Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELD DAISEY Sep23 Aug17 Jul29 Jun30 Jun11 (bigelow ca)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 9% 9.60    
2  CAIRO SUMMER Sep23 Sep10 Aug22 Aug06 Jul02 (sanchez osc)BARANDELA SOFIA 111 5.00    
SCR  SENORITA AURORA Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 May28 (thurman rhon)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAMARITA Sep23 Aug06 Jul22 Jun21 May31 (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 6.00    
5  SNOOTY Sep23 Aug12 Jul29 Jun30 May19 (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  GHAALEB'S DOMAIN Sep06 Aug09 Jul22 May28 May10 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  WITCHING Sep20 Sep03 Aug20 Aug02 Jul09 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE Sep24 Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 12.00    
2  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Sep13 Jun24 Jun18 Jun03 May27 (zawitz joel)COLON H 117 30.00    
3  MY BROTHER CAM Oct02 Aug19 Jul23 May26 May07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 117 4.50    
4  FORWARD CURVE Sep16 Aug19 Jun24 May27   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jan23 Jan09 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
6  KEEP ATTACKING Sep24 Sep03 Aug23 Aug06 Jul09 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  MYSTIFIER Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (rosin cot)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHEEKERS Sep06 Jun14 May21 Apr26   (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 12.00    
9  ANGEL'S MAGIC Sep10 Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 Jun25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 6.00 8% 11.70    
10  KANITHAPPEN Jun18 May27 May06 Apr03 Mar25 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
11  DASTARDLY DEEDS Oct02 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 Jun03 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00    
12  WELLER ROGUE Sep26 Sep05 Aug14 Jul15 Jun20 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 117 30.00    
SCR  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 (tracy tanner)REYES ANGEL 117 30.00    
SCR  OFF TO THE BEACH Sep25 Aug20 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (hughes earl )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00    
 
HAW-3   10/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVZONAROLL Sep25 Aug31 Jun11     (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  LUTION         (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  GULF BENDER Jul26         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 ★    
4  FEVER NATION         (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
5  HIGHLY PERFECT Sep17 Sep06       (watkin)BAILON JADHIR 122 4.50    
6  HOT N FRESH         (fridley steve)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 12.00 ★    
7  RUN THE TABLE         (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00    
8  WICKED SKY Jul23         (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 8.00    
 
HAW-4   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC STORM Sep23         (robertson hug)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.00 50% 1.00    
2  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Sep23 Aug30       (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 ★    
3  BLOCKS OF MAGIC         (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
4  LIL CARRIE D Sep23 Jul01       (slager mike)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00    
5  SONG OF AMERICA Sep06 Jul13       (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 20.00    
6  AIR GERRI         (block chris)MOJICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  JOYZELLA Sep23         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISS MIA Sep17         (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 122 15.00    
9  KOOKYBERRY Sep17         (rosin coty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00    
10  BROKEN HEARTS BAY         (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
11  WILMA MANKILLER Aug03 Jul19       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
12  CANDY LOOKER         (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
 
HAW-5   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN SQUALL Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
2  TWIRLING ROSES Sep23 Sep14 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 124 2.50 ★    
3  KREWE CHIEF Sep23 Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 Jun24 (reid r)MOJICA O 121 10.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  EASTER MUSIC Sep24         (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
5  GIRLOLAMO'GLORY Sep23 Sep02 Aug09 Jul09 Jun24 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
6  TIZ APPROVED Sep23 Aug23 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SIRCORRI Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun28 (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 30.00    
8  ROMAN PHAROAH Sep03 Aug11 Jul27     (russell n)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 ★    
9  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Sep23 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
10  WILD FOX Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 30.00    
 
HAW-6   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A TOUR Oct02 Sep07 Aug10 Jul18 Jun18 (hughes w)BAIRD T 121 12.00    
SCR  ACCORDING TO ASPEN Sep07 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12   (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  MAD GRACE Aug14 Jul02 May28 Apr18 Mar27 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN Sep01 Aug22 Jul27 Jun17 Jun08 (cristel mark)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
SCR  COME ON SWEET PEA Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (rosin cot)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
6  UPTOWN QUEEN Sep04 Jul04 Jun11 May23 Apr16 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
7  SEAWARD Sep24 Sep13 Aug19 Jul23 Jul05 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 15.00    
8  LEA RO Sep22 Jul23 Jul05 May21 Mar04 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  SLIME QUEEN Sep07 Jul10 Jun11 Mar06 Feb19 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 6% 16.30    
10  SHABAM Sep07 Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 May28 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MIZZEN ASH Sep19 Aug29 Aug03 Jul14 Jun28 (granitz j)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
12  INDICIA Aug06 Jul23 Jun03 May10   (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00    
SCR  TELLMEONASUNDAY Aug10 Jul21 Jun23 May23 Apr26 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00    
 
HAW-7   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZEN ROAD Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 (manley steve)BAIRD T 117 10.00    
2  BAYOU BENNY Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 Jun30 Jun05 (rengstorf )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 71% 0.40    
3  COWBOYS DREAM Sep23 Jun17 May20     (rodriguez jos)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 5.00 ★    
4  MR. SOLO Sep19 Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 121 20.00 ★    
5  CARTIER CAT Jul21 Jun23 May31 May18 May07 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 121 12.00    
6  TEST PILOT Sep17 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 15.00 ★    
7  RONSTADT Sep24 Sep01 Jul27 Jun24   (reavis l)MOJICA O 117 8.00 ★    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER Oct01 Sep14 Jul30 Jul17 Jun24 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 117 4.00    
9  PATH TO SUCCESS Sep23 Sep01 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 117 10.00    
 
HAW-8   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL BOX Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 Feb10 (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
2  FEELING DANGEROUS Sep30 Aug05 Jul17 Jun04 May20 (rodriguez eduardo)BAIRD T 121 12.00    
3  THE LAST OPTION Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
SCR  UNBROKEN SONG Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00    
5  CHRISTIAN C Sep30 May13 Apr17 Mar02   (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  SHWEET PERSUASION Oct02 Sep23 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 6.00 ★    
7  KRAMDEN Sep30 Aug27 Aug18 Aug04 Jul17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 9% 10.60    
8  DR. FORMAN Oct07 Sep13 Aug30 May15 Apr16 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 12.00 ★    
9  MANGO TREE Oct02 Jun18 Jun04 May01 Apr24 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
10  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Sep30 Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (holsapple hutc)COLON H 121 30.00    
11  PROMISING SHOES Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 Jun13 May15 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
12  ALLEN Sep30 Sep14 Jun16 May21 Mar06 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.