRISE 7 1 77 69½   710½ 720¾ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 8% 11.20 11.70  
SCR  THURSDAY MORNING               (espinoza edgar)HEBERT J 122 15.00 ★    
 
LAD-6   09/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:15 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MR. TIN MAN 2 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 11½ 13 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 5.00 ★ 2.70  
9  MO CREDO 8 4 43 43½ 31½ 21½ 23 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 122 4.00 ★ 3.70 P
3  ITS WILD AGAIN 3 8 65 55 53 42½ 33½ (faucheux ron)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 6% 14.50 2.40 S
7  WESTERN STAR 6 5 54 65 63½ 63½ 43¾ (g)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 18.30  
8  COUYONS CAUSE 7 3 76½ 87½ 75 75 57½ (austin a)HEBERT J 120 10.00 14.20  
5  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN 4 7 87 76½ 87 87 67¾ (husak j)VARGAS P 120 15.00 25.80  
6  AMAVI 5 6 32½ 32½ 42½ 53 78¾ (adcock charles)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 11.80  
1  PEANUT N IKE 1 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 31½ 810¼ (rosier charles)BOREL H 120 3.00 67% 0.50 3.90  
SCR  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF               (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO               (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13K) 2 F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOLLY'S GUITAR 3 7 41¾ 41¾   21 11½ (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 8% 11.70 4.20 W
9  ASPIRATIONAL 7 1 3.2 3.2   31½ 21½ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 7% 12.50 2.60 P
2  ONECALLTHATSALL 1 4 1nk 1nk   11 32 (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 120 3.00 14% 6.30 4.30 S
7  ADDI BUG 5 5 63¾ 64¾   54½ 43½ (gomez rafae)FLORES S 120 5.00 46% 1.20 3.80  
3  THIS FRIDAY 2 3 2nk 2nk   43 54¼ (johnson b)HEBERT J 120 8.00 8.90  
6  PARAMOUR 4 6 52¼ 53¼   64½ 610¾ (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 115 12.00 6.00  
8  TAZZHER 6 2 75¼ 79¾   79½ 711¾ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 8.40  
SCR  PRAY FOR US               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR TOURIST               (j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.