Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   10/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY 4 2 3 3   2nk 1nk (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 10.00 20% 3.90 11.60 W
RED BOTTOM REBEL 1 5 12 1   1nk 2nk (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 22% 3.50 0.80 P
GOODNIGHTLOVING 3 3 43 4   3½ 33 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.50 S
HURRICANE FLORENCE 5 4 54 55   4 4 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 12.00 13.90  
DIVA'S DIVA 2 1 22 2   54 5 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 6.00  
SCR  JUST LEAVE               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-4   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG SHOW 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 11 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 2.50 38% 1.60 3.40 W
OPTIMAL 2 4 35 34   2nk 21 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 16% 5.40 0.70 P
CHICORY BLUE 3 5 4 4   4 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 5.50 S
GRAYDAR'S DREAM 4 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 410½ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 6.00 11% 8.00 4.90  
MORO CHARLIE 5 2 5 5   55 511 (rushton stacy)HERRERA HUGO 124 20.00 8% 11.80 14.40  
INFINITE JOY 6 6 611¾ 618½   625 641 (hall mo)ROSALES JUAN 121 30.00 15.40  
SCR  MYSTIC WIND               (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00    
 
ARP-5   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN ROSE 2 2 1½ 2nk   11 1 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 19% 4.30 0.60 W
UNPLUCKED GEM 7 5 4 4   21 2 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 51% 1.00 1.50 P
DERONDA 1 7 67 6   67 3 (dieter dalton)LUARK T 120 12.00 75.00 S
FASHIONABLY QUICK 3 3 2½ 1nk   3 4 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 6.00 10.20  
MISS IZZY BEE 5 4 53 5   5 510¾ (parsons riley)BETHKE A 121 4.50 19.10  
HATCHET GURL 6 1 32 3.2   44 613½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 19.60  
AL'S PRINCESS 4 6 78 710¾   717 732¾ (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 44.80  
SCR  SEGOVIANA               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE SHOTS 7 4 2½ 2   23 1½ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 2.30  
D'WILD MUFFIN 6 1 1½ 1   13 2½ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 28% 2.60 4.90 P
DONNAS FINAL WORD 4 8 4 33   36 3 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 6.50  
NEON DREAMS 2 2 6 7   69 47 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8% 11.80 2.90  
OUT OF THE SKY 1 6 7 67   4 59 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 29% 2.40 4.00  
10  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 9 7 5 55   57 6 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 28.90  
OVER EXPOSED 3 3 9 8   711 710 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 8% 11.10 12.00  
11  MILLI STARR 10 9 8 913½   815 812¾ (ness john)LUARK T 124 5.00 33.20  
HEY ROXY 8 5 3½ 4   1018½ 919¼ (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 8.00 71.10  
LANKY LOU 5 10 1010¾ 1015½   917 1019¼ (marquez l)MARTIN A 120 30.00 31.00  
SCR  EPSOM IMP               (jenkins l)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 6% 15.30    
 
ARP-7   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 5 4 1nk 1½   11 1 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.00  
YOUNG PHILLIP 2 3 41 2½   21 2 (haar j)WALES T 124 10.00 10% 9.10 4.60 P
MEAN CANNON 1 5 54 44   36 3 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 12.00 10.80  
DEJA CREW 3 1 3½ 59   411 420½ (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 25% 3.00 11.00  
GOLD LABEL 4 2 2nk 32   5100 5100 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 38% 1.60 0.50  
SCR  FELON (IRE)               (hancock l)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50    
SCR  WEST COAST BROKER               (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   10/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:26 :501 1:153 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA ROSA DRIVE 6 1 14 1½ 12 12 1 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 0.80  
10  BEHOLD THAT WORD 7 4 76 711½ 611½ 6 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 19.80 P
AWESOME SUNSET 5 5 45 3 4 22 3 (williams ste)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 11.90  
ATOKA GIRL 2 2 24 4 32 32 4 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
STARLIGHT TWIST 1 3 3 5 5 5 512¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 3.10  
GOLD PASS 3 7 6 2½ 22 44 618¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 31.40  
RYRYSWEETIE 4 6 55 6 711¾ 7 722¾ (coughlin chris)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 21.20  
SCR  CHIEFTESS               (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
SCR  DABBLIN CHANNEL               (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
SCR  TIZ WONDERFULLY               (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
 
ARP-9   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOWYOUROPTIONS 8 2 5 4   4 1 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 9% 10.60 8.10 W
HOLDING PATTERN 4 5 3 3½   2nk 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.40 P
TWO GUNS 1 4 22 1nk   3.2 3 (schnell don)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 11% 7.80 4.40 S
TRICKY LEE 5 6 6 66   6 4 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 49% 1.00 4.50  
ROCKY JACK 6 1 12 2nk   1nk 5 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 8% 11.40 1.30  
WILD FIREMAKER 7 3 43 54   5 6 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 16.20  
ROADSIDE 2 7 7 710   7 79 (kulow mark)MARTIN A 124 20.00 53.70  
YHA YHA 3 8 8 810¼   8 8 (childs g)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 32.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.