The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Friday - November 04, 2022
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KEE-1   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($185K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
:232 :473 1:123 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUSINESS MODEL 3 7 75 63½ 42 41½ 11¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11% 7.90 9.59 W
6  B DAWK 5 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 11¾ (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 15% 5.70 2.20 W
8  OPEN ROAD 7 6 31½ 31½ 3½ 3½ 31¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 38% 1.60 1.67 S
5  DROPPIN G'S 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 42¼ (antonuik jerry)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 39.10  
2  ETHEREAL ROAD 2 4 64½ 75 73¾ 54 54½ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.20  
7  JUNGLE WARFARE 6 3 43 43 52¼ 65 67¾ (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 26.49  
9  SEARCH ENGINE 8 1 53 53 62¼ 76½ 79 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 8% 12.30 6.66  
1  DOUBLE THUNDER 1 8 87 86 85¾ 810½ 816 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 37.09  
SCR  MOHAAFETH               (trujillo elvis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 2 F PT-12:30
:23 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLACK FOREST 7 1 1nk 1½   12½ 11½ (gutierrez faustio)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80 7.65 W
6  KLASSY BRIDGETTE 6 11 51¼ 42½   22½ 21½ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 25% 2.90 3.22 P
2  MAGICAL SONG 2 12 127¾ 1111   57 31¾ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.34  
10  AFFIRMATIVE LADY 10 2 104¼ 1010   46 44 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.68  
12  NO GUILT 12 6 116¼ 1212   119¾ 58 (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 46.14  
9  STRIKINGLY SPUN 9 8 92¾ 98½   77½ 68¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 33.37  
11  ADIVA 11 3 3½ 31½   67 78¾ (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 11% 8.40 4.63  
5  LA PERLA NERA 5 9 82¾ 65   109½ 89¾ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 28.55  
8  VIVID DREAMS 8 7 61¾ 88   1210¾ 99¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.20 7.04  
1  STAY FABULOUS 1 4 2nk 2½   35 1010 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 32.51  
3  INDY AGAIN 3 10 72¼ 75   88½ 1111 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 35.49 DH
4  LOVIN' ON THE RUN 4 5 41 53   99 1111 (stall m)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 21.08 DH
 
KEE-3   11/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:223 :461 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MARSALIS 11 1 3½ 3.2   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 118 1.20 40% 1.50 1.21 W
1  CALL ME FAST 1 9 51¾ 51¾   31 2½ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 8.27  
10  SEAL BEACH 10 2 72¼ 61¾   42½ 3½ (maker j)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.69  
7  PAGE ONE 7 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 4¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 ★ 12.32  
6  PRO OXIDANT 6 8 93¾ 73¼   66 56½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 29% 2.50 3.68  
3  SPARTAN ARMY 3 4 41½ 4¾   54 66¾ (stewart dallas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6% 16.40 6.27  
5  PAPA ROCKET 5 10 105¼ 107¼   98½ 710¼ (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 58.50  
2  UNCAPTURED SKY 2 6 2nk 2nk   76 811 (anderson l)JORDAN R 118 30.00 77.98  
4  MAC'S TIME 4 7 83¼ 84¼   87 911¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 66.59  
8  APPEAL DENIED 8 5 62¼ 95¾   1010 1021¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5% 19.00 22.00  
9  LET MY PEOPLE GO 9 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 29.86  
 
KEE-4   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
:222 :454 1:094     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIANT MISCHIEF 1 7 32½ 31½   1nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 11% 8.20 6.00 W
9  ARABIAN LION 7 5 22 21   2nk 2¾ (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 34% 2.00 0.71 P
10  OLD ALLIANCE 8 3 85¼ 65   412¼ 318¼ (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 26.44  
6  WELAKA 5 10 1011¼ 1010½   614¾ 418½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 39.14  
12  PROTEGE 10 4 63¾ 43½   513¼ 520½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 21% 3.70 4.16  
11  TRES SOLES 9 1 53½ 75½   715¾ 622¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 13% 7.00 8.98  
5  HUNTERTOWN 4 9 97¾ 98   917¼ 724 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 ######  
3  JIN TONG 2 8 43½ 53½   816¼ 828¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 72.11  
7  TAP IN FORMATION 6 2 12 11   312 928½ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 ★ 15.06  
4  BAYTOWN LOVELY 3 6 75¼ 86½   1021¼ 1036¾ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 41.98  
SCR  PRINCELY               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT               (chapman k)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
 
KEE-5   11/04/2022 8580ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:491 1:142 1:393 2:051 2:294 2:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEXT 2 11½ 11½ 11 12 15 16¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20% 4.00 5.25 W
4  HEYWOODS BEACH 4 33 32 31½ 22 25 26¼ (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 4.26  
6  BAL HARBOUR 6 21½ 21½ 21 32 36 37½ (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.90 S
1  RATTLE N ROLL 1 109 75 84¼ 47 411 413¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.83  
9  WIN THE DAY 9 98½ 107 95¾ 610 614 516 (o'neill doug)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 5.27  
10  ALWAYS ABOVE 10 76½ 86 63½ 57½ 514 616½ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 29.94  
5  SHERIFF BROWN 5 66½ 64½ 73¾ 913 719 724½ (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6% 15.90 12.59  
7  KAZAN (IRE) 7 87 96½ 1011¾ 1015 821 825¼ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 45.07  
8  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART 8 44 42½ 52½ 812½ 921½ 930½ (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 38.74  
3  CUPID'S CLAWS 3 54½ 53½ 42½ 712 1023 1033½ (casse mark)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.07  
 
KEE-6   11/04/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
:213 :451 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISCHIEF MAGIC (IRE) 5 12 126¾ 115½   5¾ 11 (appleby charles)BUICK T 122 8.00 6.92  
4  DRAMATISED (IRE) 4 11 93¾ 72¼   1nk 21 (burke karl)MOORE L 119 15.00 12.96  
3  PRIVATE CREED 3 7 104¼ 83¾   61¼ 31¼ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 10.33  
6  PERSIAN FORCE (IRE) 6 9 52 41   2nk 43¼ (hannon richard)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 5.69  
1  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 1 8 62½ 51¼   3½ 56 (haynes alice)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 15.00 30.69  
8  AMERICAN APPLE 8 3 31 1½   4¾ 67¾ (leitch daniel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 51.92  
9  SHARP AZA TACK 9 10 114¾ 127½   85¼ 78¾ (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 25.33  
2  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 2 6 82¾ 94¾   96¼ 89¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★ 3.14  
11  SPEED BOAT BEACH 11 4 2nk 3½   72¼ 910½ (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 50% 1.00 5.68  
7  OXYMORE 7 1 72¾ 105   117¾ 1011½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 6% 15.30 13.54  
12  THE PLATINUM QUEEN (IRE) 12 5 41½ 62¼   106¾ 1117¼ (fahey richard)DOYLE HOLLIE 119 3.50 17% 4.80 6.66  
10  TYLER'S TRIBE 10 2 1nk 2½   1211¾ 1250¾ (martin e)JORDAN R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.06  
SCR  BUSHIDO               (banach d)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  MOUNSIEUR COCO               (gutierrez faustio)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
 
KEE-7   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:23 :471 1:124 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WONDER WHEEL 5 11 118 114¾ 115¼ 31½ 13 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 18% 4.60 6.50 W
13  LEAVE NO TRACE 12 5 21 21 2½ 1½ 23 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 25.81  
14  RAGING SEA 13 13 84¼ 94¼ 104¼ 53½ 34 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6.71  
4  SABRA TUFF 4 12 1310½ 126¼ 125½ 107½ 45¾ (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 30.00 62.85  
2  YOU'RE MY GIRL 2 3 31½ 31½ 41½ 64 55¾ (terranova p)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 8.17  
9  GRAND LOVE 9 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 66 (asmussen m)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 21.67  
8  ATOMICALLY 8 6 52½ 52½ 51½ 43½ 76¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 6.37  
3  AND TELL ME NOLIES 3 9 96¼ 73½ 62 86 87 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 23% 3.30 13.16  
6  ALMA ROSA 6 4 64 63 73 75½ 98½ (lopez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 30.00 6% 16.10 92.60  
1  VEGAS MAGIC 1 1 129 136¾ 136 119 1011 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 54.49  
12  SHOPLIFTER 11 7 74¼ 84 83¼ 129¼ 1113 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 93.45  
10  CHOCOLATE GELATO 10 8 42½ 42½ 31 96½ 1214 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.64  
7  CHOP CHOP 7 10 107¾ 104¾ 93¼ 139¾ 1314 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 7% 14.10 2.34  
SCR  AMERICAN ROCKETTE               (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
 
KEE-8   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 2 F PT- 4:20
:231 :473 1:122 1:241   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MEDITATE (IRE) 10 8 106¼ 105½ 82¼ 11 12½ (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 4.00 2.04  
5  PLEASANT PASSAGE 5 7 95¾ 95 102½ 93 22½ (mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 6.41  
2  CAIRO CONSORT 2 2 21 31 41 31½ 34¾ (squires nathan)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 11% 8.40 19.14 S
12  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) 11 13 148 147¾ 135½ 115 44¾ (fahey richard)LORDAN W 122 10.00 12.33  
4  FREE LOOK 4 3 53 52½ 61¾ 72¾ 55 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 16% 5.20 7.54  
3  LAST CALL 3 12 116¼ 126¼ 112½ 62¾ 65½ (attard kevin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 20.00 20.16  
1  COMANCHE COUNTRY (IRE) 1 1 74¾ 84½ 92½ 52½ 75¾ (d'amato philip)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00 12% 7.20 18.84  
8  MANHATTAN JUNGLE (IRE) 8 4 31 21 2½ 21 86¾ (murphy amy)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00 80.22  
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 11 64½ 63½ 71¾ 125¼ 97¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 10% 8.80 13.47  
9  DELIGHT 9 5 42½ 42 31 42½ 109¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 18% 4.60 9.05  
14  BASIL MARTINI (IRE) 13 14 137¾ 137¼ 123 137¾ 1111¾ (o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 49.13  
15  BLING 14 9 85¼ 74 51¼ 103 1212¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 92.39  
7  SPIRIT GAL (FR) 7 6 11 11 1½ 83 1320½ (browne wp)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 18.94  
13  XIGERA 12 10 126¾ 116 146 1410¾ 1423¼ (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 6.91  
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB)               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  G LAURIE               (motion graham)BUICK T 122 12.00    
 
KEE-9   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:00
:23 :47 1:114 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FORTE 4 2 43½ 53 54 21½ 11½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 21% 3.90 5.02 W
3  CAVE ROCK 3 3 1nk 1½ 11½ 11½ 21½ (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.47 P
10  NATIONAL TREASURE 10 7 54 41½ 21½ 31½ 33¾ (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6% 16.00 8.00 S
6  BLAZING SEVENS 6 9 87½ 76 76½ 44½ 45¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 ★ 9.65  
9  CURLY JACK 9 5 32½ 31 43½ 66 512 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 55.73  
5  VERIFYING 5 8 65½ 63½ 65 76½ 612 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 16.93  
1  HURRICANE J 1 4 2nk 2½ 32 55 721½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00 70.24  
2  CONGRUENT 2 6 1010 98 87½ 811 821¾ (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 92.05  
7  WOUND UP 7 1 76½ 87 1013 912½ 922 (mccarthy w)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00 ######  
8  LOST ARK 8 10 98 108 912½ 1021½ 10100 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 28.91  
 
KEE-10   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:40
:232 :481 1:13 1:243   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORIA ROAD (IRE) 1 1 63 63½ 63¼ 2½ 1hd (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 8.00 5.57  
4  SILVER KNOTT (GB) 4 14 94¾ 95 105 3½ 2hd (appleby charles)BUICK T 122 3.00 13% 6.60 1.41 P
9  NAGIRROC 9 5 52½ 53 52¼ 4¾ 32¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.87 S
12  MO STASH 12 8 21½ 21½ 2nk 1½ 43 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 51.88  
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 4 84½ 84½ 84¼ 72¼ 53½ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 48.98  
14  GASLIGHT DANCER 14 11 73½ 74 73¼ 93 63¾ (maker j)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00 66.81  
6  ANDTHEWINNERIS 6 9 148¾ 127 116½ 114 73¾ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70 8.21  
2  PACKS A WAHLOP 2 3 31½ 32 31½ 51¼ 83¾ (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 6.00 12% 7.00 5.46  
13  MAJOR DUDE 13 10 42 42½ 41¾ 62¼ 93¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 15.34  
8  I'M VERY BUSY 8 6 104¾ 105½ 94¾ 104 103¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 6.42  
10  WEBSLINGER 10 13 138¼ 137½ 126½ 124½ 114 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 27.93  
7  REALLY GOOD 7 7 126¾ 116½ 137 135 126½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 10% 8.80 65.49  
11  RECKONING FORCE 11 12 116¼ 148½ 148 147 136½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 47.93  
3  CURLY LARRY AND MO 3 2 11½ 11½ 1nk 82½ 1411½ (caramori caio)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 59.46  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.