Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($185K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE THUNDER Oct26 Sep24 Aug26     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  ETHEREAL ROAD Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 (lukas wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  MOHAAFETH Jun18 May20 Apr16 Feb26 Jan22 (trujillo elvis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
4  BUSINESS MODEL Sep16 Aug13 Jul22     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  DROPPIN G'S Jun25 Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr02 (antonuik jer)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
6  B DAWK Oct22 Sep24 Jul29 Jun19 May21 (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
7  JUNGLE WARFARE Oct03 May10 Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
8  OPEN ROAD Oct01 Jul29 Jun19 May20   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  SEARCH ENGINE Sep30 Aug20 Jul02 May28 Apr16 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
KEE-2   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY FABULOUS Oct08         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
2  MAGICAL SONG         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
3  INDY AGAIN Sep23         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
4  LOVIN' ON THE RUN Oct02 Aug28       (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
5  LA PERLA NERA Sep23         (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
6  KLASSY BRIDGETTE Sep18         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 25% 2.90    
7  BLACK FOREST Sep30 Aug13 Jun19 Jun03   (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  VIVID DREAMS         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
9  STRIKINGLY SPUN         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
10  AFFIRMATIVE LADY Oct08         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  ADIVA Oct08 Sep17 Aug13     (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
12  NO GUILT         (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   11/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME FAST Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
2  UNCAPTURED SKY Sep29 Aug19       (anderson doug )JORDAN R 118 30.00    
3  SPARTAN ARMY Sep22         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6% 16.40    
4  MAC'S TIME         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
5  PAPA ROCKET Sep24 Jun08 May07 Mar19 Feb12 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
6  PRO OXIDANT Sep17 Aug13       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
7  PAGE ONE Sep22         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 ★    
8  APPEAL DENIED Sep22 Aug13 Jun19     (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  LET MY PEOPLE GO Oct14 Sep22 Jul30 Jul02 May22 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
10  SEAL BEACH Oct08 Sep30 Sep03 Aug17 Jul03 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
11  MARSALIS Sep22 Mar26 Feb19     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
KEE-4   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul16 (chapman jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
2  GIANT MISCHIEF Sep22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
3  JIN TONG Sep17 Aug14 Jul08     (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
4  BAYTOWN LOVELY Oct07 May05 Apr10     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
5  HUNTERTOWN Sep29 May11       (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
6  WELAKA Oct07 Sep16 Aug10     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
7  TAP IN FORMATION Oct08 Aug28       (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCELY Sep28 Sep15       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
9  ARABIAN LION Oct09         (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
10  OLD ALLIANCE Oct07         (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 122 30.00    
11  TRES SOLES Sep29         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
12  PROTEGE Sep21         (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
KEE-5   11/04/2022 8580ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATTLE N ROLL Sep25 Aug20 Jul09 Jul02 Jun12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  NEXT Sep08 Jul16 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20% 4.00    
3  CUPID'S CLAWS Oct20 Sep28 Sep01 Aug07 Apr02 (casse mark)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEYWOODS BEACH Oct02 Sep03 Jul24 May30   (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
5  SHERIFF BROWN Sep24 Sep03 May30 May07 Apr02 (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
6  BAL HARBOUR Sep05 Aug04       (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  KAZAN (IRE) Oct01 Sep05 Aug05 Jun19 Apr03 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
8  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART Sep30 Aug11 Jun30 Jun05   (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
9  WIN THE DAY Oct02 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 May30 (o'neill doug)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00    
10  ALWAYS ABOVE Oct09 Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 May30 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   11/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB)         (haynes alice)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 15.00    
2  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) Aug21 Apr29       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
3  PRIVATE CREED Oct09 Sep08 Aug19 Jul30   (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
4  DRAMATISED (IRE)         (burke karl)MOORE L 119 15.00    
5  MISCHIEF MAGIC (IRE)         (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 8.00    
6  PERSIAN FORCE (IRE)         (hannon rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
7  OXYMORE Sep17 Aug19 Jul01     (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 6% 15.30    
8  AMERICAN APPLE Oct08 Sep14 Jul15 Jun17 May05 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
9  SHARP AZA TACK Sep08 Jul30 Jun10     (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
10  TYLER'S TRIBE Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun20 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  SPEED BOAT BEACH Oct02 Sep10       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
12  THE PLATINUM QUEEN (IRE)         (fahey richard)DOYLE HOLLIE 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  BUSHIDO Oct08 Sep04       (banach d)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Oct09 Aug19 Jun09 Apr28   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  MOUNSIEUR COCO Oct09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul16   (gutierrez faus)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00    
 
KEE-7   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($2000K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS MAGIC Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11   (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 30.00    
2  YOU'RE MY GIRL Oct02 Sep02       (terranova john )VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
3  AND TELL ME NOLIES Oct08 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  SABRA TUFF Oct07 Sep04 Aug07 Jul04 Jun08 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 30.00    
5  WONDER WHEEL Oct07 Sep04 Jul04 Jun03   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  ALMA ROSA Oct14 Aug21 Jul19 Jun17   (lopez bernard)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 30.00 6% 16.10    
7  CHOP CHOP Oct07 Sep03 Aug14     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 7% 14.10    
8  ATOMICALLY Oct01 Sep02 Aug19     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
9  GRAND LOVE Sep17 Aug21       (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
10  CHOCOLATE GELATO Oct02 Aug14 Jul14     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  AMERICAN ROCKETTE Oct02 Sep04 Jul21     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
12  SHOPLIFTER Sep17 Aug14 Jun29 Jun08   (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
13  LEAVE NO TRACE Oct02 Sep04 Jul20     (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
14  RAGING SEA Oct07 Aug07       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
 
KEE-8   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMANCHE COUNTRY (IRE) Oct09 Sep10 Jul30     (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00 12% 7.20    
2  CAIRO CONSORT Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 May28 (squires nathan)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
3  LAST CALL (IRE) Sep17 Aug20 Jul23     (attard kevi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 20.00    
4  FREE LOOK Oct01 Sep04 Jul31     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  PLEASANT PASSAGE Oct01 Aug21       (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Oct01 Sep01 Jul31     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
7  SPIRIT GAL (FR)         (browne wp)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
8  MANHATTAN JUNGLE (IRE)         (murphy amy)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00    
9  DELIGHT Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 Apr29   (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
10  MEDITATE (IRE) Oct27 May21 May07 Feb26 Feb05 (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 4.00    
SCR  G LAURIE Sep17 Aug23       (motion grah)BUICK T 122 12.00    
12  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE)         (fahey richard)LORDAN W 122 10.00    
13  XIGERA Oct07 Aug28 Aug07     (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
14  BASIL MARTINI (IRE)         (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
15  BLING Oct07 Aug20 Jul22     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Oct01 Sep13 Aug04     (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
 
KEE-9   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($2000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE J Oct08 Aug28       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00    
2  CONGRUENT Oct01 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16   (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 122 30.00    
3  CAVE ROCK Oct08 Sep11 Aug13     (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 46% 1.20    
4  FORTE Oct08 Sep05 Jul16 May27   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
5  VERIFYING Oct01 Aug27       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
6  BLAZING SEVENS Oct01 Sep05 Jul24     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 ★    
7  WOUND UP Oct02 Sep11 Aug11     (mccarthy mich)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00    
8  LOST ARK Oct08 Aug27 Jul03     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CURLY JACK Sep17 Aug14 Jul16 Jun02   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
10  NATIONAL TREASURE Oct08 Sep03       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
 
KEE-10   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORIA ROAD (IRE)         (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 8.00    
2  PACKS A WAHLOP Oct09 Sep11 Aug05 Jun03   (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
3  CURLY LARRY AND MO Oct15 Sep04 Aug11 Jul17   (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
4  SILVER KNOTT (GB)         (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Oct02 Aug31 Aug06     (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
6  ANDTHEWINNERIS Oct09 Aug31 Jul04 Apr28   (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  REALLY GOOD Oct09 Sep14 Jul23     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 10% 8.80    
8  I'M VERY BUSY Oct02 Aug13       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
9  NAGIRROC Oct09 Sep24 Aug22     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  WEBSLINGER Sep17 Aug31 Aug06     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
11  RECKONING FORCE Oct09 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
12  MO STASH Oct09 Sep08 Aug19     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
13  MAJOR DUDE Oct02 Aug27 Jul16 Jun18   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
14  GASLIGHT DANCER Oct09 Sep03 Aug13     (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.