Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST MINE Oct19 Sep28 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 115 15.00 7% 13.30    
2  READY FOR CLASS Oct29 Sep09 Aug12 Jul21 Jun16 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  RUSHIN COLLUSION Oct26         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
4  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 (boggs joanna)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 2.00 ★    
6  COLONIAL ROAD         (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
7  COOL DUDE Oct29 Jun30 Jun16     (ceciliano mi)MORALES KELVIN 121 8.00    
 
CT-2   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEXIS S Oct30 Sep18 Aug17 Jul14   (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 76% 0.30    
2  PROUD UNION Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
3  STEAL THE CASH Oct07 Aug26 Aug16 Jul30 Jul09 (covello and)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 15.00    
4  ASHAAB Oct24 Sep03 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (parra h)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 ★    
5  PUDGE BOY PALACE Oct27 Oct14 Sep17 Apr30 Apr07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 ★    
6  BAAGY Oct27 Sep26 Sep06 Jul25 Jul01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 ★    
7  VIOLENT ROCK Oct28 Oct19 Oct07 Sep28 Aug22 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 12.00 ★    
8  BENNY THE BOOK Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 Feb12 Jan29 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00    
 
CT-3   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T FIGURE Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Jul29 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00    
2  FORT ZANNA Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 Sep03 Aug05 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
3  DETERMINED CHARM Oct20 Sep18 Aug24     (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 122 0.60 ★    
4  IRISH SAMURAI Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 12% 7.40    
5  HERECOMESPUDD         (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 117 15.00 7% 13.60    
6  JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov03 Oct06 Sep10 Aug25 Aug19 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CHOSEN MISS Nov05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jun11 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 50.00    
8  JACCACI Nov02 Jul01 Jan23 Jan01   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CT-4   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWER HOUSE Sep23 Sep10 Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 0.60 33% 2.00    
2  LONGSTORYLUCY Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 Aug20 Aug11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
3  TO FAT TO FISH Oct22 Jul19 Jun28 Mar03 Feb10 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 ★    
4  UPSY DAISY DO Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug11 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS HEART Oct29 Oct17 Oct02 Aug21 Aug03 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  LIFE IN FLASH Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul09 Jul01 (harting r)HESS SARA 110 15.00    
7  SARAH BELLUM Oct20 Sep10 Aug18 May25 May11 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALK A FINE LINE Oct01 Aug04 Jun17 May28 Apr30 (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  U S FUNDS Nov03 Oct13 Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00    
3  CEDARS BULLS EYE Nov04 Oct13 Sep10 Jun10 May19 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 5% 18.50    
4  ARROWWOOD Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 May19 Apr07 (runco c)LEWIS M 114 4.50 6% 14.50    
5  DIVINE FASHION Nov04 Oct28 Oct14 Aug26 Aug14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 ★    
6  SUPERSTASIA Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 (rangel ricardo)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
7  GREGS POSSE Nov06 Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
8  LOVE TO ZOOM Oct28 Oct12 Oct01 Sep15 Aug25 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-6   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SHALLBE RELEASED Oct27 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 Jul07 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 12.00    
2  DENALI D'ORO Oct07 Sep16 Aug18 Jul23 May25 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
3  DIXIE YODELER Oct07 Sep29 Sep12 Aug18 Jul23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  NORDIC DANCER Oct26 Jan14       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 11% 8.30    
5  IHEARTRAINACOMN Oct06 Sep10 Sep01 Aug11 Jul30 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
6  TUESDAY TOO Nov03 Oct13 Jul21 Jun30 Apr29 (kopecki e)LIMA FELINO 117 8.00 ★    
7  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Nov11 Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 Aug11 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-7   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICO Nov03 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  SUPER GARNER Oct20         (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
3  HERO'S MAN Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 4.00 ★    
4  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Aug04 (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 20.00    
SCR  AUBURN MILL Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Jul14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 ★    
6  COMMAND THE CAT Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 ★    
7  BOASTER Oct27 Aug26 Jul15 May18 Apr23 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
8  OUT OF CENTS Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 Jun16 May06 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 10.00    
 
CT-8   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEY TO THE CASTLE Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 Aug25 (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE Nov03 Sep28 Sep22 Sep07 Aug19 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
3  ROO Nov03 Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 Sep24 (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
4  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov03 Oct20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 ★    
5  PHILMARY CASTLE Oct20 Sep28 Sep07     (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 4.00 ★    
6  A BLONDE THING Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 Aug19   (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 ★    
7  VEGAS PRINCESS Nov06 Oct17 Oct04     (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
8  ALLI BOBBY Oct06 Sep10 Jul30 Apr29   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
9  LAURA'S GRAND Nov03 Oct13 Jan26     (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
10  OUR ITSY BITSY Nov09 Oct20       (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.