Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-5   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA ROSA DRIVE 4 2 11 2½   2nk 1 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.00 0.80  
PORSUMSUGARONME 6 1 21 1½   1nk 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 36% 1.80 4.70 P
DONNAS FINAL WORD 2 4 3 5   3 3 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 121 2.50 2.00 S
MAD TABBY 5 5 52 4   4 4 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 9.90  
MY MEADOW 3 3 42 31   5 510½ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 18.50  
AL'S PRINCESS 1 6 610 611½   611¾ 616¼ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 17.60  
SCR  MISS OCEAN EXPRESS               (rushton temple)WALES T 124 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
ARP-6   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST REMEMBER 5 3 31 1½   1nk 1 (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 2.50 55% 0.80 0.70 W
HATCHET GURL 4 1 2½ 2½   2nk 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.40 P
GOLD PASS 1 8 7 6   56 3 (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 58.10  
AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH 7 5 52 32   33 49 (shipp michael)WALES T 121 4.50 12% 7.60 6.50  
GEORGIANO 6 4 42 75   69 512¼ (williams ste)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 9% 10.40 12.70  
AMBER WAVES 8 6 8 88   811½ 614¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 7.80  
GOVENESS SHEILA 3 2 1½ 42   44 714¼ (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 9.30  
TOURIST LIKE ME 2 7 64 5   711 821¾ (shephard john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 57.00  
SCR  CHIEFTESS               (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   09/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:254 :493 1:141 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD NOTE 3 5 55 5 59 3 12 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 38% 1.60 0.70 W
THETRASHMANSCOMING 7 3 3 3½ 2nk 1½ 22 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 18% 4.50 4.70 P
CLIFTON PARK 5 7 7 69 611½ 7 3 (williams steve)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 15.50  
WATER PATROL 4 6 68 7 712 4 4 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 11.80  
WAR EAGLE'S RETURN 6 4 43 4 47 6 5 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 8.00 11% 8.10 11.00  
GRAN EDITION 2 1 21 1½ 1nk 2½ 611¾ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 6.20  
RANDOM AFFAIR 1 2 11 2½ 35 55 712 (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 3.50 6.80  
SCR  ASTUTE WARRIOR               (ness john)ROMERO M 124 20.00 8% 12.30    
 
ARP-8   09/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :48       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YA THINK 1 1 31 3½   2nk 1 (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50 13% 6.60 4.40 W
MS BUMBLEBEE 6 4 2½ 2nk   31 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 25% 3.00 3.10 P
IMA HOT TOTTIE 9 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 33 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 117 8.00 2.80  
TUDIE LU 5 5 41 4   43 4 (martinez a)WALES T 117 10.00 6% 14.90 4.20  
BEST QUEST 2 7 7 75   55 5 (mitchell ste)GONZALEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
DESERT PEPPER 4 6 53 6   6 614¼ (marquez)ROSALES JUAN 120 15.00 7.30  
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 8 3 6 53   7 719¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00 17.50  
IMA HAPPY DANCER 7 9 89 8   810½ 821½ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 15.00 24.70  
JOSIES SCORE 3 8 9 98   914½ 922¾ (muckey john)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 4.50 32% 2.10 7.90  
 
ARP-9   09/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE 1 4 4 32   2½ 12 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 1.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
JIMBO'S BIZ 4 6 6 611½   5 22 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.10 7.70 P
GREY ROGUE 5 1 31 21   1½ 3 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 4.90  
MEAN CANNON 2 5 5 5   6 417 (williams ste)GONZALEZ V 124 8.00 33.50  
BIG BIZ 3 2 21 43   44 517¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 2.50 1.80  
ALWAYS A TIZ 6 3 11 11   32 623¼ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.50 13% 6.90 7.90  
SCR  WRATH               (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.