Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIENTE LA BRISA Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul21 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
2  DEREKA'S BLUFF Oct26 May25 May11 Apr28 Mar17 (venham d)CECIL Y 120 15.00 ★    
3  TRUE FLIRT Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 111 2.50 7% 14.30    
4  SLEWING Oct26 Jun04 Apr23 Mar17 Feb17 (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  SILVER RULES Oct20 Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00    
6  CHURCH KEY Oct07 Sep07 Aug25 Jul30 Jul21 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 118 30.00    
7  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 Aug11 Jun09 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
8  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Oct26 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
CT-2   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD PASS Oct31 Oct16 Oct03 Sep25 Sep18 (hancock l)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
2  SOME IS NINE Oct27 Oct20 Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00    
3  RED ROCKET GIRL Oct10 Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 (meeks karl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  SUPERSNAKE Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
5  RED LINGERIE Sep29 Sep13 Jul18 Jun30 Jun07 (meeks karl)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 ★    
6  MANGROVE MAMMA Oct26 Feb18 Jan30     (baker jesse)LEWIS M 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NY BETH GETSITDONE Nov03 Sep28 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  MISS MIDNIGHT Oct15 Sep14 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
CT-3   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST CRUSADER Jul27 Jun04       (morris ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
2  BUTTONED UP Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 Aug03 (garibay and)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 33% 2.10    
3  DOHKO Sep14 Sep07 Jun12 Jun05 May21 (grullon riqu)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00    
4  LUNAR IMAGE Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
5  UNIMPEACHED Oct05 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 May27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 ★    
6  DIVINE PROPORTION Oct21 Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 Jul23 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 30.00 ★    
7  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
8  SNOW CANDY Oct29 Oct12 Oct01 Sep18 Sep08 (garibay andres)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00    
9  SCAREDY CAT Sep08 Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (dillon l)CECIL Y 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
CT-4   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWY JUBA CAT Oct20 Sep21 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  SUPERSTASIA Oct28 Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
SCR  COUSIN WINNIE Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
4  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Jul28 (casey w)LARROSA G 124 5.00 ★    
5  JUBA'S HOUSE Oct20 Sep22 Sep09 Jul30 Jun04 (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
6  FANCY HER UP Oct22 Oct08 Aug25 Jul30 Jun18 (casey john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  BALLYMENA (GB) Nov04 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep14 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 110 20.00    
8  THELADYISTRUE Oct20 Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
 
CT-5   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Oct13 Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
2  CASTLE TOY Oct21 Oct06 Sep23     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
3  PATTI BLUE EYES Oct21 Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
4  BOUNDTOBEGREAT Oct08 Sep17 Sep02     (casey a)LARROSA G 122 4.00    
SCR  VAN HOOK Oct13 Sep23       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
7  XPOSED SECRET Oct21         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
8  NO DENYING DENIS Oct21         (casey jam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  BARBERS POINT         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  LOCKDOWN VANNA         (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00 ★    
SCR  JUNIPER GRACE         (montil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
12  WISHING FOR SPRING Oct21         (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
 
CT-6   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BET ON BITZ Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
2  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Aug29 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 May12 (runco c)LEWIS M 112 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  RUNNER Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 Oct05 Sep15 (mohan r)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
4  SILVER R Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 (luqueno giovann)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
5  DAKOTA BOY Oct15 Sep05 Aug19 Aug06 Jul09 (reggetts stephe)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
6  GOLD GUY Nov03 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
7  POLITICAL DECISION Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 8.00    
8  GOT FLOFFY Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KNIGHT LEGEND Sep19 Aug24 May02 Feb26   (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
10  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 17% 5.10    
 
CT-7   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE SONDE Oct14 Sep08 Aug06 Mar25 Feb26 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  EPIC TIME Oct05 Aug27 Jul16 Jun18 May25 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  LATE IN THE GAME Oct26 Oct08 Sep16 Jul23 Jul02 (casey w)LARROSA G 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  STORMIN ROCKET Oct02 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jun23 (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
5  C R'S UNCLE LINO Oct08 Sep08 Aug27 Jul23 May28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Aug04 (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 15.00    
7  PENGUIN PARADE Oct14 Sep08 Jul23 Jun23 May27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
SCR  SPANGLISH Oct14 Sep08 Jun16 May21 Apr16 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
10  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 May21 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 10.00    
 
CT-8   11/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODIE'S STORM Oct15 Sep30 Sep14 Mar03 Feb04 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
SCR  NOBLE PRESENT Oct21 Oct13 Sep17 Aug24 Jul26 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
3  TREAT ME SPECIAL Nov04         (allard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  RED LIL SHIPMENT May04 Mar23 Mar04 Feb11   (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
5  PRACTICAL KITTY Nov04 Oct21 Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 (grullon rique)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
6  FESSIN UP Oct21 Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 Aug13 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Jun29 May26 (mohan david)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
8  BLUE BONNIE Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 (schottroffe ed)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
SCR  RED PRIESTESS Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Feb26 Feb16 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.80 17% 5.00    
10  NORMALIZEDDEVIANCE Nov05 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (luqueno giovann)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
11  UPTOWN BELLE Sep17         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.40 29% 2.50    
12  NINE MAST Oct29 Jun26 Jun12     (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.