Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE SQUALL 7 4 4 3.2   13 1½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 22% 3.60 1.40 W
FROGGY 4 6 5 5   4 2½ (williams ste)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5.30  
CLAIMJUMPER 2 7 6 6   5 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 2.50  
WHERE'S FREDDIE 5 3 31 1nk   23 4 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 10.00 15% 5.80 6.90  
PERVASIVE 3 2 2½ 2nk   3 58 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 4.50 8.70  
TAP A MIRACLE 6 5 710½ 710¼   712 619¾ (ness john)ROMERO M 124 15.00 47.50  
NOT NECESSARILY 1 1 1½ 4¼   611½ 725¼ (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 16% 5.40 6.50  
SCR  GLASS EATER               (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 30.00 8% 10.90    
 
ARP-2   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:143 1:28   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BOTTOM REBEL 4 3 2½ 1nk 1½ 13 124 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 35% 1.90 0.20 W
FETCHING FURY 3 4 46 4 46 4 224 (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 12.40 P
JUST LEAVE 2 2 32 3 31 23 329¼ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.50 12.10 S
AMERICAN REALITY 1 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 3 437½ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 34% 1.90 2.20  
SCR  STREETTALKINHOTTIE               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAL 3 2 1nk 1½   1½ 1 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 25% 3.00 0.20 W
BRAZILIAN SUMMER 4 1 2nk 2½   2½ 2 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.90 P
LIGHT BOUND BID 1 4 4 4   3 318¾ (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 4.50 10.90 S
FERRARI ROAD 2 3 3 3   411½ 431 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 13.20  
SCR  PICKELJUICE               (burns dale)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREACHER 6 2 31 3.2   1nk 1 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.30 W
TIGER THE MAN 5 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 2 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 29% 2.40 6.10 P
RISKY BOY 7 3 43 4   4 3 (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 25.50  
ONOMATOPOEIA 2 4 1nk 2nk   3½ 411¾ (williams f)ROMERO M 124 8.00 8.10  
YOUNG PHILLIP 4 7 6 5   67 518 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.30 12.00  
MY TRUE REWARD 3 6 55 6   5 618¾ (young a)MARTIN A 124 15.00 68.20  
MORO CHARLIE 1 5 7 718¾   719 733¾ (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
 
ARP-5   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:142 1:281   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN WAR 6 2 4 4 1½ 11 1 (dieter dalton)BETHKE A 124 3.50 18% 4.40 2.20 W
KEARNEY 5 1 21 31 3½ 21 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 P
PARABELLUM 4 3 11 21 42 33 33 (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 2.70  
TAPPIN' THE BLING 1 5 5 5 5 510 421½ (mitchell stetson)WALES T 120 4.50 10.00  
BIG LARRY 2 4 32 11 2½ 49 521¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 16% 5.20 9.20  
BUMPER POOL 3 6 6 610¼ 6 613 623 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 9% 10.30 36.40  
SCR  LET IT RIP               (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLEARLY MAD 9 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 11 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
KNIGHTED 1 5 64 43   4 21 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 30% 2.30 1.00 P
CRUZ'N OLLIE 8 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 31 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 124 2.50 38% 1.60 3.10 S
LINCHTOWN 2 7 52 32   31 4 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.70  
DOX BIZ 3 6 77 5   5 5 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 120 8.00 26.00  
ALL RISE UP 5 4 3½ 6   65 616¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 120 3.50 23.10  
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 7 8 89 813½   811½ 725¾ (pokorny fost)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 62.70  
ROYAL OUTLAW 4 3 4 7   7 830½ (anderson c)RAMOS B 120 4.50 28.40  
ARCH'S WILD 6 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (mcdonald william)LUARK T 124 10.00 69.40  
SCR  LONESTAR CHROME               (williams f)ROMERO M 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   09/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:471         1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 2 2 2 2½ 2½ 11 1¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 25% 3.10 3.00 W
COWBOY DON 7 4 4 3 3 21 2¾ (mcdonald willia)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 6.50 P
AUTOPILOT 3 5 5 6 65 4 37 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.60  
TUFF WILLY TE 5 3 33 42 4 5 4 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 121 2.50 4.30  
VERRAZANO FIRST 4 6 76 54 5 34 5 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 15.00 16% 5.20 7.40  
HOLD TIGHT 1 7 66 7 76 716½ 629¼ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 2.80  
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 6 1 1 1½ 1½ 610½ 729¼ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 35% 1.80 12.30  
 
ARP-8   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE SHOTS 7 7 32 1½   1½ 1 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 6.00 4.00  
T. P. RIGHT LANE 8 8 8 5   5 2 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 9.70  
BIND ME UP 5 5 6 6   2½ 3 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 35.60 S
D L'S GIRL 3 2 2½ 3½   4¾ 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 5.20  
GIGGLES AND SMOKE 4 6 5 4¾   6 58 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 4.50 30% 2.40 3.70  
GARNETS GAL 2 3 43 8   7 616 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 18.40  
APRILINTHEPINES 1 1 76 7   8 716½ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 1.10  
FLAN 6 4 1½ 2½   3½ 826½ (ness john)ROMERO M 124 10.00 8% 11.60 31.60  
 
ARP-9   09/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($31.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:112 1:412   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL 1 4 613 617 613½ 68 1 (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 124 3.50 30% 2.30 8.10 W
HIGHTAILING 4 5 43 4 4 33 2 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 8.20  
STUNTING 3 2 32 21 2½ 1 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 5.20 S
GOODNIGHTLOVING 2 6 55 57 5 46 413¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 8% 11.80 17.20  
CELEE'S LAST TE 5 3 11 11 1½ 2 520½ (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 2.50 18% 4.40 0.50  
FIRST ALTERNATE 6 1 21 32 3 58 630 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 14% 6.10 5.70  
SCR  ITSALLINTHENOTES               (julius tom)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.