Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:164     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIE THE GAMBLER 4 3 2nk 1   1 15 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.20 38% 1.60 1.40 W
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 5 5 3 2   2 25 (boggs joanna)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 2.00 1.60 P
GHOST MINE 1 4 77 78   47 3 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 115 15.00 7% 13.30 24.90 S
COOL DUDE 7 6 54 4   36 4 (ceciliano misa)MORALES KELVIN 121 8.00 27.00  
READY FOR CLASS 2 2 4 5   58 510½ (walters david)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 17% 5.00 6.10  
COLONIAL ROAD 6 7 65 67   68 611¼ (campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00 42.70  
RUSHIN COLLUSION 3 1 1nk 3   7 721 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 12.00 12% 7.50 4.40  
 
CT-2   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHAAB 3 6 6 54   1nk 1 (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 3.80  
VIOLENT ROCK 6 5 4 32   3½ 2 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 12.00 16.90 P
PUDGE BOY PALACE 4 3 3 44   6 3 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 2.20 S
BAAGY 5 4 1nk 11   2nk 4 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 2.30  
PROUD UNION 1 1 5 66   52 5 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00 30.80  
BENNY THE BOOK 7 7 2nk 21   41 67 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 2.60  
STEAL THE CASH 2 2 7 712   7 712 (covello andre)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 15.00 24.30  
SCR  ALEXIS S               (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 76% 0.30    
 
CT-3   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:153 1:431   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED CHARM 3 4 11 11 11 1 1 (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 122 0.60 0.50  
JACCACI 7 3 31 21 21 2 2 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 24% 3.10 2.30 P
IRISH SAMURAI 4 2 21 3 39 38 314¼ (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 12% 7.40 7.70 S
CAN'T FIGURE 1 5 5 5 411 414½ 421¾ (stahlin j)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00 30.40  
FORT ZANNA 2 1 6 6 613½ 616 522¾ (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 15.00 45.20  
HERECOMESPUDD 5 7 711¼ 710½ 717½ 716 622¾ (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 117 15.00 7% 13.60 39.60  
JUJU ON DA BEAT 6 6 4 43 513 515 724½ (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00 23% 3.40 11.10  
SCR  CHOSEN MISS               (stahlin john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 50.00    
 
CT-4   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:17 1:443   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER HOUSE 1 2 1½ 11 1 13 1 (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 0.60 33% 2.00 0.70 W
LIFE IN FLASH 6 5 5 55 54 3 2 (harting r)HESS SARA 110 15.00 20.70  
MISS HEART 5 6 6 613 6 5 3 (pennella m)ADAMS L 117 6.00 27% 2.70 12.40 S
UPSY DAISY DO 4 3 4 44 2 23 4 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
LONGSTORYLUCY 2 1 3 33 32 45 5 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 13% 6.80 2.60  
TO FAT TO FISH 3 7 79 717½ 714½ 6 6 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 5.10  
SARAH BELLUM 7 4 2½ 21 4 715 719¾ (geris j)BATISTA A 120 30.00 30.40  
 
CT-5   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:153     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE FASHION 5 5 5 4¾   2½ 12 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 0.80  
LOVE TO ZOOM 8 4 3 2nk   1½ 22 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 40% 1.50 7.10 P
ARROWWOOD 4 7 7 6   3 3 (runco c)LEWIS M 114 4.50 6% 14.50 6.60 S
SUPERSTASIA 6 6 810¾ 7   6 410½ (rangel ricardo)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00 40.70  
WALK A FINE LINE 1 1 4 5   55 513 (contreras)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 3.00 23% 3.40 3.80  
CEDARS BULLS EYE 3 8 6 8   7 613½ (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 5% 18.50 7.70  
U S FUNDS 2 2 1½ 1nk   4 718¼ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 24.30  
GREGS POSSE 7 3 2½ 3.2   88 827½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 35.80  
 
CT-6   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:152     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE YODELER 3 3 1nk 11   1 1¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 20% 3.90 1.50 W
IHEARTRAINACOMN 5 4 4¾ 21   2 2¾ (dillon l)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00 38.40  
NORDIC DANCER 4 6 5 52   3 3 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 11% 8.30 3.10 S
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 7 7 7 63   43 43 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 118 5.00 14% 6.10 3.90  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 1 1 3.2 31   53 57 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 12.00 24.90  
DENALI D'ORO 2 2 2nk 4   6 615½ (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 26% 2.90 3.10  
TUESDAY TOO 6 5 6 7   713 7100 (kopecki e)LIMA FELINO 117 8.00 13.80  
 
CT-7   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:131     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER GARNER 2 1 11 1½   1nk 1 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 8.90  
NICO 1 3 32 2½   2nk 2 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 60% 0.70 0.40 P
OUT OF CENTS 7 6 610 56   4 32 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 10.00 30.90  
HERO'S MAN 3 2 21 4   33 4 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 4.00 5.80  
BOASTER 6 7 713 712½   6 5 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 7% 12.50 11.20  
COMMAND THE CAT 5 5 42 3   5 6 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 5.00  
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE 4 4 5 611½   711¼ 718¾ (straughn willi)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 20.00 79.00  
SCR  AUBURN MILL               (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:16     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILMARY CASTLE 3 2 11 2nk   1nk 1hd (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 4.00 9.60  
ALLI BOBBY 6 6 63 1nk   2nk 2hd (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 12% 7.40 2.60 P
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 2 1 42 63   4 311½ (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 2.50 S
VEGAS PRINCESS 5 4 21 4   38 411¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 54% 0.80 1.30  
ROO 1 3 5 3½   5 514¼ (mcclure d)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 28.00  
A BLONDE THING 4 7 75 74   611¼ 617¾ (pickett crystal )ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 11.60  
LAURA'S GRAND 7 5 3 5   714¼ 729¾ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 53.30  
10  OUR ITSY BITSY 8 8 85 814   830¼ 852½ (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 50.00 95.20  
SCR  KEY TO THE CASTLE               (espinosa victor)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE               (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.