Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:214 :452       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPOND 5 4 42 3½   21 1hd (garrett t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 8.00 3.10  
LIGHTNING CASHES 2 1 11 1nk   11 2hd (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 1.80 49% 1.00 0.80 P
MAN ON ATTACK 1 6 21 4   31 3 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.50 15.60 S
RUSSIAN HAMMER 6 7 712½ 713½   6 4 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 10.00 29% 2.40 12.30  
WESLAN 4 3 53 55   5 5 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 2.50 3.90  
SOVIET STANDARD 3 2 31 2nk   43 610¼ (perez manny)SANCHEZ DIEGO 120 20.00 38.90  
INDIO GUAPO 7 5 6 6   716½ 719 (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00 20.00  
 
HAW-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE ON OVER 7 5 2 21   11 1 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 3.60  
TWO WORLDS 2 3 53 32   21 2 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.80 0.90 P
CHRISTMAS PRESENT 1 2 4 5   4 36 (cook bria)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 10% 8.80 9.50 S
JUST RIGHT MIKE 6 1 1 11   3 47 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 12.00 18.30  
IMPERIAL MOMENT 3 4 3 43   54 5 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 13% 6.60 6.10  
IRISH TUFF 4 7 75 66   66 6 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 6.00 14% 6.20 11.10  
GEMO RAIN 5 6 6 76   7 711¾ (martin)BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 29% 2.50 8.80  
 
HAW-3   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:211 :441 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'FEVER 2 4 12 11   1 1 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 2.50 1.70  
RISKY BOY 4 6 6 6   3 2 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00 71.90  
KING TITO 5 5 3 21   2 3 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00 11.40  
DEVIL'S RULE 6 1 5 43   5 4 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00 20.70  
RICHIESGOTSWAGGER 7 3 7 7   66 5 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.50  
AGAVE KID 3 7 43 33   4 65 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 26% 2.80 6.80  
PRINCE OF MAYHEM 1 2 22 5   7 7 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.00 12% 7.50 4.90  
SCR  MR. SPRINGTIME               (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 121 20.00 8% 11.80    
 
HAW-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :441 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE MAGIC 6 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 9% 9.80 5.20 W
SHEZA SAVAGE 5 1 42 33   33 2 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 124 3.00 50% 1.00 1.60 P
RAP STAR 3 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 32 (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50 3.50  
KHOZYS CROWN 2 2 32 4   45 4 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 7.10  
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE 1 5 55 5   5 5 (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 121 6.00 11.20  
SNOOTY 4 6 6 6   67 6 (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 4.00 10% 9.20 3.00  
SCR  A FAST BROAD               (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:211 :44 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK HEDGES 1 1 1nk 1nk   1 1 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.50 1.50  
STORMIN HONGKONG 6 5 6 33   33 2 (broberg karl)COLON H 124 3.00 3.70 P
TIME HEIST 4 4 4 4   55 3 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 4.50 23% 3.30 3.60 S
CHICKS FOR FREE 5 6 5 5   2 44 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 5.00 8.20  
TIZ APPROVED 3 2 3.2 2nk   44 510 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 40% 1.50 3.40  
WILDWOOD SECRET 2 3 2nk 6   612 618¼ (rodriguez j)ORTEGA O 121 8.00 22.30  
SCR  JACK'S ADVANTAGE               (candelas )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.00    
 
HAW-6   12/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:113 1:374   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET HOTSHOT 2 7 77 7 7 3 1¼ (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 3.50 2.90  
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR 1 1 1½ 1½ 1 1nk 2¼ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 38% 1.70 2.50 P
BUREAU 4 5 54 4 2 2nk 3 (watkins m)EMIGH A 118 4.50 6% 16.80 4.80 S
KEEN RESPONSE 7 8 88 8 6 54 4 (hernandez arma)COLON H 118 5.00 5.60  
SKIP AWAY CARTER 3 3 42 32 5 4 5 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00 38.90  
STORM BORN 5 4 2½ 2½ 3 6 611¾ (cook b)BAILON JADHIR 118 6.00 32% 2.10 15.40  
FLEET OF HOOF 6 2 32 5 4 78 715½ (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00 3.10  
WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY 8 6 6 6 8 811 820 (heinen h)ORM CORY 121 10.00 41.90  
 
HAW-7   12/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:112 1:372   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHARMING 3 3 31 31 32 1½ 1 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 4.50 8.70  
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS 5 7 53 42 42 3 2 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.50 35% 1.90 2.80 P
ASTI SKY 4 1 2nk 1nk 1 2½ 32 (cristel m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 4.00 8% 11.60 1.50 S
FLASHY RICHIE 7 6 7 6 6 65 4 (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 8.00 5.20  
COMING UP ACES 2 5 64 5 5 54 5 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 17% 4.80 7.80  
SUPRISE CAT 1 2 1nk 2nk 2 43 613½ (young r)EMIGH A 121 5.00 13% 6.80 6.00  
DEMAND RANSOM 6 4 4 7 7 711 723½ (hughes w)REYES ANGEL 121 6.00 29.30  
 
HAW-8   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:212 :443       1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COOKIN ROSES 9 1 1 11   12 1 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 14% 6.10 2.20 W
FIRST SQUADRON 6 7 2 31   22 2 (cook brian)COLON H 121 4.50 15% 5.80 6.50 P
SUPERSTAR DIVA 7 3 32 21   3 3 (zawitz joel)ORTEGA O 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50 S
HEY HEY 8 4 4 4   45 4 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 4.00 12.20  
WANNA HAVE FUN 2 5 711½ 710   6 5 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 31.70  
GODSGIFT 1 2 5 55   5 6 (rose wayne)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00 58.20  
PRINCESS CONSUELA 4 9 813½ 812½   811½ 7 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 6.00 5.10  
B N A NATIVE GIRL 5 6 914½ 914   913 811½ (nesbitt amy)HUGHES CARLY 121 20.00 54.70  
AH LEAH 3 8 69 67   710 913¾ (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 4.60  
SCR  J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY               (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.