The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Charles Town
Friday - November 11, 2022

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CT-1   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:222 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEWING 4 3 32     21½ (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.30 W
LEMONSONDESURPRISE 8 1 1nk     12½ (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 9% 10.20 3.90 P
TRUE FLIRT 3 8 7     631 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 111 2.50 7% 14.30 2.80 S
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 7 2 4     543 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 118 4.50 29% 2.40 5.00  
SIENTE LA BRISA 1 7 5     45(stehr p)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 11.10  
CHURCH KEY 6 5 2nk     32 6(harrison n)SIMPSON JASON 118 30.00 29.40  
DEREKA'S BLUFF 2 6 8     87(venham d)CECIL Y 120 15.00 35.00  
SILVER RULES 5 4 6     78(kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00 45.50  
 
CT-2   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
:221 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NY BETH GETSITDONE 6 1 31     1nk 1(joy j)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 7% 13.80 2.60 W
RED LINGERIE 4 4 5     52(meeks karl)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 4.30 P
SOME IS NINE 1 6 6     63(serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00 1.40  
RED ROCKET GIRL 2 5 11     2nk 4(meeks karl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 28% 2.60 4.90  
SUPERSNAKE 3 3 4     33 5(sandoval michael)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 6.00  
MANGROVE MAMMA 5 2 21     44 6(baker jesse)LEWIS M 112 15.00 5% 19.00 35.10  
SCR  GOLD PASS               (hancock l)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS MIDNIGHT               (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
CT-3   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
:24 :473 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTONED UP 1 1 1 1   16 1(garibay andres)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 33% 2.10 0.40 W
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR 6 5 6 510   37 2(pyke joseph)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00 61.80  
UNIMPEACHED 4 3 2 2   26 3(walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 4.70 S
DOHKO 2 2 3 3   49 414¼ (grullon riquelvis)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 21.60  
DIVINE PROPORTION 5 4 55 711   511 515½ (butts e)LARROSA G 120 30.00 33.60  
LUNAR IMAGE 3 6 4 4   612½ 615½ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 47.50  
SNOW CANDY 7 8 89 611   713 716¼ (garibay andres)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00 12.60  
SCAREDY CAT 8 7 7 812   815 817 (dillon l)CECIL Y 120 4.00 30% 2.40 6.20  
SCR  FIRST CRUSADER               (morris r)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
CT-4   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:22 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWY JUBA CAT 1 6 1½     12 13 (bass w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 38% 1.70 1.90 W
FANCY HER UP 5 2 2½     22 23 (casey a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 29% 2.50 0.80 P
ELLIES LIL CASTLE 3 4 3     33(casey w)LARROSA G 124 5.00 6.50 S
THELADYISTRUE 7 1 58     511½ 411¼ (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50 6.70  
JUBA'S HOUSE 4 3 4     4511¼ (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 49.30  
SUPERSTASIA 2 5 612     612 612¼ (rangel ricardo)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 65.20  
BALLYMENA 6 7 717     717½ 719¼ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 110 20.00 34.90  
SCR  COUSIN WINNIE               (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
 
CT-5   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 9:02
:221 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNDTOBEGREAT 4 3 2½     11(casey a)LARROSA G 122 4.00 1.20  
CASTLE TOY 2 4 1½     22(obed-letts e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 4.20  
NO DENYING DENIS 7 2 3     36 3(casey w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 35.20  
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 5 6 812½     711 4(jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 4.00  
APPEALING ROAD 1 7 6     510½ 5(joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 16.30  
PATTI BLUE EYES 3 8 4     47 610½ (farrior anthony)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 20% 4.00 3.40  
12  WISHING FOR SPRING 8 1 5     611 712¼ (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 21.80  
XPOSED SECRET 6 5 711½     817 820¾ (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00 75.50  
SCR  BARBERS POINT               (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  JUNIPER GRACE               (montilla carlos)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  LOCKDOWN VANNA               (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
SCR  VAN HOOK               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-6   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:233 :48 1:152     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLITICAL DECISION 6 1 32 32   22 1¾ (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 8.00 16.90  
GOT FLOFFY 7 2 11 1½   12 2¾ (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
SILVER R 3 6 611½ 67   43 3(luqueno giovanni)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 4.90  
10  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR 8 4 21 2½   33 4(pickett g)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 17% 5.10 5.20  
TAPIT TO THE WIRE 1 3 5 53   54 5(runco c)LEWIS M 112 3.50 38% 1.60 1.10  
RUNNER 2 7 716½ 712   66(mohan r)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 24.90  
DAKOTA BOY 4 5 4 4   7712½ (reggetts l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 3.50  
GOLD GUY 5 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00 44.00  
SCR  BET ON BITZ               (capuano dale)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KNIGHT LEGEND               (pickett g)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-7   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:234 :48 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE IN THE GAME 3 5 7 711¼   61¼ (casey w)LARROSA G 122 4.50 13% 6.90 4.10 W
HOT FUDGE SONDE 1 1 32 31   1½ 2¼ (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 24% 3.20 8.60 P
C R'S UNCLE LINO 5 6 6 6   43(grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 7.10 S
PENGUIN PARADE 6 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 4(runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00 8% 11.40 5.20  
EPIC TIME 2 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 5(kolb l)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 33% 2.00 0.80  
10  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 7 7 43 44   56(runco c)LEWIS M 108 10.00 16.40  
STORMIN ROCKET 4 3 54 5   7710¼ (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 23.80  
SCR  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE               (straughn e)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME               (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
SCR  SPANGLISH               (meehan e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:224 :48       :544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  NINE MAST 8 1 1     12 1(joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 11.20  
TREAT ME SPECIAL 2 6 4     22 2(allard t)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 15% 5.70 7.10 P
10  NORMALIZEDDEVIANCE 6 2 2     32 3(luqueno giovanni)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 30.20  
11  UPTOWN BELLE 7 3 6     742 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.40 29% 2.50 1.70  
BODIE'S STORM 1 8 8     45(mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 12.20  
FESSIN UP 4 7 5     665 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 4.00 14% 6.20 4.00  
PRACTICAL KITTY 3 5 7     877 (grullon riquelvis)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 35.90  
BLUE BONNIE 5 4 3     58(schottroffe t)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 2.30  
SCR  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY               (mohan r)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
SCR  NOBLE PRESENT               (rodriguez m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  RED LIL SHIPMENT               (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  RED PRIESTESS               (bailes robert)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.80 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.