Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARITA 3 4 42 31   2½ 11 (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 6.00 1.50  
FIELD DAISEY 1 3 3 42   3 21 (bigelow carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 9% 9.60 2.20 P
GHAALEB'S DOMAIN 5 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 3 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.80 34% 1.90 3.10 S
CAIRO SUMMER 2 5 5 54   5 4 (sanchez oscar)BARANDELA SOFIA 111 5.00 14.10  
SNOOTY 4 1 1½ 2nk   43 513¼ (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 4.50 27% 2.70 3.90  
SCR  SENORITA AURORA               (thurman rhonda)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WITCHING               (lynch e)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00    
 
HAW-2   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:124 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER CAM 2 4 1½ 1½ 12 11 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 117 4.50 1.60  
PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN 1 7 5 66 67 43 2 (zawitz joel)COLON H 117 30.00 11.70  
FORWARD CURVE 3 5 2½ 2½ 22 21 3 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 44% 1.30 2.40 S
KEEP ATTACKING 4 8 6 54 4 31 4 (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 15.10  
ANGEL'S MAGIC 6 3 32 31 33 56 5 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 6.00 8% 11.70 9.90  
12  WELLER ROGUE 9 1 9 8 710 6 6 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 117 30.00 64.10  
CHEEKERS 5 2 4 44 5 710 711½ (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 12.00 8.00  
10  KANITHAPPEN 7 6 77 79 811 810½ 812¼ (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60 7.40  
11  DASTARDLY DEEDS 8 9 8 912 918 918½ 919¾ (candelas bla)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 13.60  
SCR  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW               (tracy tanner)REYES ANGEL 117 30.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 12.00    
SCR  MYSTIFIER               (rosin coty )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OFF TO THE BEACH               (hughes w)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
 
HAW-3   10/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:221 :462 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVZONAROLL 1 1 1 11   1 1 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 34% 1.90 0.90 W
FEVER NATION 2 6 34 33   2 2 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.00 35% 1.80 2.10 P
HIGHLY PERFECT 3 3 4 4   47 3 (watkins m)LOPEZ A 122 4.50 4.80  
WICKED SKY 6 4 510 510½   58 411¾ (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 8.00 7.10  
RUN THE TABLE 5 2 2 21   3 512½ (fridley steve)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 16.00  
HOT N FRESH 4 5 613½ 616½   618 625 (fridley steve)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 12.00 59.10  
SCR  GULF BENDER               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
SCR  LUTION               (wainwright jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
HAW-4   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:213 :45 :583     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC STORM 1 5 33 34   3 1½ (robertson hugh)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.00 50% 1.00 3.20 W
BLOCKS OF MAGIC 3 6 1112 7   8 2½ (litfin nevada)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 55.00  
10  BROKEN HEARTS BAY 10 12 910 914¼   45 32 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 3.10  
SONG OF AMERICA 5 3 11 1nk   2nk 4 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 20.00 5.50  
11  WILMA MANKILLER 11 1 21 2nk   1nk 5 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 20% 4.00 7.10  
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY 2 2 4 4   5 6 (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 3.70  
JOYZELLA 7 9 1215 1116¼   1011¼ 75 (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
MISS MIA 8 7 66 58   68 8 (quinonez)BAILON JADHIR 122 15.00 71.90  
LIL CARRIE D 4 8 8 1014¼   1113¼ 9 (slager mike)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00 ######  
12  CANDY LOOKER 12 11 78 811¾   910¾ 109 (fridley steve)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 ######  
AIR GERRI 6 4 55 6   79 1111 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
KOOKYBERRY 9 10 1011½ 1217¾   1216¼ 1211¼ (rosin w)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00 19.80  
 
HAW-5   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING ROSES 2 4 32 3   4¾ 1 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 124 2.50 1.00  
SUN SQUALL 1 6 6 53   1nk 2 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 7.90  
ROMAN PHAROAH 6 3 21 2nk   3½ 32 (russell nat)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 3.80 S
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 7 2 43 42   6 42 (candelas bla)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 4.90  
GIRLOLAMO'GLORY 4 5 53 6   7 54 (plasters lori)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 8% 10.80 23.10  
TIZ APPROVED 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 6 (martinez a)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 44% 1.30 10.50  
10  WILD FOX 8 8 8 8   8 7 (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 30.00 26.60  
KREWE CHIEF 3 7 7 7   5 8 (reid r)MOJICA O 121 10.00 18% 4.40 16.40  
SCR  EASTER MUSIC               (hernandez arma)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
SCR  SIRCORRI               (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 30.00    
 
HAW-6   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:131 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A TOUR 1 5 3 33 31 41 1¼ (hughes w)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 3.20  
12  INDICIA 6 6 6 65 5 31 2¼ (reavis michae)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 10.20  
UPTOWN QUEEN 2 2 1½ 22 2nk 1½ 3¾ (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 5.00 15% 5.70 1.10 S
SEAWARD 3 3 2½ 12 1nk 2½ 4¾ (hernandez javier)COLON H 121 15.00 6.00  
10  SHABAM 5 4 54 55 4 5 58 (robertson hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 31% 2.30 4.60  
LEA RO 4 1 43 44 6 67 6 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.50 18% 4.70 8.50  
SCR  SLIME QUEEN               (arnett g)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  MIZZEN ASH               (granitz j)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
SCR  MAD GRACE               (rengstorf tony)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  COME ON SWEET PEA               (rosin coty )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN               (cristel j)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
SCR  TELLMEONASUNDAY               (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00    
SCR  ACCORDING TO ASPEN               (tracy tanne)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
HAW-7   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:122     1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEST PILOT 6 1 11 11 1½ 12 1 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 15.00 25.90  
MR. SOLO 4 2 21 21 2½ 22 2 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 121 20.00 30.80 P
BAYOU BENNY 2 4 6 6 5 43 34 (rengstorf to)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 71% 0.40 0.40 S
BLAZEN ROAD 1 3 32 3 3 3 46 (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 10.00 13.70  
PATH TO SUCCESS 8 6 4 4 4 5 57 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 117 10.00 14.90  
COWBOYS DREAM 3 7 7 7 7 7 6 (rodriguez jose )SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 5.00 5.80  
RONSTADT 7 5 5 5 6 6 710¼ (reavis l)MOJICA O 117 8.00 8.40  
CARTIER CAT 5 8 87 8 8 8 813¼ (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 121 12.00 15.10  
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez arma)TAVARES JAVIER 117 4.00    
 
HAW-8   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:121 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL BOX 1 5 57 911¾ 910 85 1 (kirby j)MOJICA O 124 8.00 7.60  
DR. FORMAN 7 2 3 58 55 41 2 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 12.00 33.10 P
KRAMDEN 6 3 1nk 2½ 1nk 2nk 3 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 9% 10.60 6.30 S
THE LAST OPTION 3 6 46 3 32 3½ 4 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 9.50  
11  PROMISING SHOES 10 7 810 711½ 66 7 5 (tracy tanner)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 9.30  
SHWEET PERSUASION 5 1 2nk 1½ 2nk 1nk 6 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 6.00 7.20  
FEELING DANGEROUS 2 9 79 811¾ 8 107 7 (rodriguez edu)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 12.00 22.10  
12  ALLEN 11 4 910½ 1012 1010½ 1112 8 (padilla tim)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00 2.90  
MANGO TREE 8 8 6 4 43 5 9 (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 59.50  
CHRISTIAN C 4 11 1116½ 1116½ 1110¾ 9 10 (reavis michae)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 59% 0.70 2.50  
10  BULLDOG OF BERGEN 9 10 1011½ 611½ 77 63 11 (holsapple hutch)COLON H 121 30.00 49.60  
SCR  UNBROKEN SONG               (litfin nevada)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.