Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN ON ATTACK Nov25 Sep17 Sep06     (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.50 ★    
2  LIGHTNING CASHES         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  SOVIET STANDARD Dec09         (perez manny)SANCHEZ DIEGO 120 20.00    
4  WESLAN Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Sep25   (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 2.50 ★    
5  RESPOND Aug21         (garrett t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 8.00    
6  RUSSIAN HAMMER         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 10.00 29% 2.40    
7  INDIO GUAPO Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Jun11   (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Dec02 Nov18 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 (cook bria)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 10% 8.80    
2  TWO WORLDS Oct28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug12 Jul23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.80 ★    
3  IMPERIAL MOMENT Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 Sep23 Aug19 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  IRISH TUFF Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
5  GEMO RAIN Nov09 Oct24 Sep20 Aug15 Jun28 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  JUST RIGHT MIKE Dec03 Nov18 Oct30 Sep30 Sep07 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 12.00    
7  MOVE ON OVER Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 Sep24 Jul15 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50    
 
HAW-3   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 Sep17 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  D'FEVER Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 Aug12 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 2.50 ★    
3  AGAVE KID Dec03 Nov18 Oct16 Oct01 Aug30 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MR. SPRINGTIME Dec02 Nov15 Nov03 Jun27 Jun09 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 121 20.00 8% 11.80    
5  RISKY BOY Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00    
6  KING TITO Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 Sep30 Sep13 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00    
7  DEVIL'S RULE Dec03 Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep24 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00    
8  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 Aug17 Aug03 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A FAST BROAD Jun28 Jun10 May21     (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 121 6.00 ★    
3  KHOZYS CROWN Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Oct16 Oct09 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
4  RAP STAR Nov25 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50    
5  SNOOTY Nov23 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug12 (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 4.00 10% 9.20    
6  SHEZA SAVAGE Dec09 Nov18 Apr23 Mar18 Jan07 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  PALACE MAGIC Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Sep26 Sep04 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
 
HAW-5   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK HEDGES Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.50 ★    
2  WILDWOOD SECRET Nov26 Oct09 Sep03 Jul29 Jul16 (rodriguez j)ORTEGA O 121 8.00    
3  TIZ APPROVED Nov25 Oct14 Sep23 Aug23 Jul23 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
4  TIME HEIST Nov26 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 (candelas )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.00 ★    
6  CHICKS FOR FREE Nov19 Aug12 Jul19 Jul01   (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 5.00    
7  STORMIN HONGKONG Nov19 Oct09 Aug24 Aug03 Jun30 (broberg karl)COLON H 124 3.00 ★    
 
HAW-6   12/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Nov27 Aug05       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  ROCKET HOTSHOT Dec10 Nov13 Sep23 Sep04 Jul29 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 3.50 ★    
3  SKIP AWAY CARTER Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 Sep24 Jun28 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
4  BUREAU Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 (watkins m)EMIGH A 118 4.50 6% 16.80    
5  STORM BORN Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep25 Aug16 (cook b)BAILON JADHIR 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  FLEET OF HOOF Oct30 Oct21 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00    
7  KEEN RESPONSE Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct22 Sep04 (hernandez arma)COLON H 118 5.00 ★    
8  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Oct25 Oct06 Sep25 Sep10 Aug24 (heinen h)ORM CORY 121 10.00    
 
HAW-7   12/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPRISE CAT Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 Aug17 (young r)EMIGH A 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  COMING UP ACES Dec02 Nov20 Oct07 Aug17 Jul16 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  MISTER CHARMING Dec02 Nov20 Nov06 Sep24 Jun18 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 4.50    
4  ASTI SKY Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Aug12 Jul12 (cristel m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 4.00 8% 11.60    
5  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Dec04 Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Aug09 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  DEMAND RANSOM Dec02 Nov25 Nov06 Aug30 Aug09 (hughes w)REYES ANGEL 121 6.00 ★    
7  FLASHY RICHIE Nov27 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 8.00    
 
HAW-8   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODSGIFT Oct28 Oct07 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (rose wayne)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00    
SCR  J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY Aug30 Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 Jun18 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  WANNA HAVE FUN Dec03 Nov20 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
4  AH LEAH Dec03 Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA Dec03 Nov26 Nov11 Oct16 Sep25 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 6.00    
6  B N A NATIVE GIRL Sep20 Sep06       (nesbitt amy)HUGHES CARLY 121 20.00    
7  FIRST SQUADRON Nov27 Nov20 Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 (cook brian)COLON H 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
8  SUPERSTAR DIVA Dec03 Nov20 Aug23 Jun10 May20 (zawitz joel)ORTEGA O 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  HEY HEY Dec03 Nov26 Nov11 Oct28 Sep25 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 4.00    
10  COOKIN ROSES Dec03 Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.