Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMEFUL PRINCESS Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Apr24   (delany sarah)BARRERA J 119 8.00    
2  BRADEE CASH Sep03 Aug02 Jul24 Jun24 Jun16 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Sep04 Aug14 Jul11     (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 ★    
4  YES I'M A LADY Sep03 Jul30 Jul19 Jul09 Jun27 (melancon do)FLORES S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS WOW WOW Jul24 Jun26 May08 Mar25 Feb12 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
6  HOUSTON MIRACLE Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 ★    
 
LAD-2   09/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABDAN Aug28 Jul26 Jun26 Jun12 Apr23 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  NATE'S WAY Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 May30 Feb26 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  HAWKWOOD Aug14 Jul19 Jun25 May31 May10 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
4  INVINCIBILITY Aug28 Aug13 Jul18 Jun25 May27 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 ★    
5  TWO DOT Aug15 Jul23 Jun18 May30 May09 (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
6  FORT RIDGE Sep05 Jul23 Jul05 Jun27 Jun06 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00    
7  HUG THE MUNNY Aug28 Aug16 Jun21 Jun06 May08 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  DIABLO CAT Jun21 May15 Mar02 Feb17 Feb02 (melancon do)FLORES S 119 8.00    
SCR  WONDER RUN Jul24 Feb24 Jan29 Jan06   (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 119 15.00    
SCR  HALFMOON REEF Aug16 Jul02 Mar16 Feb11 Jan16 (clark )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 ★    
 
LAD-3   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTRINAIRE Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 May31 (senegal jr)STOKES J 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  DAPPER DAN MAN Jul10 Jun20 May29 May08 Mar19 (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 6.00    
3  OSCAR CHOICE Aug20 Jul17 Jun13 May23 May07 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 122 2.00 ★    
4  REAL BRAVE Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  ZONG TOUGH Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
6  CIROC O CLOCK Aug20 Jul10 Jun20 May31 May08 (singh s)SINGH R 122 12.00    
7  THE THIMBLE Aug29 Aug20 Jul10 Jun20 May31 (r)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
LAD-4   09/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWEN THE ICE MAN Aug13         (hatche)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00    
2  G'S LAW Sep03 Jul31       (west patric)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  BAY BE GONE Sep03 Jul24 Jul03 Jun10   (garza joaquin)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
4  LET'S GO ROMEO Sep03 Jun26       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  BERNUCCI Sep03         (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 ★    
6  HENNY'S TURN Sep03 Aug13       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 7% 14.10    
7  SNAKEBIT Sep03 Aug13 Jul30     (morris rowdy)BACA L 117 20.00    
8  SHEER ELEMENT         (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
SCR  RAIL TOWN Jul24         (ashford ray)HEBERT J 120 4.50    
10  PRINCE COSMO Aug16         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY CANDY         (j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
LAD-5   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE RED SLEW         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
2  ROYAL BONUS Sep06 Aug27 Aug16 Jul30 Jul12 (witt ii)COTTO L 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  THURSDAY MORNING         (espinoza edgar)HEBERT J 122 15.00 ★    
4  STACEYS RACEY Jul11 Jun12 May24 Mar09   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
5  HIGH DEF RIDGE Jul23 May13 Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 12.00    
6  ALITTLEBITOFSMARTY Jul11 Jun25 Jun05 Mar27 Jan09 (jarvi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 20.00    
7  SHEZA HUNK Sep06 Aug16 Jun19 May15 Apr30 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.80 ★    
8  STORMY SUNRISE Aug16 Jul25 Jul04 Jun25 Feb09 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
LAD-6   09/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEANUT N IKE Aug29 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07   (rosier charles)BOREL H 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
2  MR. TIN MAN Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun18 May22 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 5.00 ★    
3  ITS WILD AGAIN Aug15 Mar26 Mar03 Jan20   (faucheux ron)MAGNON H 120 2.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Aug30 Aug15 Jul02 May24 May14 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
5  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Aug29         (husak j)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
6  AMAVI Aug20 Aug07 Jul16 Jun20 May31 (adcock charles)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
7  WESTERN STAR Aug30 Aug15 Jul10 Apr28 Apr09 (g)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
8  COUYONS CAUSE Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 Jun04   (austin a)HEBERT J 120 10.00    
9  MO CREDO Aug28 Jul26 Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  PAPIRINGO Aug29 Jun18 May31 May08 Apr13 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13K) 2 F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAY FOR US         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONECALLTHATSALL Aug29 Aug10       (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  THIS FRIDAY Jul30 Jul04 Jun20     (johnson b)HEBERT J 120 8.00    
4  DOLLY'S GUITAR Aug10 Jul15       (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  WAR TOURIST         (j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
6  PARAMOUR         (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
7  ADDI BUG Jul19 Jul04       (gomez rafae)FLORES S 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
8  TAZZHER         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
9  ASPIRATIONAL Sep04 Jul04       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 7% 12.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.