The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Monday - October 03, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-3   10/03/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:24 :474 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIL MISS DE BUY 4 2 32½ 31½   2nk 1nk (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 10.00 20% 3.90 11.60 W
1  RED BOTTOM REBEL 1 5 12 11½   1nk 2nk (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 22% 3.50 0.80 P
3  GOODNIGHTLOVING 3 3 43 43½   3½ 33 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.50 S
6  HURRICANE FLORENCE 5 4 54 55   42½ 45½ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 124 12.00 ★ 13.90  
2  DIVA'S DIVA 2 1 22 21½   54 56½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★ 6.00  
SCR  JUST LEAVE               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-4   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:214 :45 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG SHOW 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 11 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 2.50 38% 1.60 3.40 W
2  OPTIMAL 2 4 35 34   2nk 21 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 16% 5.40 0.70 P
3  CHICORY BLUE 3 5 45¼ 45½   43½ 36¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★ 5.50 S
5  GRAYDAR'S DREAM 4 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 410½ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 6.00 11% 8.00 4.90  
6  MORO CHARLIE 5 2 55¾ 58½   55 511 (rushton stacy)HERRERA HUGO 124 20.00 8% 11.80 14.40  
7  INFINITE JOY 6 6 611¾ 618½   625 641 (hall monk)ROSALES JUAN 121 30.00 15.40  
SCR  MYSTIC WIND               (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00    
 
ARP-5   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:221 :453 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONGOLIAN ROSE 2 2 1½ 2nk   11 12½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 19% 4.30 0.60 W
8  UNPLUCKED GEM 7 5 42½ 41¾   21 22½ (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 51% 1.00 1.50 P
2  DERONDA 1 7 67 65¾   67 39½ (dieter dalton)LUARK T 120 12.00 ★ 75.00 S
4  FASHIONABLY QUICK 3 3 2½ 1nk   31½ 49½ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 6.00 ★ 10.20  
6  MISS IZZY BEE 5 4 53 53¾   55½ 510¾ (parsons riley)BETHKE A 121 4.50 ★ 19.10  
7  HATCHET GURL 6 1 32 3.2   44 613½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 19.60  
5  AL'S PRINCESS 4 6 78 710¾   717 732¾ (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 44.80  
SCR  SEGOVIANA               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:22 :45 :574     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CALL THE SHOTS 7 4 2½ 21½   23 1½ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 2.30  
6  D'WILD MUFFIN 6 1 1½ 11½   13 2½ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 28% 2.60 4.90 P
4  DONNAS FINAL WORD 4 8 42½ 33   36 34¾ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 6.50  
2  NEON DREAMS 2 2 62¾ 78½   69 47 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8% 11.80 2.90  
1  OUT OF THE SKY 1 6 73¾ 67   46½ 59 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 29% 2.40 4.00  
10  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 9 7 52¾ 55   57 69½ (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 28.90  
3  OVER EXPOSED 3 3 97¾ 89½   711 710 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 8% 11.10 12.00  
11  MILLI STARR 10 9 85¾ 913½   815 812¾ (ness john)LUARK T 124 5.00 33.20  
8  HEY ROXY 8 5 3½ 43½   1018½ 919¼ (williams f)BETHKE A 124 8.00 71.10  
5  LANKY LOU 5 10 1010¾ 1015½   917 1019¼ (marquez leonel)MARTIN A 120 30.00 31.00  
SCR  EPSOM IMP               (jenkins l)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 6% 15.30    
 
ARP-7   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CATS GOTTA CHANCE 5 4 1nk 1½   11 14½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 6.00 ★ 3.00  
3  YOUNG PHILLIP 2 3 41 2½   21 24½ (haar j)WALES T 124 10.00 10% 9.10 4.60 P
1  MEAN CANNON 1 5 54 44   36 39½ (williams f)BETHKE A 124 12.00 10.80  
4  DEJA CREW 3 1 3½ 59   411 420½ (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 25% 3.00 11.00  
6  GOLD LABEL 4 2 2nk 32   5100 5100 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 38% 1.60 0.50  
SCR  FELON               (hancock l)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  WEST COAST BROKER               (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   10/03/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:26 :501 1:153 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LA ROSA DRIVE 6 1 14 1½ 12 12 16¾ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 0.80  
10  BEHOLD THAT WORD 7 4 76 711½ 611½ 64¼ 26¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 ★ 19.80 P
7  AWESOME SUNSET 5 5 45 32½ 43½ 22 37¼ (williams f)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 11.90  
3  ATOKA GIRL 2 2 24 44½ 32 32 48¾ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
2  STARLIGHT TWIST 1 3 34½ 56½ 56½ 54¼ 512¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★ 3.10  
4  GOLD PASS 3 7 65½ 2½ 22 44 618¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 31.40  
6  RYRYSWEETIE 4 6 55 68½ 711¾ 77¼ 722¾ (coughlin chris)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 21.20  
SCR  CHIEFTESS               (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
SCR  DABBLIN CHANNEL               (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
SCR  TIZ WONDERFULLY               (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
 
ARP-9   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:222 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KNOWYOUROPTIONS 8 2 53½ 43½   41¾ 11½ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 9% 10.60 8.10 W
4  HOLDING PATTERN 4 5 32½ 3½   2nk 21½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 6.00 ★ 3.40 P
1  TWO GUNS 1 4 22 1nk   3.2 31½ (schnell don)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 11% 7.80 4.40 S
5  TRICKY LEE 5 6 64½ 66   62¾ 42¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 49% 1.00 4.50  
6  ROCKY JACK 6 1 12 2nk   1nk 52¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 8% 11.40 1.30  
7  WILD FIREMAKER 7 3 43 54   52¼ 66¼ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 16.20  
2  ROADSIDE 2 7 76½ 710   75¾ 79 (kulow mark)MARTIN A 124 20.00 53.70  
3  YHA YHA 3 8 86½ 810¼   85¾ 89½ (childs g)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 32.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.